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Insurance Market In Poland 2024-2026, CEE Insurance Series

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    Report

  • 73 Pages
  • November 2024
  • Region: Poland
  • Inteliace Research
  • ID: 5231318

This report is the latest full update of comprehensive publication on the insurance sector in Poland. It describes the present market structure and recent trends in the insurance market. It also provides estimates of insurance premium growth expected for the years 2024-2026.

As of H1 2024, Poland, with nearly €19.2 billion in gross written premiums (GWP), accounted for approximately 39% of the total regional premium in Central and Eastern Europe. (CEE14*)

Poland’s insurance sector experienced solid premium growth in 2023, with these trends continuing through the first half of 2024. The non-life segment performed particularly well, with premiums increasing by 12% year-on-year in H1 2024. In the life insurance segment, growth was lower but still significant, with premiums rising nearly 5% on an annual basis. Consistent with long-term trends, a small number of top insurers continue to expand their market share, while the collective share of smaller players is declining. This trend is likely driven by recent mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and the economies of scale enabling larger insurers to offer more competitive rates.

The mid-term outlook for premium income remains positive. Projections suggest that from 2024 to 2026, the nominal growth of gross written premium (GWP) will remain stable, albeit slightly below historical averages, at approximately 8% for the non-life segment and 5% for the life segment. By 2026, combined life and non-life insurance premiums are expected to exceed PLN 98 billion (EUR 23+ billion).

Table of Contents

1. Macroeconomic overview
  • Slide 1: Executive summary
  • Slide 2: Poland - Overview and Key Facts, 2024
  • Slide 3: Poland in Europe: Number of households vs. wealth, 2023
  • Slide 4: Key macroeconomic indicators, 2019-2024F
  • Slide 5: Foreign trade statistics, C/A, FDI, 2019-2024F
  • Slide 6: Unemployment and salaries/wages, 2019-2024F
  • Slide 7: Disposable income in households and income distribution, 2019-2024F; Income distribution 2023
  • Slide 8: Consumer confidence index evolution, Jan. 2019 - Sep. 2024
  • Slide 9: Warsaw Stock Exchange - Turnover, Market cap. and indexes, 2019-3Q24
  • Slide 10: Banking assets evolution, 2019-3Q24
2. Insurance market
  • Slide 11: Insurance Markets in CEE - Size vs. growth matrix, 2022-1H24
  • Slide 12: Insurance premiums per capita & premiums/GDP penetration - CEE comparison, 1H24
  • Slide 13: Insurance gross premiums - (life/non-life, in PLN), 2020-1H24
  • Slide 14: Top 10 insurance groups in Poland by total premium written, 1H24
  • Slide 15: Insurance market concentration and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (life/non-life), 2022 vs. 1H24
  • Slide 16: Current and upcoming Insurance M&A transactions in Poland, 2020-1H24
  • Slide 17: Own funds for life and non-life insurers, 2020-1H24, SCR coverage ratios, 2022-1H24
3. Non-life insurance
  • Slide 18: Non-life insurance markets in CEE - Size vs. growth matrix, 2022-1H24
  • Slide 19: Non-life premiums per capita & premiums/GDP penetration - CEE comparison, 1H24
  • Slide 20: Non-life insurance gross and net premium evolution, 2020-1H24
  • Slide 21: Top 10 non-life insurance players in Poland, 1H24
  • Slide 22: Market shares of top non-life players evolution, 2021-1H24
  • Slide 23: Non-life premium by client segment and insurance class (car insurance vs. other), 1H24
  • Slide 24: Non-life premium by risk class, 2022-1H24
  • Slide 25: Sales channels of non-life insurance, 2021-2023
  • Slide 26: Non-life insurers results, technical and P&L accounts (waterfall chart), 2023
  • Slide 27: Non-life insurance - Profitability tree, 2019-2023
  • Slide 28: Non-life insurance - Claims and expense ratio evolution, 2020-1H24
  • Slide 29: Non-life insurance - Combined ratio and its elements, 2020-1H24
  • Slide 30: Non-life insurance - Acquisition costs evolution, 2022-1H24, acquisition cost ratios for individual non-life insurers, 2023
  • Slide 31: Network multi-agents: Unilink, CUK, Phinance, Konsultant, Rankomat, ASF, Asist, Conditor, Punkta, DCU etc.
  • Slide 32: Comparison websites and online multi-agencies - overview, 1H24
  • Slide 33: Health Insurance - Premium written, Number of insured individuals, Average premium, 2020-1H24
  • Slide 34: Car insurance - Premium and no. policies evolution, MTPL, Casco, 2020-1H24
  • Slide 35: Car insurance - Top players in MTPL and in Casco, 2022-1H24
  • Slide 36: Car insurance - Combined ratio and its elements, MTPL and in Casco, 2022-1H24
  • Slide 37: Car insurance - Average premium per policy for Casco and TPL, 1Q2018-2Q24
4. Life insurance
  • Slide 38: Life insurance markets in CEE - Size vs. growth matrix, 2022-1H24
  • Slide 39: Life premiums per capita & premiums/GDP penetration - CEE comparison, 1H24
  • Slide 40: Life insurance gross and net premiums evolution, 2020-1H24
  • Slide 41: Top 10 life insurance players in Poland, 1H24
  • Slide 42: Market shares of top life players evolution, 2021-1H24
  • Slide 43: Life premium by insurance class and segment, 1H24
  • Slide 44: Life premium by risk class evolution, 2022-1H24
  • Slide 45: Life insurance technical reserves evolution and structure, 2021-1H24
  • Slide 46: Sales channels of life insurance, 2022-2023
  • Slide 47: Life insurers results, Technical and P&L accounts (waterfall chart), 2023
  • Slide 48: Life insurance - profitability tree, 2019-2023
  • Slide 49: Life insurance - acquisition costs evolution, 2022-1H24, acquisition cost ratios for individual life insurers, 2023
5. Bancassurance
  • Slide 50: Bancassurance: Premium written by bank channel (life/non-life), 2021-1H24, data by KNF vs. data by PIU
  • Slide 51: Bancassurance: Product/class split in bank channel (life/non-life), 2023
  • Slide 52: Bancassurance: Sales of investment-type life products other than unit-linked, 2020-1H24
6. Top players' profiles
  • Slide 53: PZU
  • Slide 54: Warta
  • Slide 55: ERGO Hestia
7. Forecast
  • Slide 56: Non-life insurance premiums forecast, 2024-2026F
  • Slide 57: Life Insurance Premiums Forecast, 2024-2026F
  • Slide 58: Notes on Methodology

Companies Mentioned

  • Allianz Życie Polska S.A.
  • Aviva
  • Compensa Tunż S.A.Vienna Insurance Group
  • Concordia Polska Tuw
  • Generali Tu S.A.
  • Hdi Asekuracja Tu S.A
  • Link4 Tu S.A.
  • Metlife
  • Mtu Moje Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń
  • Nationale Nederlanden Tunż S.A.
  • Pzu S.A.
  • Pzu Życie S.A.
  • Stu Ergo Hestia S.A.
  • Stunż Ergo Hestia S.A.
  • Tu Allianz Polska S.A.
  • Tu Compensa S.A.
  • Tu Europa S.A.
  • Tuir Warta S.A.
  • Tunż Europa S.A.
  • Tunż Warta S.A.
  • Uniqa Tu Na Życie S.A.
  • Uniqa Tu S.A.