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Sustainable Aviation Fuel: Global Market Outlook

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    Report

  • 61 Pages
  • November 2022
  • Region: Global
  • BCC Research
  • ID: 5695480

This report will cover the global SAF industry. Definitive and detailed estimates and forecasts of the worldwide markets are provided, followed by a detailed analysis of the regions, countries, and platforms. This report covers the present scenario and growth prospects of the global SAF market for 2022-2027.

To calculate the market size, the revenue generated through sales of SAFs for aviation industries, including commercial airlines, business, general airlines, military aircraft, and unmanned aerial vehicles, are considered. The report also presents the competitive landscape and a subsequent detailed profile of the key players operating in the market.

Furthermore, the study also discusses the market dynamics, such as drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges. It also examines new and emerging trends and their impact on current and future market dynamics.

The report is divided into seven chapters:

  • Chapter Three presents an overview and assesses market trends, drivers, and challenges.
  • Chapter Four presents the SAF market volume by technology and gives the market forecast for 2027.
  • Chapter Five presents the SAF market volume by platform and gives the market forecast for 2027.
  • Chapter Six presents the SAF market volume by region and gives the market forecast for 2027.
  • Chapter Seven presents the company profile of the top ten companies.

A negative economic outlook has been assumed in all the segments for 2020 due to COVID-19. A negative impact due to the Russia-Ukraine war that started in February 2022 has also been considered in this report. The growing economies are assumed to attract key companies in the market and increase consumer spending.

Report Includes

  • A comprehensive overview of the global market for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF)
  • Analyses of the global market trends, with market revenue data for 2021, estimates for 2022, and projections of compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) through 2027
  • Estimation of the revenue generated through sales of SAFs for aviation industries, including commercial airlines, business, general airlines, military aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles
  • Updated information on market opportunities and drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges, industry-specific challenges, and other region-specific macroeconomic factors that will shape this market demand in the coming years (2022-2027)
  • Coverage of the technological, economic, and business considerations of the SAF industry and industry participants, suppliers, government bodies, associations and customers
  • Latest information on the recent market developments, merger and acquisition deals, partnerships, agreements, collaborations, and other strategic alliances within global SAF market
  • Market share analysis of the key market participants in global SAF market, their product portfolio, research priorities, and the company competitive landscape

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Market Definition
1.1.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel Definition
1.2 Study Goals and Objectives
1.3 Reasons for Doing This Study
1.4 Intended Audience
1.5 Scope of Report
1.6 Information Sources
1.7 Methodology
1.8 Unit Considered
1.9 Geographic Breakdown
1.10 Analyst's Credentials
1.11 Custom Research
1.12 Related Research Reports

Chapter 2 Summary and Highlights
Chapter 3 Market Overview
3.1 Introduction
3.1.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel Industry Trends
3.1.2 SAF Offtake Agreements
3.2 Factors Driving Market Growth
3.2.1 Pressing Need to Reduce CO2 Emissions
3.2.2 Growth in Air Travel
3.2.3 Green Public Relations
3.3 Market Restraint
3.3.1 High Cost
3.3.2 Policy Incentives
3.3.3 Feedstock Supply
3.4 Macroeconomic Factors of the SAF Market
3.4.1 Impact of COVID-19
3.4.2 Impact of the Russia-Ukraine war

Chapter 4 SAF by Technology
4.1 Technology
4.2 Global SAF Market, by Technology
4.3 Emerging Technology
4.3.1 Power-to-Liquid Technology
4.3.2 Sun-to-Liquid
4.4 Other Alternative Technology
4.4.1 Aircraft Electrification
4.4.2 Hydrogen Powered Aircraft

Chapter 5 SAF Market by Platform
5.1 Introduction
5.1.1 Commercial Flights
5.1.2 General and Business Flights
5.1.3 Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)
5.2 Global SAF Market, by Platform

Chapter 6 SAF Market by Region
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Global SAF Market, by Region
6.2.1 North America
6.2.2 Europe
6.2.3 Asia-Pacific
6.2.4 Rest of the World
6.3 Region-Wise Opportunities

Chapter 7 Company Profiles
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Company Profiles
  • Eni
  • Fulcrum Bioenergy Inc.
  • Gevo Inc.
  • Lanzajet
  • Neste
  • Repsol
  • Skynrg
  • Totalenergies Se
  • Velocys
  • World Energy
Chapter 8 Appendix: Acronyms
8.1 Acronyms

