Post Covid Schooling: Digital Learning and Charter Schools Up; Catholic School Enrollment Declines
After one and a half years of disruptive learning caused by the pandemic, nearly 100% of PreK-12 students returned to school full time by the third quarter of 2021. During the 2020-2021 school year, there were 18,254 public school districts and 98,609 public schools, with enrollment trending up from 47.2 million in 2020 to 50.6 million in 2021, driven by increasing birth rates, immigration and expanding access to prekindergarten. Rely on the analyst's United States PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2022-2023 to build your strategy in serving the PreK-12 market for 2022 and forward.
United States PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2022-2023 examines data, trends, and outlook for students enrolled in public and private schools in the US. The data and findings are based on the analyst's internal research and analysis of official data drawn from governmental agencies, associations and other authoritative and timely sources.
The United States PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2022-2023 market research report covers the following major categories:
- Enrollment Rates
- Public Schools
- Private Schools
- Charter Schools
- Homeschooling
- Graduation Rates
- Students in Poverty
- ELL Population
- Special Services
- Connected Students
- Digital Learning
United States PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2022-2023 contains detailed and granular data and analysis on key trends and developments in these areas including:
- Digital learning, home schooling and virtual schools
- Decline in Catholic schools
- Private school enrollment trends
- Higher disenrollment in preschool and kindergarten
- Widening learning gaps for students with limited online access
- Increasing graduation rates
Key trends discussed include:
- The rise in digital learning
- The push for uninterrupted internet connections
- Increased support for school choice
Publishers and investment professionals can trust the United States PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2022-2023 to provide the inside intelligence needed to evaluate the changes and student needs affecting public, private and home-based K-12 schooling.
United States PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2022-2023 is an essential tool for publishing executives, M&A advisors, market analysts, and industry consultants who need to understand the current drivers of how many students are enrolling in PreK-12 schools, the current challenges in learning, forecasts for future enrollment and other major drivers impacting enrollment, graduation and learning.
The analyst has the knowledge base and perspective gained from more than 20 years’ covering this market and the rapid changes in technology, the economy, mergers, partnerships and public policy that affect it.
Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- Introduction & Methodology
- Methodology
- Back to School: Is the Enrollment Rate Recovering?
- COVID-Associated Disenrollment Reversed
- Disenrollment is Higher in Preschool and Kindergarten
- Table Enrollment Rate by Grade, 2020-2021
- California Continues to Illustrate Pandemic Trends
- Where Students Went and Departure Impact
- Fiscal Consequences of Disenrollment
- Public Schools: Numbers & Students
- Public School Enrollment Growth Slows
- Table Trends in Public School Enrollment, 2000-2030P (in millions)
- Table Enrollment Trends in Elementary, Secondary, and Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions, 2000-2019 (in millions)
- Varying Enrollment Patterns Across the States
- Table Projected Percentage Change in Public Elementary & Secondary Enrollment, 2020 to 2030
- Birth Rates to Impact Future Enrollment
- Public School Enrollment Growth Slows
- Private School Enrollment: Decline in Catholic Schools’ Enrollment
- Private Schools in Demand Despite High Cost - an Opportunity
- Catholic School Enrollment Witnesses an Increasing Trend
- Table Percent Change in Catholic School Enrollment, 2016-2021
- Support for School Choice Continues to Grow
- Increasing Interest in Charter Schools
- Table Charter School Trends, 2000-2020
- Table Charter Schools by State, 2019-2020
- Characteristics of Charter Schools
- Pandemic-Led Homeschooling Surge Continues
- Table Homeschooling Trends, 2003-2019
- Virtual Schools’ Future Still Bright
- Graduation Rates Inch Up
- Table Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rates for Public High School Students, 2018-2019
- Dual Enrollment Offers Opportunities
- The Decline for Students in Poverty
- Table Title 1 Schools by State, 2020-2021
- Enrollment Trend for Students Experiencing Homelessness
- ELL Population Continues to Grow
- Table Trends in English-Language Learner Enrollment, 2000-2001 to 2019-2020
- Table Percentage of Public-School Students Who Are ELL by State, 2019-2020
- Services Support Special Needs Students
- Table Trends in Youth Receiving IDEA Services, 2017-2018 to 2020-2021
- PreK Progress on a Downward Trend
- Table Enrollment Growth in State-Funded Preschool Programs, 2017-2018 to 2020-2021
- Table Enrollment & Per-Child Spending in State-Funded Preschool, 2020-2021
- Pandemic Impacts PreK
- Table Pandemic impact on Enrollment, Pre-Pandemic to Fall of 2021
- Expat Influence on Enrollment, Diversity in School
- Table Leading Countries of Origin Ranking by Number of Immigrant Students, Fall of 2020
- More Connected Students; Needs to Expand
- Table 3-18-Year-Old Children with Home Internet Access, 2016-2019
- Conclusion
Executive Summary
After one and a half years of disruptive learning, nearly 100% of Prek-12 students returned to school full time by the third quarter of 2021.
That’s one of the findings of the report PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2022-2023, which examines data, trends, and outlook for students enrolled in public and private schools in the US. Along with broader enrollment and demographic trends, the report identifies how COVID has impacted enrollment, and other key drivers.
For example, digital and online learning, which surged during the pandemic, continues to grow and play a major role in US schools and is spurring the federal government to ensure uninterrupted internet connections. The FCC is pushing for 1Mbps per student bandwidth goal; as of late 2021 59% of districts or 18.8 million students and 7,675 school districts met or exceeded that goal. This focus on online and digital learning also is necessitating a corresponding increase in the availability and use of digital learning materials.
The report also identifies the total number of enrolled students and schools. In the 2020-2021 school year, there were 19,254 public school districts and 98,609 public schools. California has the highest number with 10,328 public schools, followed by Texas with 9,002 and then New York with 4,807. Enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools trended up from 47.2 million in 2020 to 50.6 million in 2021, a 7.3% increase. That growth has been driven by increasing birth rates, immigration and expanding access to prekindergarten. The report also reveals that total public school enrollment is expected to increase at a slower rate through the fall of 2030.
Changes in enrollment in certain types of schools are also examined. For example, homeschooling, charter schools and virtual schools all reported enrollment increases during the pandemic. Charter schools in particular continue to grow rapidly: in 2020-2021 there were 7,644 charter schools serving 3.5 million students; in 2019-2020 there were 7,547 charter schools serving 3.4 million students. This increase is a continuation of a larger trend: in 2000 there were 1,993 charter schools serving just 448,000 students.
Overall, private school enrollment dropped from a total of 11.6% of students in 2000 down to 10.1% in 2019, (representing 5.7 million students; remaining the same number as it was in 2018). Other trends include declining enrollment in Catholic schools and increasing support for the notion of school choice.
This new report identifies other trends as well of importance to those serving the educational market. For example, the study found that the growth in ELL (English Language Learners) was growing with 5.1 million students in the 2019-2020 school year. Overall graduation rates recently increased as well.
Some negative trends are also surfaced in the report. One is the problem of dropping out or disenrollment, notably highest in preschool and kindergarten, which has created long lasting serious fiscal consequences for schools. The report also notes that efforts to provide universal PreK are moving slowly, declining in the 2019-2020 to 2020-2021 years in nearly every state. Furthermore, socioeconomic gaps have widened as students who did not have access to computers, reliable connectivity, and productive instruction fell further behind their better-situated schoolmates. The report notes that these factors might stimulate the market for products that can remediate learning gaps and address standards across multiple grade levels as traditional schooling resumes.
Methodology
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