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Japan Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2029 (H1 2025)

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    Report

  • 50 Pages
  • February 2025
  • Region: Japan
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5742647

The Construction in Japan - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2029 (H1 2025) report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Japanese construction industry, including:

  • The Japanese construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Japanese construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
The analyst expects the construction industry in Japan to expand by 1.6% in real terms in 2025, supported by a rise in construction orders, and increased investment in the renewable energy and industrial sectors. According to the Statistics Bureau, the total value of contracts received for construction increased by 9.1% year on year (YoY) in the first eleven months of 2024. In December 2024, the government approved the Financial Year (FY) 2025/26 Budget (April 2025 to March 2026), which includes an expenditure of JPY115.5 trillion ($822.4 billion), an increase of 2.6% compared to last year’s budget allocation. However, labour shortages, falling building construction starts, and cancellation and delays in construction projects owing to cost overruns are expected to pose a downside risk to the construction industry in the short to medium term. For instance, Nakano Sun Plaza Redevelopment project has been delayed due to rising costs, which ballooned by JPY90 billion ($640.8 million) from its original estimate of JPY263.9 billion ($1.9 billion) and was originally expected to be completed by 2028.

Over the remainder of the forecast period, the construction industry’s output is expected to record an annual average growth rate of 1.2% between 2025 and 2029, supported by investments in the renewable energy, commercial, and industrial sectors in line with the government’s aim to boost the country’s semiconductor industry. For instance, in November 2024, the government announced an aid of JPY9.1 trillion ($65 billion) for boosting the country’s semiconductor and artificial intelligence infrastructure through subsidiaries and financial incentives by 2030. Also, in December 2024, the government announced an investment of JPY300 billion ($2.1 billion) to support the research, development, and production of the semiconductor industry, including JPY100 billion ($712 million) for the construction of local chipmaker, Rapidus, nanometer chips facility in Hokkaidoof by 2027. Growth will also be supported by the government’s target of all new cars to be sold to be electric by 2035. To support this, in September 2024, the government announced its plan to allocate JPY1 trillion ($7.1 billion) as subsidiaries to support the development of electric vehicle batteries in the country by 2028. Among the recent developments, local automotive company, Mazda, in early January 2025, announced its plan to construct a 10GWh battery production plant in Iwakuni by 2030. Also, in early January 2025, local automaker, Nissan, announced its plan to construct a JPY153.3 billion ($1.1 billion) 5GWh battery production plant in Fukuoka, spanning 150,000m2 by 2028. Over the long term, the industry’s growth will be supported by the government’s plan to invest JPY25.7 trillion ($200 billion) in the construction of high-speed rail lines, the doubling of existing tracks, the electrification of routes, and the upgradation of freight terminals between 2020 and 2030.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Japan. It provides:

  • Historical (2020-2024) and forecast (2025-2029) valuations of the construction industry in Japan, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends
  • Formulate and validate business strategies using the analyst's critical and actionable insight
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
  • Outlook
  • Latest news and developments
  • Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
  • About the Analyst
  • Contact the Publisher
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Japan, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Japan, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 4: Japan, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Japan, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 6: Japan, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Japan, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 8: Japan, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Japan, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 10: Japan, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Japan, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 12: Japan, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Japan, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 14: Japan, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Japan, Key Contractors
Table 16: Japan, Key Consultants
Table 17: Japan, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Japan, Construction Output Value (Nominal, JPY Billion)
Table 19: the analyst Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: North-East Asia, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2023-29
Figure 2: Japan, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2023-25 and 2026-29
Figure 3: Japan, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Japan, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Japan, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2022 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2020-29
Figure 6: Japan, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 7: Japan, Total Value of Private Sector Investments on Buildings (JPY Billion)
Figure 8: Japan, Total Floor Area of Building Construction Started, % Change YoY
Figure 9: Japan, Value of Contracts Received for Construction, Nominal (JPY Billion)
Figure 10: Japan, Index of Business Confidence (2020=100)
Figure 11: Japan, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 12: North-East Asia, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 13: Japan, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 14: Japan, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 15: Japan, Foreign Visitor Arrivals (in Thousands)
Figure 16: Japan, Wholesale and Retail Trade, % Change YoY
Figure 17: Japan, Total Area of New Construction Starts in Wholesale and Retail Industry (Thousand m2)
Figure 18: Japan, Total Area of New Construction Starts in Accommodation and Eating Industry (in thousand m2)
Figure 19: Japan, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 20: Japan, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 21: Japan, Total Area of New Construction Starts in Manufacturing Industry (in thousand m2)
Figure 22: Japan, Manufacturing Production Index (2015=100), Seasonally Adjusted
Figure 23: Japan, Overseas Machinery Orders (JPY billion)
Figure 24: Japan, New Motor Vehicle Sales (in Thousands)
Figure 25: Japan, Exports (JPY Trillion)
Figure 26: Japan, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 27: Japan, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 28: Japan, Value of Contracts Received for Civil engineering Construction (JPY Billion)
Figure 29: Japan, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 30: Japan, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 31: Japan, Total Area of New Construction Starts in Information and Communication Industry (Thousand m2)
Figure 32: Japan, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 33: Japan, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 34: Japan, Total Area of New Schools and Hospitals Construction Starts (Thousand m2)
Figure 35: Japan, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 36: Japan, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 37: Japan, Private Residential Investments (JPY Billion)
Figure 38: Japan, Consumer Confidence Index, Seasonally Adjusted
Figure 39: Japan, Number of New Construction Starts of Dwellings (in Thousands)
Figure 40: Japan, Existing Home Sales in Tokyo and Osaka Metropolitan Areas, % Change YoY
Figure 41: Japan, Hedonic Property Price Index
Figure 42: Japan, Total Number of Bankruptcies in Real Estate Industry
Figure 43: Japan, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 44: Japan, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)