Future of the Portuguese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2024
Summary
The Portuguese defense budget is anticipated to value US$2.7 billion by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 2.03%. Portugal’s military expenditure, which stands at US$2.46 billion in 2019, is anticipated to grow from US$2.53 billion in 2020 to value US$2.74 billion in 2024, registering a CAGR of 2.03%, over the forecast period. The growth will primarily be fueled by the government plans to completely withdraw austerity reforms over the forecast period, which is expected to boost the country’s economy.
Military expenditure, on a cumulative basis, is anticipated to be US$13.1 billion over the forecast period, which is higher than the US$11.3 billion spent during the historic period. Portugal is an active participant in joint operations with the European Union (EU) and peacekeeping operations with NATO and the United Nations (UN), and as such, seeks higher spending in terms of its defense sector. This, along with the Military Programming Law (LPM) that the country is anticipated to undertake over the next coming years, is expected to drive Portugal’s defense expenditure over the forecast period.
Over the forecast period, the country’s capital expenditure allocation is expected to average 18.6%, and revenue expenditure is expected to cap at an average of 81.4%. Capital expenditure over the forecast period is expected to increase at a CAGR of 2.04%, from US$471.1 million in 2020 to US$510.7 million in 2024. This is owing to the significant uptick in weapon procurement plans, as well as procuring defense equipment to replace outdated ones. For instance, Portugal is procuring 6 Agusta Westland AW119 Koala helicopters, 6 Viana do Castelo OPVs and one multi-role vessel, 47 4x4 Tactical Communications Vehicles, apart from procuring the country is also modernization its Black Shark Heavyweight Torpedoes, Tridente Class Attack Submarines.
The Portuguese homeland security expenditure valued US$2.5 billion in 2020 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.54% to reach US$2.8 billion in 2024, over the forecast period. This expenditure is primarily driven by Portugal’s focus on enhancing its defense capabilities to counter the increasing rate of cyber-attacks and securing the country’s maritime borders. The HLS budget is anticipated to be invested in the procurement of tablets, PDAs, offshore patrol vessels, biometric systems, and other advanced technology systems to strengthen its internal security forces.
The report "Future of the Portuguese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2024", offers detailed analysis of the Portuguese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
Companies mentioned: OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA, EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA, Edisoft, EMPORDEF TI Inc., IndraSistemas Portugal, Leonardo - Società per azioni, Arsenal Alfeite, Fabrequipa, Critical Software
Scope
Reasons to Buy
Summary
The Portuguese defense budget is anticipated to value US$2.7 billion by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 2.03%. Portugal’s military expenditure, which stands at US$2.46 billion in 2019, is anticipated to grow from US$2.53 billion in 2020 to value US$2.74 billion in 2024, registering a CAGR of 2.03%, over the forecast period. The growth will primarily be fueled by the government plans to completely withdraw austerity reforms over the forecast period, which is expected to boost the country’s economy.
Military expenditure, on a cumulative basis, is anticipated to be US$13.1 billion over the forecast period, which is higher than the US$11.3 billion spent during the historic period. Portugal is an active participant in joint operations with the European Union (EU) and peacekeeping operations with NATO and the United Nations (UN), and as such, seeks higher spending in terms of its defense sector. This, along with the Military Programming Law (LPM) that the country is anticipated to undertake over the next coming years, is expected to drive Portugal’s defense expenditure over the forecast period.
Over the forecast period, the country’s capital expenditure allocation is expected to average 18.6%, and revenue expenditure is expected to cap at an average of 81.4%. Capital expenditure over the forecast period is expected to increase at a CAGR of 2.04%, from US$471.1 million in 2020 to US$510.7 million in 2024. This is owing to the significant uptick in weapon procurement plans, as well as procuring defense equipment to replace outdated ones. For instance, Portugal is procuring 6 Agusta Westland AW119 Koala helicopters, 6 Viana do Castelo OPVs and one multi-role vessel, 47 4x4 Tactical Communications Vehicles, apart from procuring the country is also modernization its Black Shark Heavyweight Torpedoes, Tridente Class Attack Submarines.
