Residential Real Estate - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts 2019-2029

The Residential Real Estate Market size is estimated at USD 11.14 trillion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 14.96 trillion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 6.07% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Key Highlights

• The third quarter of 2022 saw an increase in economic headwinds; major economies are predicted to enter a recession in the upcoming period. However, certain nations, including those exporting commodities, are doing much better, indicating an uneven downturn. Further rate rises are projected through 2023 as central banks continue to take serious action to fight this. Occupiers are taking a more cautious approach now that decision-making processes are taking longer and, in some circumstances, standards are being lowered. These factors have decreased investor confidence and transaction volumes in capital markets.
• The cost of newly listed homes in the United States has increased by 26.5% since March 2020 and 13.5% since the same period in 2021. Prices have cl bed by 9.1% in major urban regions like New York, Chicago, and Dallas/Fort Worth. The median active listing price in March 2022 was USD 405,000, an 8% rise from the median active listing price in the same month the previous year.
• The nationwide inventory of active listings fell by 18.9% due to the rising demand. This real estate statistic shows that more people are looking for homes than available homes for sale, a situation known as a seller's market, which raises prices and causes a shortage.
• Furthermore, government measures in promoting affordable housing stimulate market expansion. Governments in Australia, the United States, and Canada have planned strategies such as concessions for first-time buyers, veterans' subsidies, a golden visa, low-cost affordable housing schemes, and a reduction in transactional taxes, all of which are expected to boost growth in the residential real estate market. Even the low mortgage interest rates fuel the residential real estate market in countries like the United States, Canada, India, and Australia.

Residential Real Estate Market Trends

Increased urbanization and homeownership by elderly

• Approximately 4.4 billion people, or 56% of the world's population, now reside in cities. By 2050, approximately 7 out of 10 people will live in cities, with the urban population predicted to surpass its current level. Nevertheless, the speed and scale of urbanization present difficulties, such as meeting the increased demand for affordable housing and functional infrastructure, including transportation systems, essential services, and jobs, particularly for the nearly 1 billion urban poor who live in informal settlements to be close to opportunities.
• In the United States, 75.3% of persons between the ages of 55 and 64 and 79.4% of people over 65 are homeowners. People under 35 had the lowest homeownership rate, with 38.3%.
• Gen X, born between 1965 and 1979, makes up the majority of American homebuyers (24%). They are the largest generation in terms of home sales. At 23%, older millennials (born between 1980 and 1989) are the second-largest homebuyers. While the younger generations tend to buy more frequently, the older generations predominately sell.
• According to experts, the ongoing rise of tall structures is a necessary component of the urban sustainability agenda as a housing solution. Major skylines are changing quickly in urban centers all around the world right now. The degree of development in cities like Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Dubai, Riyadh, Mumbai, and London, to name a few, is evidence of the diversity of these worldwide trends. The majority of development is taking place in the GCC and Asia's expanding economies.

Increase in residential properties across the United States due to less mortgage rates

• When mortgage rates are low, it becomes more affordable for people to borrow money to purchase homes. Lower mortgage rates mean lower monthly mortgage payments, which can make homeownership more accessible to a larger number of people. This increased affordability can lead to a higher demand for residential properties.
• Lower mortgage rates often stimulate activity in the housing market. Potential homebuyers, motivated by the opportunity to secure a lower interest rate, may be more inclined to enter the market and purchase a property. This increased demand can contribute to an overall increase in residential property sales.
• Lower mortgage rates not only attract new homebuyers but also incentivize existing homeowners to refinance their mortgages. Refinancing allows homeowners to replace their current mortgage with a new one that has a lower interest rate. This can result in reduced monthly mortgage payments or even cash-out refinancing, where homeowners take advantage of the lower rates to access additional funds for other purposes.
• The increased demand for residential properties due to lower mortgage rates can also influence the construction and development sector. Developers and builders may respond to the demand by initiating new residential projects to meet the needs of potential homebuyers. This can lead to an increase in the supply of residential properties in certain areas.
• Mortgage rates are influenced by various economic factors, such as inflation, monetary policy, and market conditions. When mortgage rates decrease, it can be an indicator of a more accommodative monetary policy or a slower economy. Lower mortgage rates can stimulate economic activity by encouraging consumer spending and investment in the housing market.
• It's important to note that the impact of lower mortgage rates on residential properties can vary across different regions within the US. Factors such as local housing market conditions, employment rates, and population growth can influence the extent to which lower mortgage rates drive an increase in residential property activity.

Residential Real Estate Industry Overview

The residential real estate market is fragmented and highly competitive, with the presence of regional and international players. International MNCs include Savills PLC and Sun Hung Kai Properties. The regional players dominate their respective countries, like DLF in India and KB Homes in the United States. Major companies in the market have adopted strategies such as acquisitions, business developments, joint ventures, partnerships, and product launches to offer better services to customers in the residential real estate market. For instance, in 2021, Savills formed a strategic alliance with SRS Real Estate Partners. In 2021, Lennar Group acquired RealStar Homes, a privately-held Coastal Carolinas operator, to expand the market.

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