Retail in Canada - Research and Markets

The retail market in Canada showed remarkable resilience and growth in 2023, despite the challenges posed by the enduring impact of the COVID-19 crisis, the high rate of inflation, and supply chain disruptions. Canadian consumers continued to spend on both essential and non-essential goods, while also looking to save money in a challenging economic environment.

The Retail in Canada report offers insight into key trends and developments driving the industry. The report examines all retail channels to provide sector insight. Channels include hypermarkets, supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, mixed retailers, health and beauty retailers, clothing and footwear retailers, furniture and furnishing stores, DIY and hardware stores, durable goods retailers, leisure and personal goods retailers. There are profiles of leading retailers, with analysis of their performance and the challenges they face. There is also analysis of non-store retailing: vending; homeshopping; internet retailing; direct selling, as available.

Product coverage: Retail E-Commerce, Retail Offline.

Data coverage: Market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

Get a detailed picture of the Retail market;
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change;
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands;
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.

RETAIL IN CANADA

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retail in 2023: The big picture
Canadian retailers under strong pressure from government to reduce prices
Some COVID-19 related changes are not going away and will continue to impact Canadian retail
What next for retail?

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Informal retail
Opening hours for physical retail
Summary 1 Standard Opening Hours by Channel Type 2023
Seasonality
Christmas
Back to School
Thanksgiving Day

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: Value 2018-2023
Table 2 Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 3 Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 4 Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 5 Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: Units 2018-2023
Table 6 Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2018-2023
Table 7 Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2018-2023
Table 8 Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 9 Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 10 Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 13 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2018-2023
Table 14 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2018-2023
Table 15 Non-Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 16 Non-Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 17 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 18 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 19 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2018-2023
Table 20 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2018-2023
Table 21 Retail GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 22 Retail GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 23 Retail Offline GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 24 Retail Offline GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 25 Retail Offline LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 26 Retail E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 27 Retail E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 28 Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 29 Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 30 Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 31 Non-Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 32 Non-Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 33 Non-Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 34 Forecast Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: Value 2023-2028
Table 35 Forecast Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 36 Forecast Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 37 Forecast Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 38 Forecast Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: Units 2023-2028
Table 39 Forecast Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2023-2028
Table 40 Forecast Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2023-2028
Table 41 Forecast Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 42 Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 43 Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 44 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 45 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 46 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2023-2028
Table 47 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2023-2028
Table 48 Non-Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 49 Non-Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 50 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 51 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 52 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2023-2028
Table 53 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

CONVENIENCE RETAILERS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Consumers are more price sensitive than ever before
Foodservice is becoming increasingly important in the convenience store business model
KaleMart24 launching in Quebec

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Convenience stores will see major threats from other channels
Popularity of subscriptions to supercharge loyalty
Localisation will become more important in the coming years

CHANNEL DATA

Table 54 Convenience Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 55 Convenience Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 56 Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 57 Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 58 Convenience Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 59 Convenience Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 60 Convenience Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 61 Convenience Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 62 Convenience Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 63 Forecast Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 64 Forecast Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCOUNTERS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

As prices continue to rise because of the high inflation rate, government puts more pressure on retailers - and especially discounters

Food Basics launches click and collect service with power of AI

Discounters set to steal share from other grocery channels

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Economic situation to support continued interest in discounters
The future of discounters in Canada looks promising with some challenges
Private label becoming increasingly popular and can provide a good opportunity

CHANNEL DATA

Table 65 Discounters: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 66 Discounters: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 67 Discounters GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 68 Discounters GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 69 Discounters LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 70 Discounters Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 71 Discounters Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

HYPERMARKETS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Hypermarkets being challenged by competing channels
The Real Canadian Superstore pilots selling large appliances with plans for expansion
Wal-Mart Canada launches Delivery Pass

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Growing demand for grocery items is likely to continue
Some factors will hamper growth in the forecast period
Wal-Mart Canada unveils ambitious plans for growth

CHANNEL DATA

Table 72 Hypermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 73 Hypermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 74 Hypermarkets GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 75 Hypermarkets GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 76 Hypermarkets LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 77 Hypermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 78 Hypermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

SUPERMARKETS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

In spite of challenges supermarkets channel continues to grow
Severe competition from alternative channels is affecting supermarkets
Sobeys’ new brand platform embraces the unpredictability of family life

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

More competition expected for the supermarket channel
Supermarkets set to become much more focused on smaller sizes
Sobeys and Metro expected to remain at the forefront of innovation

CHANNEL DATA

Table 79 Supermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 80 Supermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 81 Supermarkets GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 82 Supermarkets GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 83 Supermarkets LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 84 Supermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 85 Supermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

SMALL LOCAL GROCERS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Despite significant challenges this channel has good potential for growth
Small local grocers channel remains under strong pressure from consumer price sensitivity
New report from Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) shows small stores are still very vulnerable to threat from giant grocery retailers

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Small local grocery stores need to cross new frontiers if they want to remain relevant
One bright spot for traditional grocers is the growing popularity of supporting local
Severe competition from other grocery channels to hamper growth

CHANNEL DATA

Table 86 Small Local Grocers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 87 Small Local Grocers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 88 Small Local Grocers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 89 Small Local Grocers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 90 Small Local Grocers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 91 Small Local Grocers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 92 Small Local Grocers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

