HVAC System Market Report 2025

The HVAC system market size has grown strongly in recent years. It will grow from $182.15 billion in 2024 to $193.18 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to urbanization and construction boom, global temperature variations, energy efficiency concerns, government regulations and standards, indoor air quality awareness, health and comfort factors.

The HVAC system market size is expected to see strong growth in the next few years. It will grow to $254.07 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.1%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to globalization of markets, focus on net-zero buildings, advancements in refrigerants, renewable energy integration, resilience to climate change, evolving building codes. Major trends in the forecast period include rise of smart HVAC systems, integration of artificial intelligence (ai), variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems, hybrid and integrated HVAC solutions, remote monitoring and control, electrification and heat pump adoption.

The increase in construction activities within the commercial and residential sectors is projected to drive the growth of the HVAC system market in the future. The construction sector encompasses both residential and non-residential infrastructure, which includes commercial, industrial, and other types of buildings. HVAC systems are essential mechanical systems that provide thermal comfort and maintain indoor air quality, commonly used in a variety of settings, including industrial, commercial, residential, and institutional buildings. For instance, in March 2024, Atradius, a Netherlands-based insurance company specializing in trade credit insurance, reported that global construction output is expected to rise by 2% in 2024, following a 3.7% increase in 2023. Advanced economies are projected to grow by 1.8%, while emerging markets are anticipated to see a 2.2% rise in building activity. Furthermore, non-residential output and civil engineering are expected to grow by 2.8% and 4.4%, respectively, this year. In 2025, global construction is forecasted to grow by 1.8%, with residential construction output rebounding by 2.4% due to improving economic conditions and the impact of more lenient monetary policies. Consequently, the surge in construction activities in both commercial and residential sectors is driving the expansion of the HVAC system market.

The HVAC system market is experiencing growth attributed to the rising manufacturing industry. HVAC systems are crucial in maintaining optimal indoor conditions, including temperature and air quality, in manufacturing facilities. This regulation enhances productivity and overall efficiency in industrial processes. Eurostat reported a 0.2% increase in industrial output in the European area in July 2023, signaling the importance of HVAC systems in supporting manufacturing growth. As the manufacturing industry continues to expand, the demand for HVAC systems is expected to rise, contributing to the market's overall growth.

Green and smart technology is emerging as a significant trend in the HVAC system market. Key players in this sector are concentrating on delivering innovative solutions that leverage the Internet of Things (IoT) and machine learning to enhance their market presence. These green and smart technologies contribute to improved living conditions and promote eco-friendly practices for the construction, renovation, and operation of homes and buildings. For example, in February 2024, Voltas Limited, an India-based multinational company specializing in home appliances such as air conditioners, air coolers, refrigerators, and washing machines, unveiled its new commercial AC product line at ACREX India 2024 in Noida. This line features inverter scroll chillers with cooling capacities ranging from 12 to 72 TR. These environmentally friendly units utilize advanced refrigerants and are equipped with IoT capabilities, BMS compatibility, and mobile app control, ensuring quiet and convenient operation. This product line aims to foster energy-efficient solutions in commercial spaces, reinforcing the company's commitment to incorporating cutting-edge technology into its operations.

Major companies in the HVAC system market are intensifying their focus on advanced heating and cooling solutions to stay competitive. The introduction of the dual fuel system is one such innovation that optimizes energy use by utilizing two different fuel sources, such as natural gas and electricity. Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning launched the Hitachi Air365 Hybrid dual fuel system in September 2023. This system integrates electric and gas technologies for efficient climate control in residential and commercial settings. The emphasis on advanced solutions demonstrates the commitment of HVAC industry leaders to meet evolving market demands and enhance overall system performance.

In May 2023, Daikin Applied, a prominent US-based HVAC solutions company, successfully acquired Carroll Air Systems for an undisclosed sum. This strategic acquisition is anticipated to facilitate the expansion of Daikin Applied's HVAC product offerings. Aldridge Carroll Air Systems, the acquired company, is based in the US and specializes in providing heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems and services tailored for commercial, industrial, and institutional facilities.

Major companies operating in the HVAC system market are Daikin Industries Ltd., Johnson Controls International, Carrier Global Corporation, Trane Technologies PLC, LG Electronics, AAON Heating and Cooling Products, Addison HVAC, Allied Commercial, Danfoss AS, Emerson Electric Co., Honeywell International Inc., Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Nortek Air Management, Samsung Group, Midea Group, Electrolux AB, Toshiba Corporation, York International Corporation, Nortek Global HVAC, Rheem Manufacturing Company, Goodman Manufacturing Company, Lennox International Inc., SPX Corporation, Standex International Corporation, CSW Industrials Inc., EMCOR Group Inc., Ingersoll-Rand plc (Ireland), Watts Water Technologies Inc.

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the HVAC system market in 2024. The regions covered in the hvac system market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the hvac system market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

A Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) system is a mechanical system within a building designed to provide thermal comfort for occupants while ensuring indoor air quality.

The primary components of HVAC systems are heating, ventilation, and cooling. Heating utilizes various technologies to regulate air temperature, humidity, and purity within the HVAC system. These systems can be implemented in different contexts, including new construction and retrofit projects, and are applicable in commercial, residential, and industrial settings.

The HVAC system market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides HVAC system market statistics, including HVAC system industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with an HVAC system market share, detailed HVAC system market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the HVAC system industry. This HVAC system market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.

The HVAC system market consists of sales of heat pumps, furnaces, unitary heaters, boilers, single splits, variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems, chillers, room air conditioners, and other types. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is, the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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