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Insurance Market in Poland 2023-2025, CEE Insurance Series

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    Report

  • 75 Pages
  • May 2023
  • Region: Poland
  • Inteliace Research
  • ID: 5231318

About the report:

Insurance Market in Poland 2023-2025 is the latest full update of a comprehensive publication on the insurance sector in Poland. It is describing the present market structure and recent trends in the insurance market. It also provides estimates of insurance premium growth expected for the years 2023-2025. 

As of 2022, the Insurance premium written p.a. within CEE14  region (Central and Eastern Europe) was worth €43.6 billion. Poland came first in the region with nearly € 15.4 billion in premium and 35 % share. Poland's insurance sector was stable with long-term trends remaining intact. The non-life segment experienced robust growth, with premiums increasing by nearly 8% year-on-year. This growth was driven mainly by the appreciation of underlying assets, particularly homes, and cars, which in turn can be attributed to increasing consumer price inflation. On the other hand, the life insurance segment exhibited a marginal premium loss, continuously suffering from legacy unit-linked products, but, still aligning with previous years' trends.

The insurance sector in Poland is undergoing a gradual evolution, with consolidation being one of the key processes. Recently, a few players decided to leave the market and a number of M&A deals have been closed. Prominent transactions include the acquisition of Aegon by VIG, the acquisition of Aviva by Allianz, and the integration of MetLife by Nationale Nederlanden. Through consolidation, mid-sized insurers are able to scale up their operations and enhance profitability in the face of rising costs, required investments, and tariff pressures. Consolidation within the sector presents various benefits. It allows companies to achieve economies of scale, expand their customer base, enhance their product portfolios, and improve operational efficiency.  The outlook for insurers in terms of premium income is predominantly positive. By 2025, the combined premium written for life and non-life business in Poland is likely to top EUR 20 billion. 

