Autonomous Trains Market Report 2025

This Autonomous Trains market report provides a comprehensive analysis of the market’s characteristics, size, and growth, including segmentation, regional and country-level breakdowns, competitive landscape, market shares, trends, and strategies. It also tracks historical and forecasted market growth across various geographies.

The autonomous trains market size has grown strongly in recent years. It will grow from $10.54 billion in 2024 to $11.36 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.7%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to rail safety and efficiency, increasing budget allocation for railway expansion, decreased pollution and accidents, higher passenger capacity, improvements in railway infrastructure.

The autonomous trains market size is expected to see strong growth in the next few years. It will grow to $16.02 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to improved automation technology, global infrastructure projects, urbanization and population growth, awareness about rising tailpipe emission levels, scarcity of trained drivers. Major trends in the forecast period include connectivity and communication, energy efficiency, interoperability, predictive maintenance, autonomous metro systems.

The increasing urbanization is expected to drive the growth of the autonomous trains market. Urbanization, which involves the shift of populations from rural to urban areas, is propelled by factors like better job opportunities, improved infrastructure, and access to education and healthcare. Autonomous trains support urbanization by enhancing public transportation systems, reducing traffic congestion, and promoting sustainable mobility. These benefits make cities more accessible and connected. For instance, in July 2023, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors reported a 1% increase in US industrial production in 2023, with manufacturing output rising by 1.2%. Therefore, as urbanization continues to grow, it is expected to propel the demand for autonomous trains in the coming years.

The rise in train accidents is anticipated to be a significant driver for the growth of the autonomous trains market. Train accidents, which involve unexpected or unplanned incidents during rail vehicle operation, can have detrimental consequences. Autonomous train systems address this concern by minimizing accidents caused by driver fatigue or inattention. These systems continuously monitor their surroundings and can take evasive actions to avoid obstacles on the tracks, such as people or other vehicles. For instance, data from July 2023 indicates that the US experienced 954 railway-related deaths in 2022, marking an 11% increase from the previous year. Hence, the growing occurrence of train accidents will stimulate the autonomous trains market.

Major companies in the autonomous train market are making significant strides by developing advanced solutions like the first autonomous metro train to enhance global public transportation systems. An autonomous metro train operates without human intervention, using advanced technologies like sensors, AI, and automated control systems. For example, in September 2023, Bozankaya A.Ş., a Turkey-based manufacturer of public transport solutions, launched its first autonomous metro train for a new metro line connecting Gebze and Darica. This train has a capacity of 1,476 passengers and operates at speeds of up to 80 km/h. It incorporates Communications-Based Train Control (CBTC) systems for safety and efficiency, and has a localization rate of 63%, with many components produced in Turkey. The design also emphasizes accessibility, with 16 double doors and dedicated spaces for bicycles and scooters, showcasing the company's commitment to innovation and sustainability in transportation.

Major companies in the autonomous train market are focusing on developing advanced solutions like new-generation autonomous tuggers to improve intralogistics by automating the internal flow of goods in various industrial settings. A new-generation autonomous tugger is an advanced, self-driving vehicle used in material handling within industrial environments such as warehouses, factories, or distribution centers. For example, in May 2024, 4am Robotics GmbH, a Germany-based automation company, launched the ATi Tugger Train. This innovative system features dual-use operation, allowing both autonomous and manual modes, making it highly adaptable. It offers rapid scalability for easy transition between modes, seamless integration with existing systems, and a high reliability rate, with operational availability of up to 99.9%. The ATi Tugger Train also includes intelligent navigation with obstacle detection and automatic coupling to streamline logistics processes, improving overall efficiency in industrial material handling.

In July 2023, Mineral Resources Limited (MinRes), an Australia-based mining company, partnered with Hexagon AB, a Sweden-based technology company. This collaboration aims to enhance safety, productivity, and sustainability in mining operations, with a focus on the Onslow Iron project in Western Australia. Hexagon AB is known for its work in autonomous technologies, which will help improve operational efficiency in the mining sector by implementing advanced automation solutions. This partnership is expected to play a crucial role in optimizing mining operations and contributing to the long-term sustainability goals of MinRes.

Autonomous trains are equipped with an automatic train protection (ATP) system, allowing for the automated halting of trains when approaching signals while also enabling speed control.

The autonomous train market encompasses various train categories, including suburban trains, trams, monorails, subways, and long-distance trains. Trams, specifically, are electric vehicles designed for urban passenger transportation, operating on tracks. Key technologies integrated into autonomous trains comprise automatic train control (ATC), communication-based train control (CBC), the European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS), and positive train control (PTC). These technologies contribute to the overall automation levels, categorized as GOA1, GOA2, GOA3, and GOA4. Autonomous trains find applications across different domains, serving passenger trains, freight transportation, and mining operations.

The autonomous train market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides autonomous train market statistics, including global market size, regional shares, competitors with an autonomous train market share, detailed autonomous train market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the autonomous train industry. This autonomous train market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.

Major companies operating in the autonomous trains market include Alstom SA, ABB Ltd., Bombardier Transportation, CRRC Corporation Limited, Hitachi Ltd., Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd., Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd., Siemens AG, Thales Group, Ansaldo STS S.p.A., Beijing Traffic Control Technology Co. Ltd., General Electric Company, China CNR Corporation Limited, Incheon Transit Corporation, Intesens, Transmashholding, CalAmp Corp., Hollysys Automation Technologies Ltd., Deuta-Werke GmbH, Wabtec Corporation, Ingeteam S.A., Tech Mahindra Limited, American Equipment Company Inc., Belden Inc., Bharat Forge Limited, CAF Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles S.A., Deutsche Bahn AG, Cubic Transportation Systems Inc., Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Knorr-Bremse AG.

Western Europe was the largest region in the autonomous trains market in 2024. Asia-Pacific was the second largest region in the autonomous trains market. The regions covered in the autonomous trains market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the autonomous trains market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Italy, Spain, Canada.

The autonomous trains market consists of sales of light trains, rapid transit trains, commuter trains, intercity trains, and high-speed trains. Values in this market are factory gate values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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