Gross written premiums (GWP) in the UK commercial property insurance market grew by 20.2% to reach GBP9 billion in 2021. The market's major hardening of rates is responsible for this growth, while the demand for policies only slightly increased. Commercial property insurers paid a high price in 2021. Gross claims rose by 4.4% in 2021, above their average level over the previous 10 years. In 2021, the claims landscape was dominated by a 31.0% increase in weather-related claims and a 22.5% increase in fire and explosion claims. As restrictions related to the pandemic began to loosen and enterprises resumed operations, there were 24.9% fewer claims for business interruptions. As building prices continue to rise and the economy struggles to recover from both the epidemic and Brexit, claims inflation - which is mostly driven by global supply-side constraints - will maintain the hardening market.
Scope
- GWP in the UK commercial property market grew to approximately GBP9 billion in 2021, a growth rate of 20.2%.
- Gross claims rose by 4.4% in 2021, above their average level over the previous 10 years, reaching GBP2.4 billion.
- A 31.0% rise in weather-related claims and a 22.5% rise in fire and explosion claims dominated the claims landscape in 2021. There were 24.9% fewer claims for business interruptions when the pandemic-related limitations started to ease and businesses resumed operations.
- Aviva remains the market leader with a market share of 15.2%, growing its GWP to GBP1.37 billion in 2021.
Reasons to Buy
- Analyze the drivers of growth within the UK commercial property market.
- Determine areas of concern for insurers and the wider market, including in the claims landscape.
- Recognize the impact of Brexit and inflation on the market.
- Ascertain the market shares of the leading players.
- Examine future opportunities and challenges within the market.
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary1.1 Market overview
1.2 Key findings
1.3 Critical success factors
2. Market Dynamics
2.1 The UK commercial property market grew significantly in 2021
2.2 The year 2021 was expensive for commercial property claims
2.3 The construction sector resumes in 2021, recovering from 2020
2.4 Investment in London experienced the largest increase since 2017
2.5 Tax incentives and regulations have an impact on people’s investment in commercial property
2.6 More commercial-to-residential conversions will occur as housing demand rises and towns level up
3. Competitor Dynamics
3.1 Aviva is still the market leader by some distance
4. The Market Going Forward
4.1 Commercial property insurance will grow to GBP10.8 billion in 2026
4.2 Brexit and COVID-19 will make for a harder recovery for the construction industry than first thought
4.3 Underinsurance problems are exacerbated by global supply-side issues
4.4 ESG initiatives will present opportunities and difficulties for insurers
4.5 Technology is becoming more valuable to commercial property insurers
4.6 The changing landscape of office working represents an opportunity for insurers
5. Appendix
5.1 Abbreviations and acronyms
5.2 Methodology
5.3 Secondary sources
5.4 Further reading
- About the Publisher
- Contact the Publisher
- Table 1: UK commercial property insurance market GWP and growth rate, 2017-21
- Table 2: Gross claims paid (GBP million), by type, 2017-21
- Table 3: Number of claims notified (000s), by type, 2017-21
- Table 4: UK commercial construction output, 2021-26f
- Table 5: Construction output, non-seasonally adjusted, current prices by sector (GBP billion), 2017-21
- Table 6: Competitor market shares and GWP, 2019-21
- Figure 1: The UK commercial property insurance market grew considerably in 2021
- Figure 2: Weather-related gross claims paid grew by the fastest rate in 2021
- Figure 3: Weather and Fire & Explosion claims both spiked in 2021
- Figure 4: Fire & Explosion was the only claim category to increase in 2021
- Figure 5: Construction is expected to bounce back after 2020 and continue to grow
- Figure 6: The rate for buy-to-let mortgages remained low, but only because there were more mortgages overall in 2021
- Figure 7: The population of the UK is still steadily increasing
- Figure 8: Aviva continues to lead the commercial property market
- Figure 9: Until 2026, the UK market for commercial property insurance is anticipated to grow annually
- Figure 10: Concerns about underinsurance plague more than a third of SMEs with commercial property insurance
- Figure 11: After the pandemic, more than half of employees do not anticipate returning to work full-time
- Figure 12: Only 20.3% of individuals expect to work full-time at the office post-pandemic, with the majority taking a hybrid approach
- Figure 13: Forecasting methodology
Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- Aviva
- AIG
- AXA
- RSA
- Zurich
- Allianz
- Munich Re
- Chubb
- NFU Mutual
- Direct Line Group
- Legal & General
- BentallGreenOak
- Esri
- Arturo
- ICEYE
- Maptycs
- Zesty.ai
- Zoom