The Portuguese homeland security expenditure valued US$2.5 billion in 2020 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.54% to reach US$2.8 billion in 2024, over the forecast period. This expenditure is primarily driven by Portugal’s focus on enhancing its defense capabilities to counter the increasing rate of cyber-attacks and securing the country’s maritime borders. The HLS budget is anticipated to be invested in the procurement of tablets, PDAs, offshore patrol vessels, biometric systems, and other advanced technology systems to strengthen its internal security forces.
The report "Future of the Portuguese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2024", offers detailed analysis of the Portuguese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
- The defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Portuguese defense industry during 2020-2024, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
- Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Portuguese defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Portuguese defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis
Companies mentioned: OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA, EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA, Edisoft, EMPORDEF TI Inc., IndraSistemas Portugal, Leonardo - Società per azioni, Arsenal Alfeite, Fabrequipa, Critical Software
Scope
- Portugal’s military expenditure, which stands at US$2.46 billion in 2019, is anticipated to grow from US$2.53 billion in 2020 to value US$2.74 billion in 2024, registering a CAGR of 2.03%, over the forecast period.
- The growth will primarily be fueled by the government plans to completely withdraw austerity reforms over the forecast period, which is expected to boost the country’s economy.
Reasons to Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Portuguese defense industry market trends for the coming five years
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
- A deep qualitative analysis of the Portuguese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts.
Table of Contents
1. Introduction1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. About the Publisher
2. Executive Summary
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Current Market Scenario
3.1.1. Primary Threat Perception
3.1.2. Military Doctrine and Strategy
3.1.3. Procurement Programs
3.1.4. Top Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2019-2024
3.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment and Support for Defense Projects
3.1.6. Political and Strategic Alliances
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.2.1. Portuguese defense budget is expected to record a CAGR of 2.03% over the forecast period
3.2.2. International peacekeeping operations expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period
3.2.3. Portuguese defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to decline over the forecast period
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.3.1. Capital expenditure is expected to account for 18.6% of the defense budget over 2020-2024
3.3.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of 2.04% over the forecast period
3.3.3. Army is expected to receive the highest allocation over the forecast period
3.3.4. Army is anticipated to have the major share of expenditure over the forecast period
3.3.5. Per capita defense expenditure is projected to increase over the forecast period
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.4.1. Portuguese homeland security budget anticipated to record a CAGR of 2.54% over the forecast period
3.4.2. Cyber-attacks and maritime security set to drive homeland security expenditure over the forecast period
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.5.1. Portuguese defense budget expected to remain low compared to the leading spenders
3.5.2. Portuguese defense expenditure to remain low compared to major spenders in Europe
3.5.3. Portugal allocates lower share of GDP to defense compared to the US and other European countries
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.6.1. Top 10 Defense Market Categories by Value (US$ million) - Forecast-Period Projections
3.6.2. Corvettes MRO
3.6.3. Physical Security
3.6.4. Land-based C4ISR
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase over 2020-2024
4.1.2. Portugal sourced the majority of its arms imports from Denmark
4.1.3. Naval vessels and armored vehicles accounted for the majority of military imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Defense exports expected to rise during the forecast period
4.2.2. Romania accounted for the majority of Portuguese defense exports
4.2.3. Aircraft are the main exported defense products
5. Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining Power of Supplier: High to Medium
5.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyer: Medium to Low
5.1.3. Barrier to Entry: Low to Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: Medium to High
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Medium to High
6. Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry and research activities
6.1.2. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry and research activities
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Budgeting Process
6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process
6.2.3. Setting up subsidiaries offers a market entry opportunity
6.2.4. Technology transfer, sub-contracts, and long-term supply contracts open new market entry strategy choices
