Thermal Power Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2020 - 2025)

The thermal power market is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 0.58% during the forecast period of 2020 – 2025. The growth is expected to increase due to increase in electricity demand. The growth is expected to take place mainly in the natural gas-based thermal power plants, while nuclear and coal thermal plants are expected to have stagnant net growth. Global Electricity consumption in the forecast period (2020-2025) is expected mostly depend upon thermal power plants, which is expected to account for around 68% of total energy needs.

• Natural gas power plants are going to be the fastest-growing segment. It is expected to grow due to its low carbon emission, low construction cost and highest efficiency (according to heat rate Btu/KWh) among the thermal power plants.
• Coal thermal power plants are expected to remain the most widely used thermal power plant and are expected to have the largest share in the electricity power (global) supply, in 2025, in the world. More Efficient technologies like Ultra Supercritical Coal Technology, which also reduces the amount of Pollution (per KW), are expected to replace the aged power plants and become an opportunity in the market.
• The Asia Pacific region is expected to dominate the market, with much of the demand coming from countries such as China and India.

Key Market Trends

Natural Gas Power Plants to Witness Significant Growth

• Natural gas combined-cycle plants are the most efficient among natural gas-fired power plants. They cost slightly less than gas turbine cycle plant in construction cost but can provide more energy by utilizing the heat released during the process. This can be seen in the United States, where the overnight cost (construction cost) of a natural gas combined cycle and natural gas combustion turbine (aeroderivative) is 1,079 USD/kW and 1,170 USD/kW, in 2019, respectively.
• Renewable resources such as solar have not been able to provide electricity with storage or molten salt at the cheap rates in 2020. Till such technology becomes competitive, gas is expected to remain the preferable alternative.
• 37% and 23.2% of electricity in the world, in the year 2018, is generated by coal and gas respectfully.
• The natural gas combined cycle plants are going to dominate the new electricity generation in the upcoming years, especially in countries like China and India.

Asia-Pacific to Record the Highest Growth

• Asia-Pacific is the largest market for thermal power plants and is expected to create the most significant demand for it in the forecast period.
• As electricity demand increases per capita around the globe, planned thermal power plants like Phulari Coal Powered Plant in Bangladesh and Patratu Super-Thermal Power Plant (Coal) in India are expected to increase growth in the thermal power plant sector.
• China is constructing the highest number of thermal power plants in the world. Ultra-supercritical coal plants like Fuyang Power Station and Huadian Laizhou Power Station are being built to match the electricity demand.
• Many of the countries in the Asia-Pacific region are industrializing at a rapid pace and, therefore, require a lot of energy. Hence, nations are choosing the cheapest method of producing electricity by constructing coal and gas power plants.

Competitive Landscape

The market concentration is consolidated. Some of the key companies in the market include Siemens AG, National Thermal Power Corporation Limited, Chubu Electric Power Company Inc., General Electric Company and Electricite de France S.A.

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