Tobacco in Kenya - Research and Markets

The tobacco industry in Kenya in 2023 continued to face significant challenges from illicit trade and regulatory uncertainties. This is impacting major players such as Mastermind Tobacco (K) Ltd and British American Tobacco Kenya Ltd, leading to suppressed profits. However, despite these challenges, tobacco in Kenya remains a fairly resilient category overall, adapting to inflation and post-COVID-19 behaviours.

The Tobacco in Kenya report offers a comprehensive guide to the size and shape of the market at a national level. It provides the latest retail sales data 2019-2023, allowing you to identify the sectors driving growth. It identifies the leading companies, the leading brands and offers strategic analysis of key factors influencing the market - be the new legislative, distribution or pricing issues. Forecasts to 2028 illustrate how the market is set to change.

Product coverage: Cigarettes, Cigarettes (Illicit+Legal), Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco, Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco.

Data coverage: Market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

Get a detailed picture of the Tobacco market;
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change;
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands;
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco in 2023: The big picture
2023 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
What next for tobacco?

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Tar levels
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Low ignition propensity (LIP) cigarette regulation
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Reduced harm
Vapour products

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

MARKET INDICATORS

Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2018-2023

MARKET DATA

Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

CIGARETTES IN KENYAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Cigarette sales continue to suffer due to the influx of illicit products
BAT Kenya maintains its robust lead, while net profits decline due to myriad factors
Consumers still continue to smoke cigarettes

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Strategic shifts and innovations set to support baseline sales
Ongoing trend for Khat consumption may help to support cigarettes sales
E-cigarettes pose a challenge to the growth of traditional cigarettes

TAXATION AND PRICING

Taxation rates
Summary 3 Taxation and Duty Levies 2018-2023
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

CATEGORY DATA

Table 10 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 19 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 20 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 22 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2018-2023
Table 23 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2023-2028
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2023-2028

CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN KENYAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Cigar popularity surges amid rising social media influence
Female smokers help to expand the consumer demographic further
Dominant cigar and cigarillo brands maintain their shares

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Rising popularity of cigars among young adults heralds shifting consumption trends
Well-known global brands will remain the most popular
E-commerce will remain a key retail channel for cigars over the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 32 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 36 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 37 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2018-2023
Table 38 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 39 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 40 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 41 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 42 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 43 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 44 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 45 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 46 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 47 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 48 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 49 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 50 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 51 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 52 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN KENYA

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Kenya takes firm stance against shisha, limiting opportunities
Increasing influence of social media boosts e-vapour products
New study reveals vaping as a leading tool for tobacco cessation

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

E-vapour opportunities faces challenges amidst regulatory and health concerns
Health risk awareness and affordability will influence ongoing trends
Sustainability trends also set to influence consumption patterns

Samples

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Table of Contents

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