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Poland Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2028 (Q4 2024)

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    Report

  • 48 Pages
  • December 2024
  • Region: Poland
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5782472

The Construction in Poland - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2028 (Q4 2024) report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Polish construction industry, including:

  • The Polish construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Polish construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline
The construction industry in Poland is estimated to shrink in real terms by 5.7% in 2024, owing to rising construction costs, coupled with a weak residential construction activity, due to elevated housing prices and high interest rates. According to the Statistics Poland (GUS), the average construction costs grew by 6.3% year on year (YoY) in the first 10 months of 2024, preceded by an annual growth of 10.3% in 2023. Meanwhile, the total number of dwellings completed declined by 10.5% YoY in the first 10 months of 2024, following an annual decline of 7.2% in 2023.

The construction industry, however, is expected to recover from 2025 onwards by recording an annual average growth rate of 3.6% from 2025 to 2028, supported by investments in the development of country’s transport infrastructure, housing, manufacturing and renewable energy sectors. The transport infrastructure of the country will be supported by the implementation of ‘National Road Construction Program 2030’ that includes a target to build 8,000km of modern roads by 2030 across the country. Additionally, the government is aiming to invest PLN80 billion ($18.3 billion) in to electrify 1,400km of railway lines by 2030 as part of the Polish 2030 National Railway Program. Growth over the forecast period will also be supported by the government’s target to increase the share of renewable energy in the total electricity production from 27% in January 2024 to 56% by 2030, with an estimated investment of PLN792 billion ($181.4 billion).

Scope

  • This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland. It provides:
  • Historical (2019-2023) and forecast (2024-2028) valuations of the construction industry in Poland, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends
  • Formulate and validate business strategies using the analyst's critical and actionable insight
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
  • Outlook
  • Latest news and developments
  • Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
  • About the Analyst
  • Contact the Publisher
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Poland, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 4: Poland, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 6: Poland, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 8: Poland, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 10: Poland, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 12: Poland, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 14: Poland, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Poland, Key Contractors
Table 16: Poland, Key Consultants
Table 17: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Poland, Construction Output Value (Nominal, PLN Million)
Table 19: the analyst Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2022-28
Figure 2: Poland, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2022-24 and 2025-28
Figure 3: Poland, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Poland, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2022 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2019-28
Figure 6: Poland, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 7: Poland, Construction Value Add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 8: Poland, Gross Fixed Capital Formation in Construction Industry (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 9: Poland, Employment in the Construction Industry, In Thousands
Figure 10: Poland, Construction Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 11: Poland, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 12: Eastern Europe, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 13: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 14: Poland, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 15: Poland, Wholesale and Retail Trade Value Add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 16: Poland, Foreign Tourist Arrivals and Overnight Stays (Number in Thousand)
Figure 17: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 18: Poland, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 19: Poland, Manufacturing Value Add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 20: Poland, Manufacturing Cost Index (The same period of the previous year = 100)
Figure 21: Poland, Total Merchandise Exports (PLN Million)
Figure 22: Poland, Manufacturing Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100)
Figure 23: Poland, Mining and Quarrying Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100)
Figure 24: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 25: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 26: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 27: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 28: Poland, Information and Communication Value Add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 29: Poland, Electricity, Gas, Steam, and Air Conditioning Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100)
Figure 30: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 31: Poland, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 32: Poland, Public Administration, Defense, Education, Human Health, and Social Work Value Add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 33: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 34: Poland, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 35: Poland, Real Estate Value Add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 36: Poland, Dwellings Completed (In Number)
Figure 37: Poland, Residential Building Permits (in Thousands)
Figure 38: Poland, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 39: Poland, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)