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Preference for EU companies poses a challenge for other companies
6.3.2. Budget cuts due to austerity measures challenging defense companies
6.3.3. Domestic defense companies facing challenges from foreign companies
6.3.4. Corrupt practices in the Portuguese government challenges the industry
7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Portuguese Market Share Analysis, 2018
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA: Overview
7.2.2. OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA: Products
7.2.3. OGMA - Indústria Aeronáutica de Portugal SA: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.4. OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA: Alliances
7.2.5. OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.6. EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA: Overview
7.2.7. EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA: Products
7.2.8. EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.9. EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA: Alliances
7.2.10. EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.11. Edisoft: Overview
7.2.12. Edisoft: Products
7.2.13. Edisoft: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.14. Edisoft: Alliances
7.2.15. Edisoft: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.16. EMPORDEF TI Inc.: Overview
7.2.17. EMPORDEF TI Inc.: Products
7.2.18. EMPORDEF TI Inc.: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.19. EMPORDEF TI Inc.: Alliances
7.2.20. EMPORDEF TI Inc.: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.21. IndraSistemas Portugal: Overview
7.2.22. IndraSistemas Portugal: Products and Services
7.2.23. IndraSistemas Portugal: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.24. IndraSistemas Portugal: Alliances
7.2.25. IndraSistemas Portugal: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.26. Leonardo - Società per azioni: Overview
7.2.27. Leonardo - Società per azioni: Products
7.2.28. Leonardo - Società per azioni: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.29. Leonardo - Società per azioni: Alliances
7.2.30. Leonardo - Società per azioni: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.31. Arsenal Alfeite: Overview
7.2.32. Arsenal Alfeite: Products and Services
7.2.33. Arsenal Alfeite: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.34. Arsenal Alfeite: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.35. Fabrequipa: Overview
7.2.36. Fabrequipa: Products
7.2.37. Fabrequipa: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.38. Fabrequipa: Alliances
7.2.39. Fabrequipa: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.40. Critical Software: Overview
7.2.41. Critical Software: Products
7.2.42. Critical Software: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.43. Critical Software: Alliances
7.2.44. Critical Software: Recent Contract Wins
8. Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. Gross Domestic per Capita (US$)
8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, Current US$ Billion
8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services
8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services
8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income
8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per US$
8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.10. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.11. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.12. Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.13. Services Exports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.14. Net Foreign Direct Investment
8.1.15. Net FDI as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
9. Appendix
9.1. About the Publisher
9.2. Disclaimer
List of Tables
- Table 1: Portugal - Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs
- Table 2: Portugal - Future Procurement Programs
- Table 3: Portugal - Top Five Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million), 2019-2024
- Table 4: Portuguese Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion & US$ Billion), 2015-2024
- Table 5: Portuguese GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2015-2024
- Table 6: Portuguese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2015-2024
- Table 7: Portuguese Defense Capital Expenditure (EUR Million &US$ Million), 2015-2024
- Table 8: Portuguese Defense Budget Share(%) Split by Services(Army, Navy, Air Force and Other), 2015-2024
- Table 9: Portuguese Defense Budget Allocations in EUR Million - Breakdown by Services (Army, Air Force, Navy and Others), 2015-2024
- Table 10: Portuguese Defense Budget in US$ Million - Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy,Air Force and Others), 2015-2024
- Table 11: Portuguese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2024
- Table 12: Portuguese Defense Expenditure for Homeland Security (EUR Billion & US$ Billion), 2015-2024
- Table 13: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2015-2019 vs 2020-2024
- Table 14: Portugal - Top 10 Defense Market Categories by Value (US$ Million), 2019-2024
- Table 15: Offset Regulations in Portugal
- Table 16: Competitive Landscape of the Portuguese Defense Industry
- Table 17: Portugal - Top Defense Suppliers by Value (US$ Million),2019-2024
- Table 18: OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA - Products
- Table 19: OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA- Alliances
