Crude Oil Market Report 2025

The crude oil market size has grown steadily in recent years. It will grow from $3.05 trillion in 2024 to $3.2 trillion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to industrialization and economic growth, transportation sector, petrochemical industry, electricity generation, global energy demand.

The crude oil market size is expected to see steady growth in the next few years. It will grow to $3.79 trillion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.3%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to rising transportation evolution, petrochemical industry expansion, energy transition challenges, global economic development, geopolitical factors. Major trends in the forecast period include resilience in oil markets amid energy transitions, shifting investment trends towards renewable energy, diversification in downstream operations, global efforts for energy security and independence, consumer behavior changes impacting transportation demand.

The growth in the crude oil market can be attributed to the increasing global demand for fossil fuels, particularly in developing countries such as China and India, alongside the anticipated stabilization of oil and gas prices. Fossil fuels, derived from decomposed plants and animals, are found in the Earth's crust and consist of carbon and hydrogen that can be burned for energy. Crude oil or petroleum, a liquid fossil fuel primarily composed of hydrocarbons, can be found in underground reservoirs, sedimentary rock crevices, pores, or near the Earth's surface in tar sands. According to the International Energy Agency's February 2023 report, the global contribution of renewable energy in the power generation mix is projected to increase from 29% to 35% by 2025, emphasizing the ongoing growth in demand for fossil fuels to meet global energy needs.

Rising geopolitical tensions are anticipated to drive growth in the crude oil market. Geopolitical tensions - political conflicts, rivalries, or disputes among countries or regions - often revolve around issues like territory, resources, power, or ideology. These tensions can lead to heightened oil prices due to concerns over potential disruptions in the oil supply, particularly from regions that are key oil producers. For example, the twelfth annual Invesco Global Sovereign Asset Management Study, published by the U.S.-based investment firm Invesco Ltd. in July 2024, found that 83% of respondents identified geopolitical tensions as a significant threat to global economic growth, up from 72% in 2023. This trend indicates that increased geopolitical instability is contributing to the rising demand and value of crude oil in global markets.

Oil and gas extraction companies are increasingly adopting digital oilfield technology to enhance production efficiency. This technology includes advanced tools such as high-performance drill bits, electrical submersible pumps, and 3D seismic imaging for reservoir modeling. Digitization in oilfields optimizes human resource utilization, leading to a ten percentage point improvement in oil production profitability.

Major companies in the crude oil market are forming strategic partnerships to develop new products and strengthen their market positions. Collaborations and partnerships foster shared resources, expertise, and risk, promoting the development of innovative solutions and efficient operations. For example, in November 2023, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited collaborated with Aiteo Eastern E&P Company Limited to introduce a new crude grade named Nembe, aiming to boost Nigeria's oil production. This joint venture, managing and marketing the Nembe crude stream, addresses challenges such as crude theft and pipeline attacks while aligning with Nigeria's goal of increasing oil output for enhanced government revenue. Another instance involves Vencer Energy LLC's acquisition of Hunt Oil Company's Midland Basin assets in April 2021, marking a significant step toward creating a substantial platform in the Lower 48 States and achieving Vencer's objective of owning high-quality, mature, and producing assets with development potential. This acquisition represents Vencer's first since its establishment by Vitol the previous year. Hunt Oil Company is an independent oil and gas company based in the United States.

In November 2023, Exxon Mobil Corporation, a prominent U.S.-based energy and petrochemical company, announced the acquisition of Denbury Inc. for $4.9 billion. This strategic acquisition is aimed at enhancing ExxonMobil's operational capacity and efficiency in the production of oil and natural gas while furthering its commitment to low-carbon initiatives. By integrating Denbury's assets, ExxonMobil will gain access to significant proven reserves and ongoing production, which is expected to bolster its crude oil output. Denbury Inc. is recognized as a U.S.-based oil and natural gas company with a focus on advanced oil recovery techniques.

Major companies operating in the crude oil market include Saudi Arabian Oil Company, China National Petroleum Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, PetroChina Company Limited, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Royal Dutch Shell plc, TotalEnergies SE, Chevron Corporation, BP plc, Equinor ASA, ENI S.p.A., Gazprom OAO, Petróleos Mexicanos, Petrobras, Iraq National Oil Company, Rosneft Oil Company, Petroliam Nasional Berhad, ConocoPhillips, OMV Aktiengesellschaft, Sonatrach SPA, Qatar Petroleum, Occidental Petroleum Corporation, Ecopetrol S.A., Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, KazMunayGas, National Oil Corporation, PT Pertamina, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, Lukoil PJSC, Kuwait Petroleum Corporation.

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the crude oil market in 2024. The regions covered in the crude oil market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the crude oil market report are Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Bangladesh, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Hong Kong, New Zealand, USA, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Colombia, Peru, France, Germany, UK, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Russia, Czech Republic, Poland, Romania, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Iran, Turkey, UAE, Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa.

Crude oil denotes a naturally existing, unprocessed petroleum substance comprising organic compounds and hydrocarbon deposits. Its primary usage lies in being a fuel and combustible, and it also plays a crucial role as a raw material in chemical production.

Crude oil is categorized into main types, transport, industrial, and others. In this context, 'industrial' refers to a company primarily engaged in the production of goods. The classification based on nature includes organic and conventional. Various end-users of crude oil encompass the food and beverage industry, personal care and cosmetics sector, biofuel and energy applications, pharmaceuticals, and other miscellaneous end users.

The crude oil market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides crude oil market statistics, including crude oil industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with a crude oil market share, detailed crude oil market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the crude oil industry. This crude oil market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.

The crude oil market consists of sales of sweet crude oils, sour crude oils, light crude oils, medium crude oils, heavy crude oils, sweet light crude oils, and more. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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