Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Report 2026

The heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market size has grown exponentially in recent years. It will grow from $179.51 billion in 2025 to $220.02 billion in 2026 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.6%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to mining automation pilots, demand for labor safety, fleet productivity optimization, adoption of driver assistance systems, industrial digitization.

The heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market size is expected to see exponential growth in the next few years. It will grow to $491.59 billion in 2030 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.3%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to regulatory approvals for autonomy, ai maturity in perception systems, electrification of heavy vehicles, demand for cost-efficient logistics, smart infrastructure investments. Major trends in the forecast period include deployment of autonomous mining fleets, expansion of self-driving freight corridors, integration of advanced sensor fusion, adoption of remote operations, focus on operational safety.

The growing e-commerce sector is expected to drive the growth of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market going forward. The e-commerce sector includes businesses that purchase and sell goods and services online, using digital platforms to conduct commercial transactions. Expansion of the e-commerce sector is fueled by factors such as increasing internet penetration, the rise of mobile commerce, adoption of digital payment solutions, and integration with social media platforms. Heavy-duty autonomous vehicles (HDAVs) support e-commerce operations by enabling faster and more reliable long-distance transportation, reducing human error, and improving supply chain efficiency, which collectively enhance delivery speed and safety. For instance, in August 2025, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, a U.S. federal government agency, e-commerce sales in the second quarter of 2025 reached $304.2 billion, representing a 1.4 percent (±0.9%) increase compared to the first quarter. During the same period, total retail sales were estimated at $1.86 trillion, reflecting a 0.4 percent (±0.4%) rise from the previous quarter. Therefore, the expanding e-commerce sector is driving the growth of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market.

Key players in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market are focusing on developing advanced technologies, such as the next generation of autonomous public transportation, to improve efficiency and safety in urban mobility. This new generation of autonomous public transport represents a significant advancement in transit systems, capable of navigating highways, interacting with traffic, and transporting passengers safely, offering a more reliable and sustainable public transit option. For example, in August 2023, Schaeffler AG, a Germany-based automotive company, partnered with VDL Groep, a Netherlands-based manufacturer, to introduce self-driving electric shuttles. These shuttles will use Mobileye's autonomous driving systems, which have achieved Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) Level 4 for full self-driving capability, removing the need for a human driver. The shuttles are approximately 5 meters long, 2.2 meters wide, and 2.8 meters high, with seating for nine passengers and a cargo capacity of 1,000 kg. They can travel at speeds up to 70 km/h.

In June 2024, Gatik, a US-based developer of autonomous trucks, partnered with Isuzu Motors Limited to establish a production facility for mass-producing SAE Level 4 autonomous trucks. Isuzu is investing $30 million in Gatik as part of this collaboration, aimed at accelerating the deployment of Gatik’s freight-only operations, with initial deliveries anticipated from the new plant. Isuzu Motors Limited is a Japan-based automobile manufacturer.

Major companies operating in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market report include Volkswagen AG, Caterpillar Inc., Daimler Truck AG, AB Volvo, Traton Group, Continental AG, PACCAR Inc., Baidu Inc., Schaeffler AG, MAN Truck & Bus, Yutong Bus Co. Ltd., Mobileye N.V., Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. Ltd., Torc Robotics, Embark Trucks Inc., EasyMile, Aurora Innovation Inc., Einride AB, Navya Technology, TuSimple Holdings Inc.

North America was the largest region in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market in 2025. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market report include Asia-Pacific, South East Asia, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market report include Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Taiwan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

The heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market consists of revenues earned by entities by providing services such as navigation systems, vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication, fleet management, cybersecurity solutions, and remote monitoring. The market value includes the value of related goods sold by the service provider or included within the service offering. The heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market also includes sales of processing units, control systems, and connectivity modules. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is, the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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