Briefing Series: World Military & Civil Aircraft Briefing
Our Commercial Jet Overview covers all Airbus and Boeing jets, Bombardier’s CSeries, and COMAC's C919. It excludes the former Soviet jetliners which hold well under 1% of themarket, so this analysis provides a picture of almost all of the world market for civil jetliners larger than 108 seats.Large regional jets, especially Embraer’s ERJ 190/195, provide some competition at the bottom end of this market, but these are covered in our Regional Aircraft overview. We start with a summary of findings. Then we have a section devoted to the general health of the civil aviation business. This is followed by an essay on the two manufacturers, and where they stand. We conclude with our forecast of the next ten years, in terms of units, dollars, and market share, accompanied by some comments about scenario variables.
Methodology
The publisher's analysts employ a combination of empirical and expert centered approaches to forecasting across multiple global defense and aerospace markets. Numerous variables play into future market requirements: macroeconomics, geopolitics, regional competitiveness, public and private market forces, cost pressures, country‐specific budget constraints, supplier relationships, etc.
We maintain proprietary databases that provide a strong foundation for building a quantitative understanding of key relationships between the forces that drive the demand for an array of products, platforms, and systems. These data assets have been developed and expanded over 30 years of company operations and provide an unapparelled set of resources that make the publisher uniquely qualified to forecast future industry performance. These empirical fundamentals allow for rigorous modelling.
In addition to this highly structured, data-driven perspective, the publisher through the expertise of its analysts has a comprehensive qualitative understanding of the forces that shape market demand. It is our position that forecasting demands both empirical understanding and artistic interpretation based on insights gained from decades of dedicated research and analysis. The result is a forecast that combines both to achieve a highly informed window to the future.
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