Retail in Uzbekistan - Research and Markets

Despite the deleterious impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, Uzbekistan recorded positive annual real GDP growth of 1.9% in 2020. With the reopening of the economy, as well as higher state investment and a recovery in remittance inflows that bolstered domestic demand, this resulted in annual real GDP growth posting a strong performance of 7% in 2021, although gold exports were disappointing leading to a widening of the current account deficit.

The analyst's Retail in Uzbekistan report offers insight into key trends and developments driving the industry. The report examines all retail channels to provide sector insight. Channels include hypermarkets, supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, mixed retailers, health and beauty retailers, clothing and footwear retailers, furniture and furnishing stores, DIY and hardware stores, durable goods retailers, leisure and personal goods retailers. There are profiles of leading retailers, with analysis of their performance and the challenges they face. There is also analysis of non-store retailing: vending; homeshopping; internet retailing; direct selling, as available.

Product Coverage:

Retail E-Commerce, Retail Offline.

Data Coverage
Market Sizes(historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

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Get a detailed picture of the Retail market;
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change;
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands;
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.

RETAIL IN UZBEKISTAN

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retail in 2022: The big picture
Informal retail
What next for retail?

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: Value 2017-2022
Table 2 Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 3 Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: Value 2017-2022
Table 4 Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 5 Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: Units 2017-2022
Table 6 Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2017-2022
Table 7 Retail GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 8 Retail GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 9 Retail Offline GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 10 Retail Offline GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 11 Retail Offline LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2019-2022
Table 12 Retail E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 13 Retail E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 14 Forecast Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: Value 2022-2027
Table 15 Forecast Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 16 Forecast Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: Value 2022-2027
Table 17 Forecast Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 18 Forecast Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: Units 2022-2027
Table 19 Forecast Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2022-2027

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 1 Research Sources

GROCERY RETAILERS IN UZBEKISTANKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Bazaars remain popular but modern retailers increasingly attractive in 2022
Transition to modern grocery retailers continue in 2022 as prices can be kept lower
Convenience stores continue to register robust sales growth in 2022 due to proximity

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Supermarket and convenience store chains declare store expansion for the forecast period
Makro’s digitisation and ESG initiatives likely to lead to an increase in its brand awareness and loyalty during the forecast period
Traditional grocery retailers set to become more reliant on low-income consumers

CHANNEL DATA

Table 20 Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2017-2022
Table 21 Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2017-2022
Table 22 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2017-2022
Table 23 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 24 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2017-2022
Table 25 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2017-2022
Table 26 Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 27 Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 28 Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2019-2022
Table 29 Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2022-2027
Table 30 Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2022-2027
Table 31 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2022-2027
Table 32 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 33 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2022-2027
Table 34 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2022-2027

NON-GROCERY RETAILERS IN UZBEKISTANKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Bazaars remain popular, especially among low-income consumers in 2022
Russian store Magnit opens first store in Uzbekistan during 2022
Department stores’ future uncertain, yet value sales increase in 2022

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

A rise in sales growth due to the return of consumers to pre-pandemic lifestyles may be tempered by inflation over the forecast period
Retail e-commerce set to continue its growth trajectory over the forecast period
Potential for entry of new foreign players in beauty specialists over the forecast period

CHANNEL DATA

Table 35 Non-Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2017-2022
Table 36 Non-Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2017-2022
Table 37 Non-Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 38 Non-Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 39 Non-Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2019-2022
Table 40 Non-Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2022-2027
Table 41 Non-Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2022-2027
Table 42 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2022-2027
Table 43 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 44 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2022-2027
Table 45 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2022-2027

DIRECT SELLING IN UZBEKISTANKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Value sales continues its upward trajectory in 2022
Oriflame continues to grow value share in 2022
Direct sellers face competition from unregulated and illegal operators

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Sales growth may be deterred by economic uncertainty over the forecast period
Illegal operators and e-commerce may stifle sales growth of direct selling during the forecast period

CHANNEL DATA

Table 46 Direct Selling by Product: Value 2017-2022
Table 47 Direct Selling by Product: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 48 Direct Selling GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 49 Direct Selling GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 50 Direct Selling Forecasts by Product: Value 2022-2027
Table 51 Direct Selling Forecasts by Product: % Value Growth 2022-2027

RETAIL E-COMMERCE IN UZBEKISTANKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Despite substantial value growth, e-commerce penetration still lags in 2022
More businesses offer online services thereby increasing their customer base in 2022
Large rural population hampers retail e-commerce uptake

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Major players pave the way for new entrants to retail e-commerce during the forecast period
CLICK launches virtual payment app for kids
Apps need to adapt to specific Uzbekistan operating environment

CHANNEL DATA

Table 52 Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2017-2022
Table 53 Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 54 Retail E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 55 Retail E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 56 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2022-2027
Table 57 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2022-2027

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Product Coverage:

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