- Table 20: OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA- Recent Contract Wins
- Table 21: EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA - Products
- Table 22: EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA- Alliances
- Table 23: EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA - Contracts
- Table 24: Edisoft- Products
- Table 25: Edisoft- Alliances
- Table 26: Edisoft- Recent Contract Wins
- Table 27: EMPORDEF TI Inc. - Products
- Table 28: EMPORDEF TI Inc.- Alliances
- Table 29: EMPORDEF TI Inc.- Recent Contract Wins
- Table 30: IndraSistemas Portugal - Products and Services
- Table 31: IndraSistemas Portugal- Alliances
- Table 32: IndraSistemas Portugal- Recent Contract Wins
- Table 33: AgustaWestland- Products
- Table 34: AgustaWestland Portugal- Alliances
- Table 35: AgustaWestland Portugal- Recent Contract Wins
- Table 36: Arsenal Alfeite- Products and Services
- Table 37: Arsenal Alfeite- Recent Contract Wins
- Table 38: Fabrequipa - Products
- Table 39: Fabrequipa- Alliances
- Table 40: Fabrequipa- Recent Contract Wins
- Table 41: Critical Software - Products
- Table 42: Critical Software - Alliances
- Table 43: Critical Software - Recent Contract Wins
List of Figures
- Figure 1 : Portuguese Defense Budget: 2020 and 2024
- Figure 2 : Portuguese Defense Imports/Exports: 2014 and 2018
- Figure 3: Portugal’s Top Prospective Procurements/Developments
- Figure 4: Portuguese National Security Threats
- Figure 5: Portugal Partnering Countries for Defense Cooperation and Military Training
- Figure 6: Portuguese Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2015-2024
- Figure 7: Portuguese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2024
- Figure 8: Portuguese GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2015-2024
- Figure 9: Portuguese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2024
- Figure 10: Portuguese Defense Capital Expenditure (EUR Million), 2015-2024
- Figure 11: Portuguese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Million), 2015-2024
- Figure 12: Portuguese Defense Expenditure Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Others (%), 2015-2024
- Figure 13: Portuguese Defense Expenditure in (EUR Million), - Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others), 2015-2024
- Figure 14: Portuguese Defense Budget in US$ Million - Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others), 2015-2024
- Figure 15: Portuguese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2024
- Figure 16: Portuguese Homeland Security Budget (EUR Billion), 2015-2024
- Figure 17: Portuguese Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2015-2024
- Figure 18: Benchmarking with the World’s Largest and Top Regional Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 vs 2020-2024
- Figure 19: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2019 and 2024
- Figure 20: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2019
- Figure 21: Corvettes MRO Market Size (US$ Million), 2019-2024
- Figure 22: Physical Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2019-2024
- Figure 23: Land-based C4ISR Market Size (US$ Million), 2019-2024
- Figure 24: Portugal - Defense Procurements in Terms of Supplier Relationships, 2019
- Figure 25: Portuguese Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2014-2018 (TIV Values)
- Figure 26: Portuguese Defense Imports by Country (%), 2014-2018
- Figure 27: Portuguese Defense Imports by Category (%), 2014-2018
- Figure 28: Portuguese Defense Export Trend (US$ Million), 2014-2018 (TIV Values)
- Figure 29: Portuguese Defense Exports by Country (%), 2014-2018
- Figure 30: Portuguese Defense Exports by Category (%), 2014-2018
- Figure 31: Industry Dynamics - Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
- Figure 32: The Portuguese Budgeting Process
- Figure 33: Key Challenges in Portuguese Defense Market
- Figure 34: Portuguese Market Share Analysis, 2018
- Figure 35: Portuguese GDP per Capita (US$), 2015-2025
- Figure 36: Portuguese Gross Domestic Product (Current US$ Billion), 2015-2025
- Figure 37: Portuguese Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014
- Figure 38: Portuguese Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014
- Figure 39: Portuguese Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2014
- Figure 40: Portuguese LCU per US$, 2015-2024
- Figure 41: Portuguese Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
- Figure 42: Portuguese Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
- Figure 43: Portuguese Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP,2005-2012
- Figure 44: Portuguese Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014
- Figure 45: Portuguese Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014
- Figure 46: Portuguese Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014
- Figure 47: Portuguese Services Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014
- Figure 48: Portuguese Net Foreign Direct Investment (Current US$ Billion), 2005-2014
- Figure 49: Portuguese Net FDI as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014
- Figure 50: Portuguese Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output(US$ Billion), 2005-2014
Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- OGMA - IndústriaAeronáutica de Portugal SA
- EID - Empresa de Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Electrónica SA
- Edisoft
- EMPORDEF TI Inc.
- IndraSistemas Portugal
- Leonardo - Società per azioni
- Arsenal Alfeite
- Fabrequipa
- Critical Software
