China Ecommerce Logistics - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

The China Ecommerce Logistics Market size is estimated at USD 16.20 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 27.70 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 9.29% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Key Highlights

• China's e-commerce logistics Index increased in December 2023 by 4.2 points, year on year, as the activity of the sector continued to grow, according to industry data.
• The e-commerce logistic index in December 2023 was 112.4, which was 0.7 points lower than in November 2023. The decline in the Index was attributed to a decrease in demand, as the sales promotions of large e-commerce platforms were heavily focused on the large annual shopping festival of November.
• The demand for e-commerce logistics continued to be high in December, particularly for winter clothing and ice and snow tourism equipment. The Chinese e-commerce logistics industry is expected to remain strong in January 2024, supported by holiday consumption and the acceleration of the ice and snow economy.
• As of August of 2023, One-third of the world’s e-commerce market is in China, according to payment value.
• In the past five years, e-commerce in China has seen rapid growth due to smartphone penetration, internet penetration, online shopping, and alternative payment solutions like Alipay and WeChat Pay.
• E-commerce activity in rural areas is also contributing to the market’s growth. In the first half of 2023, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce reported that rural online retail sales grew 12.5 percent compared to the first half of 2022.

China Ecommerce Logistics Market Trends

Cross border eCommerce driving the growth of the market

• China’s e-tailing (online retailing) across borders, mainly in consumer goods, is expected to continue to grow in 2024, resulting in a more balanced revenue mix for the country’s leading cross-border online retailers, consumer goods manufacturers, and logistics operators.
• Supported by supportive policies, relative pricing competitiveness, and overseas logistics capabilities, the growth momentum will be supported by external demand headwinds.
• The government has put measures in place to support the industry, such as encouraging local companies to construct overseas warehouses and establishing cross-border eCommerce pilot zones in most Tier 4 and above cities to facilitate imports and exports of goods.
• With the expansion of overseas warehouses, Chinese retailers are able to ship more bulk goods, position inventory geographically closer to customers and deliver goods more quickly and cheaply to overseas customers.
• The export value of cross-border E-tailing in China continued to increase, with a 69% year-on-year (YoY) growth in Q1 of 23 compared to the overall goods export growth of 8.4%. However, the real volume could be higher, as the statistics do not take into account transactions outside the pilot zones or smaller platforms.
• Major cross-country e-tail platforms that are owned by internet giants such as Alipay, PDD Holdings, ByteDance, and Sea Limited are expected to benefit from the growing sales through their own websites and apps.
• A few independent e-tailers that have their own distribution channels, including Banggood (B2C), Shein (B2C), and Lintin (Lintin) Holding Co., Ltd. (LTC), could also regain the traction that they had in the past few years.

Growth in Retail e-commerce sales is driving the growth of the market

• According to the National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China, consumer goods sales in the country increased significantly in September 2023.
• Total retail sales in China in September 2023 reached RMB 3.92 trillion (USD 551.57 billion), up 5.5% from the same month last year. The increase in consumer goods was more significant in the non-auto sectors, growing by 5.9%.
• In the period January to September, the total retail sales amounted to RMB 34.21 trillion (USD 4.81 trillion). This represents an increase of 6.8%. Urban and rural areas both saw an increase in retail sales, with urban sales rising by 6.7% and rural sales rising by 7.4%, respectively. These numbers show that the Chinese consumer market is stable, reflecting the strength of the Chinese economy and consumer confidence.
• In particular, the increase in rural areas shows that the market base is growing, opening up new opportunities for global tech companies.
• The increase in non-auto retail sales suggests a change in consumer preferences. This shift may be driven by technological innovation and lifestyle changes. This shift gives tech companies the opportunity to innovate in the consumer goods space by combining technology with consumer products.

China Ecommerce Logistics Industry Overview

The China e-commerce logistics market is fragmented, and as the demand for logistics services is growing rapidly across the region, companies are becoming more competitive to capture the huge opportunity.

As a result, international players are making strategic investments to establish a regional logistics network, such as opening new distribution centers, smart warehouses, etc. Some of the leading players include DHL Logistics,DB Schenker, FedEx Express, XPO Logistics, SF Express etc.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

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