Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Market Report 2025

This Autonomous Commercial Vehicle market report provides a comprehensive analysis of the market’s characteristics, size, and growth, including segmentation, regional and country-level breakdowns, competitive landscape, market shares, trends, and strategies. It also tracks historical and forecasted market growth across various geographies.

The autonomous commercial vehicle market size has grown rapidly in recent years. It will grow from $9.73 billion in 2024 to $11.42 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.3%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to advancements in robotics and ai, labor shortages, safety and efficiency, regulatory initiatives, e-commerce growth.

The autonomous commercial vehicle market size is expected to see rapid growth in the next few years. It will grow to $22.84 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.9%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to continued advancements in sensors, machine learning, and connectivity, driver shortages, safety regulations, environmental concerns, supply chain efficiency. Major trends in the forecast period include last-mile delivery, platoon technology, remote fleet monitoring, mixed traffic operation, partnerships and collaboration.

Increased government approvals for testing autonomous trucks on public roads are propelling the growth of the autonomous commercial vehicle market. Several major countries have granted permission for the testing of autonomous vehicles, particularly commercial trucks, for various applications, including deliveries. An example of such approval comes from the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV), which has introduced a regulation permitting the deployment and testing of light-duty autonomous delivery vehicles on public roads, provided they weigh less than 10,001 pounds and have an approved DMV permit. Government endorsements for testing these autonomous vehicles on public roads serve as a valuable opportunity for potential customers to witness their capabilities, ultimately driving demand and contributing to the growth of the autonomous commercial vehicle market.

The growing demand for efficient transportation is expected to drive the growth of the autonomous commercial vehicle market in the coming years. Transportation refers to the movement of people, animals, and goods from one location to another. Autonomous commercial vehicles can optimize their routes, speeds, and driving behaviors to reduce fuel consumption, making them a cost-effective choice for fleet operators. This efficiency not only lowers operating costs but also helps meet environmental regulations and sustainability goals, making autonomous vehicles an attractive option for transportation companies. For example, in November 2022, a report by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), a U.S.-based agency, revealed that transportation services (including for-hire, internal, and home transportation) contributed $1.3 trillion (5.6%) to the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) of $23.7 trillion, according to the Transportation Satellite Accounts (TSAs). As a result, the growing demand for more efficient transportation is driving the expansion of the autonomous commercial vehicle market.

The introduction of new products stands out as a prominent trend in the autonomous commercial vehicle market. Companies within this market are placing a strong emphasis on launching innovative products to achieve significant cost advantages and uphold high standards of product quality, safety, and user satisfaction. An illustrative example of this trend is seen in the actions of XPeng, a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer. In October 2022, XPeng introduced the G9 SUV, a commercially produced vehicle equipped with an advanced driver assist system known as XNGP. This technology amalgamates XPeng's Highway Navigated Guided Pilot (NGP) and City NGP, enabling the automation of specific driving functions in both highway and urban driving scenarios.

Leading companies operating in the autonomous commercial vehicle market are actively engaged in developing novel products, such as mapping platforms tailored for autonomous vehicles. Mapping platforms are digital tools and systems designed for the creation, visualization, and analysis of maps and geospatial data. For instance, Nvidia, a prominent U.S.-based software company, unveiled the Drive Map in March 2022. A distinctive feature of this product is its ability to cover approximately 300,000 miles of road in North America, Europe, and Asia by 2024 for ground truth mapping. The platform's primary objective is to facilitate advanced autonomous driving, making it available to all Nvidia customers while complementing the company's existing offerings in the autonomous vehicle industry.

In June 2022, Uber Freight, a managed transportation provider based in the United States, established a strategic partnership with Waymo Via. This collaboration leverages Waymo Via's autonomous driving technology alongside the extensive reach of Uber Freight's network and cutting-edge marketplace technology. The partnership creates a clear pathway for the safe and deliberate introduction of autonomous trucks onto American roads. Waymo Via is an autonomous driving technology company based in the United States, contributing to the advancement of autonomous commercial vehicles in the market.

An autonomous commercial vehicle refers to a commercial-purpose vehicle equipped with advanced hardware and software that allows it to execute dynamic driving tasks without the constant physical control or direct supervision of a human operator.

The primary categories of autonomous commercial vehicles encompass trucks, trailers, buses, and other relevant types. Trucks are essentially wheeled vehicles designed for the transportation of heavy cargo or goods. These vehicles can operate at various levels of automation, ranging from basic driver assistance to partial automation, conditional automation, high automation, and full automation. Additionally, they can be powered by different fuel types, including conventional fuels, hybrid propulsion systems, and electric power sources.

The autonomous commercial vehicle market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides autonomous commercial vehicle market statistics, including global market size, regional shares, competitors with an autonomous commercial vehicle market share, detailed autonomous commercial vehicle market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the autonomous commercial vehicle industry. This autonomous commercial vehicle market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenarios of the industry.

Major companies operating in the autonomous commercial vehicle market include Volkswagen AG, Daimler AG, Tesla Inc., Denso Corporation, Continental AG, Waymo LLC, Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft, Isuzu Motors Limited, General Motors Company, AB Volvo, Beiqi Foton Motor Co. Ltd., Skywell New Energy Vehicles Group Co. Ltd., Dongfeng Motor Corporation, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Co. Ltd. (SINOTRUK), FAW Jiefang Automobile Co. Ltd., Shaanxi Automobile Group Co. Ltd. (China Shaanqi), Beiben Trucks Group Co. Ltd. (Beiben Trucks), SAIC Iveco Hongyan Commercial Vehicle Co. Ltd. (SAIC Hongyan), Jiangling Motors Corporation Group (JMC), Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd. (Zhengzhou Yutong Bus), Xiamen King Long United Automotive Industry Co. Ltd. (King Long Bus), CRRC Electric Vehicle Co. Ltd. (CRRC Electric Vehicle), Xiamen Golden Dragon Bus Co. Ltd. (Xiamen Golden Dragon Bus), Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. Ltd. (Anhui Ankai Automobile), Plus.ai Inc. (Plus.ai), Embark Trucks Inc. (Embark Trucks), Daimler Trucks North America LLC (Daimler Trucks), NVIDIA Corporation, Zoox Inc., Luminar Technologies Inc.

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the autonomous commercial vehicle market in 2024. North America was the second largest region in the autonomous commercial vehicle market. The regions covered in the autonomous commercial vehicle market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the autonomous commercial vehicle market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

The autonomous commercial vehicle market consists of sales of autonomous buses and coaches. Values in this market are factory gate values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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