List of Tables
Summary Table: Global Market Volume for SAF, Through 2027
Table 1: Post-Pandemic Recovery of Air Passenger Numbers in Comparison to 2019 Share Level
Table 2: Certified SAF Conversion Pathways
Table 3: Global Market Volume for SAF, by Technology, Through 2027
Table 4: Companies Producing SAF via Power-to-Liquid Technology
Table 5: Global Market Volume for SAF, by Platform, Through 2027
Table 6: Global Market Volume for SAF, by Region, Through 2027
Table 7: Planned SAF Projects in Asia-Pacific
Table 8: Planned SAF Production for the Rest of the World
Table 9: Number of Facilities Required to Achieve 2050 SAF Target
Table 10: Eni: Financials, 2020 and 2021
Table 11: Eni: Recent Developments
Table 12: Fulcrum Bioenergy: Recent Developments
Table 13: GEVO INC.: Financials, 2020 and 2021
Table 14: GEVO INC.: Recent Developments
Table 15: LanzaJet: Recent Developments
Table 16: Neste: Financials, 2020 and 2021
Table 17: Neste: Recent Developments
Table 18: Repsol: Financials, 2020 and 2021
Table 19: Repsol: Recent Developments
Table 20: SkyNRG: Recent Developments
Table 21: TotalEnergies SE: Financials, 2020 and 2021
Table 22: TotalEnergies SE: Recent Developments
Table 23: Velocys: Financials, 2020 and 2021
Table 24: Velocys: Recent Developments
Table 25: World Energy: Recent Developments
Table 26: Acronyms Used in This Report

List of Figures
Summary Figure: Global Market Volume for SAF, 2021-2027
Figure 1: SAF Production Volume, 2007-2018
Figure 2: Announced Offtake Agreement
Figure 3: Number of Announced Offtake Agreements, 2013-2022
Figure 4: Measures for Reducing CO2 Emission in Aviation Sector
Figure 5: Contribution to Achieving Net Zero Carbon, 2050
Figure 6: Global Air Passengers Forecast
Figure 7: Global Biofuel Production vs. Global Aviation Energy Demand
Figure 8: Global RPKs, with Pre-Pandemic (Red) and Current Forecasts (Blue)
Figure 9: Global Market Volume for SAF, by Technology, 2021-2027
Figure 10: Power-to-Liquid Technology Process
Figure 11: Number of Electric and Hybrid Electric Projects Based on Aircraft Category
Figure 12: Global Market Volume for SAF, by Platform, 2021-2027
Figure 13: Global Market Volume for SAF, by Region, 2021-2027
Figure 14: Eni: Global Sales Share, by Segment, 2021
Figure 15: GEVO INC.: Global Sales Share, by Segment, 2021
Figure 16: Neste: Global Sales Share, by Segment, 2021
Figure 17: Repsol: Global Sales Share, by Segment, 2021
Figure 18: TotalEnergies SE: Global Sales Share, by Segment, 2021
Figure 19: Velocys: Global Sales Share, by Segment, 2021

Executive Summary

Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is a kind of biofuel used to power aircraft. SAF is a drop-in fuel blended with conventional jet fuel. Drop-in fuel means the aircraft can use the oil without changes in aircraft or architecture. SAF can be produced from various feedstock, including used vegetable oils, animal fat waste, municipal solid waste, non-food energy crops, algae, and forest residue. The SAF can also be produced by capturing carbon from the air. Thus, in this backdrop, SAF is divided into two types:

  • Biojet fuels - SAF produced using biomass and municipal solid waste (MSW).
  • Synthetic fuel/e-fuel/Power-to-liquid - SAF produced by converting renewable energy into SAF via electrolysis.
  • Currently, most of the SAF produced is from biomass and municipal solid waste. 

As SAF is produced using renewable feedstock, it reduces carbon emissions by 80% in its lifecycle process. It also reduces other harmful gases like sulfur. Conventional jet fuels categorized as Jet A/A1 fuels have strict specifications, which are approved by a regulatory body ASTM. The primary grade of jet fuel should have the specification of ASTM D1655. The SAF meets the properties of conventional jet fuels, and thus it can also replace Jet A/A1 fuels entirely without altering the aircraft turbines.

Companies Mentioned

  • Eni
  • Fulcrum Bioenergy Inc.
  • Gevo Inc.
  • Lanzajet
  • Neste
  • Repsol
  • Skynrg
  • Totalenergies Se
  • Velocys
  • World Energy