APPAREL AND FOOTWEAR SPECIALISTS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Canadian apparel and footwear specialists channel sees continued revival in 2023
Resale and second-hand apparel and footwear on the rise
Major retailers continue to invest in sustainability

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

DTC remains one of the most important initiatives for retailers in apparel and footwear
Development of Canada’s luxury apparel market
In-store purchases to remain important and continued interest in sustainability

CHANNEL DATA

Table 93 Apparel and Footwear Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 94 Apparel and Footwear Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 95 Apparel and Footwear Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 96 Apparel and Footwear Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 97 Apparel and Footwear Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 98 Apparel and Footwear Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 99 Apparel and Footwear Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

APPLIANCES AND ELECTRONICS SPECIALISTS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Shoppers continue to look for self-service and convenience in this space
Best Buy Canada launches monthly subscription service
Consumers are more price sensitive than ever

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Energy efficiency and sustainability will remain hot topics
Smart and connected appliances will be the norm
Personalisation and trust will be vital for future success

CHANNEL DATA

Table 100 Appliances and Electronics Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 101 Appliances and Electronics Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 102 Appliances and Electronics Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 103 Appliances and Electronics Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 104 Appliances and Electronics Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 105 Appliances and Electronics Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 106 Appliances and Electronics Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

HEALTH AND BEAUTY SPECIALISTS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Beauty specialists and pharmacies drive growth
Retailers continue to focus on sustainability and social responsibility
Key players continue to focus on online and omnichannel

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Scope of practice expansion expected for pharmacies
Personalisation and customisation offer potential ways forward
Health and personal care stores will face threat from expanding alternative channels

CHANNEL DATA

Table 107 Health and Beauty Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 108 Health and Beauty Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 109 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 110 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 111 Health and Beauty Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 112 Health and Beauty Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 113 Health and Beauty Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 114 Health and Beauty Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 115 Health and Beauty Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 116 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 117 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

HOME PRODUCTS SPECIALISTS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Canadian Tire launches several initiatives
Sustainability and social responsibility remain very important for retailers
Ikea Canada launches IKEA Kreativ

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

More stable performance expected early in forecast period
Competition from e-commerce boosts importance of omnichannel strategies and in-store experiences
Housing market uncertainty

CHANNEL DATA

Table 118 Home Products Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 119 Home Products Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 120 Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 121 Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 122 Home Products Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 123 Home Products Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 124 Home Products Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 125 Home Products Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 126 Home Products Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 127 Forecast Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 128 Forecast Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

GENERAL MERCHANDISE STORES IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

High interest rates and inflation causing change in shopping habits that boosts variety store sales
Most general merchandise stores see slowdown in retail activity during 2023 as cost of living pressures continue to weigh on discretionary spending
Hudson's Bay relaunches Zellers stores

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Both value propositions and luxury merchandise show significant potential
Dollarama Canada has ambitious plans for expansion
Saks Fifth Avenue set to increase its store count

CHANNEL DATA

Table 129 General Merchandise Stores: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 130 General Merchandise Stores: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 131 Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 132 Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 133 General Merchandise Stores GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 134 General Merchandise Stores GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 135 General Merchandise Stores LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 136 General Merchandise Stores Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 137 General Merchandise Stores Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 138 Forecast Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 139 Forecast Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DIRECT SELLING IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Expanding online and social presence
Celebrating milestones and achievements
Recent Statistics Canada study shows more farms are relying on direct sales to consumers

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Social responsibility and sustainability campaigns will remain very important
Social selling, environmental concerns and health and wellness are amongst top topics in Canadian direct selling landscape
Consumer perception of direct selling is better, but still has potential for improvement, especially amongst older age groups

CHANNEL DATA

Table 140 Direct Selling by Product: Value 2018-2023
Table 141 Direct Selling by Product: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 142 Direct Selling GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 143 Direct Selling GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 144 Direct Selling Forecasts by Product: Value 2023-2028
Table 145 Direct Selling Forecasts by Product: % Value Growth 2023-2028

VENDING IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

KioSoft announces launch of KioVend vending machines in Canada
New smart vending machine in Ottawa revolutionises access to essential supplies
Vending operators shifting towards health focused products

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

More penetration of vending machines is expected
Smart vending machines offer new opportunities
Company activity expected in forecast period

CHANNEL DATA

Table 146 Vending by Product: Value 2018-2023
Table 147 Vending by Product: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 148 Vending GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 149 Vending GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 150 Vending Forecasts by Product: Value 2023-2028
Table 151 Vending Forecasts by Product: % Value Growth 2023-2028

RETAIL E-COMMERCE IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Retail e-commerce faces challenges
Amazon launches a subscription prescription drug service
Pet Smart and Instacart announce partnership in Canada

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

ShopperPlus has ambitious plans for growth
Social media e-commerce set to play important role in the success of e-commerce retailers
Third party marketplaces will be key site of competition

CHANNEL DATA

Table 152 Retail E-Commerce by Channel: Value 2017-2022
Table 153 Retail E-Commerce by Channel: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 154 Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2017-2022
Table 155 Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 156 Retail E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 157 Retail E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 158 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Channel: Value 2022-2027
Table 159 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Channel: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 160 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2022-2027
Table 161 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2022-2027

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