Table of Contents


1: Executive summary
1. Macroeconomic overview
  • Slide 2: Poland - Overview and key facts, 2022
  • Slide 3: Poland in Europe: Number of households vs. wealth, 2021/2022
  • Slide 4: Key macroeconomic indicators, 2017-2022
  • Slide 5: Foreign trade statistics, C/A, FDI, 2017-2022
  • Slide 6: Unemployment and salaries/wages, 2017-2022
  • Slide 7: Disposable income in households and income distribution, 2017-2022; Income distribution 2021
  • Slide 8: Consumer confidence index evolution, Jan. 2018 - Apr. 2023
  • Slide 9: Warsaw Stock Exchange - Turnover, Market cap. and indexes, 2017-2022
  • Slide 10: Banking assets evolution, 2017-2022
2. Insurance market
  • Slide 11: Insurance Markets in CEE - Size vs. growth matrix, 2020-2022
  • Slide 12: Insurance premiums per capita & premiums/GDP penetration - CEE  comparison, 2022
  • Slide 13: Insurance gross premiums - Local insurers (life/non-life, in PLN), 2018-2022
  • Slide 14: Top 10 insurance groups in Poland by total premium written, 2022
  • Slide 15: Insurance market concentration and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (life/non-life), 2022 vs. 1H 2020
  • Slide 16: Current and upcoming Insurance M&A transactions in Poland, 2018-2022
  • Slide 17: Own funds for life and non-life insurers, 2018-2022, SCR coverage ratios, 2020-2022
  • Slide 18: Insurance - Regulatory institutions
3. Non-life insurance
  • Slide 19: Non-life insurance markets in CEE - Size vs. growth matrix, 2020-2022
  • Slide 20: Non-life premiums per capita & premiums/GDP penetration - CEE comparison, 2022
  • Slide 21: Non-life insurance gross and net premium evolution, 2018-2022
  • Slide 22: Top 10 non-life insurance players in Poland, 2022
  • Slide 23: Market shares of top non-life players evolution, 2018-2022
  • Slide 24: Non-life premium by client segment and insurance class (car insurance vs. other), 2022
  • Slide 25: Non-life premium by risk class, 2020-2022
  • Slide 26: Sales channels of non-life insurance, 2019-2021
  • Slide 27: Non-life insurers results, technical and P&L accounts (waterfall chart), 2022
  • Slide 28: Non-life insurance - Profitability tree, 2018-2022
  • Slide 29: Non-life insurance - Claims and expense ratio evolution, 2018-2022
  • Slide 30: Non-life insurance - Combined ratio and its elements, 2018-2022
  • Slide 31: Non-life insurance - Acquisition costs evolution, 2020-2022, acquisition cost ratios for individual non-life insurers, 2021
  • Slide 32: Network multi-agents: Unilink, CUK, Conditor, LGK , Asist, Arrant, DCU etc.
  • Slide 33: Health Insurance - Opportunity for insurers; Premium written, 2019-2022E
  • Slide 34: Car insurance - Premium and no. policies evolution, MTPL, Casco, 2018-2022
  • Slide 35: Car insurance - Top players in MTPL and in Casco, 2020-2022
  • Slide 36: Car insurance - Combined ratio and its elements, MTPL and in Casco, 2020-2022
  • Slide 37: Car insurance - Average premium per policy for Casco and TPL, 1Q2016-4Q2022
4. Life insurance
  • Slide 38: Life insurance markets in CEE - Size vs. growth matrix, 2020-2022
  • Slide 39: Life premiums per capita & premiums/GDP penetration - CEE comparison, 2022
  • Slide 40: Life insurance gross and net premiums evolution, 2018-2022
  • Slide 41: Top 10 life insurance players in Poland, 2022
  • Slide 42: Market shares of top life players evolution, 2019-2022
  • Slide 43: Life premium by insurance class and segment, 2022
  • Slide 44: Life premium by risk class evolution, 2020-2022
  • Slide 45: Life insurance technical reserves evolution and structure, 2019-2022
  • Slide 46: Sales channels of life insurance, 2020-2021
  • Slide 47: Life insurers results, Technical and P&L accounts (waterfall chart), 2022
  • Slide 48: Life insurance - profitability tree, 2018-2022
  • Slide 49: Life insurance - acquisition costs evolution, 2020-2022, acquisition cost ratios for individual life insurers, 2021
5. Bancassurance
  • Slide 50: Bancassurance: Premium written by bank channel (life/non-life), 2019-2022,data by KNF vs. data by PIU
  • Slide 51: Bancassurance: Product/class split in bank channel (life/non-life), 2022
  • Slide 52: Bancassurance: Sales of investment type life products other than unit-linked, 2018-2022
  • Slide 53: Comparison websites and online multi-agencies - overview, 2022
6. Top players' profiles
  • Slide 54: PZU
  • Slide 55: Warta
  • Slide 56: ERGO Hestia
7. Forecast
  • Slide 57: Non-life insurance premiums forecast, 2023-2025
  • Slide 58: Life Insurance premiums forecast, 2023-2025
  • Slide 59: Notes on Methodology

Companies Mentioned

  • Allianz Życie Polska S.A.
  • Aviva
  • Compensa Tunż S.A.Vienna Insurance Group
  • Concordia Polska Tuw
  • Generali Tu S.A.
  • Hdi Asekuracja Tu S.A
  • Link4 Tu S.A.
  • Metlife
  • Mtu Moje Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń
  • Nationale Nederlanden Tunż S.A.
  • Pzu S.A.
  • Pzu Życie S.A.
  • Stu Ergo Hestia S.A.
  • Stunż Ergo Hestia S.A.
  • Tu Allianz Polska S.A.
  • Tu Compensa S.A.
  • Tu Europa S.A.
  • Tuir Warta S.A.
  • Tunż Europa S.A.
  • Tunż Warta S.A.
  • Uniqa Tu Na Życie S.A.
  • Uniqa Tu S.A.