Retail in South Africa - Research and Markets

In 2023, the retail landscape in South Africa remained challenged by the operating environment, translating into slow economic growth, which left unemployment at a relatively high level. As inflation remained above the South African Reserve Bank Target, households were further pressured by rising interest rates, which continued to impact disposable incomes and, subsequently, the ability to spend on discretionary goods and services.

The Retail in South Africa report offers insight into key trends and developments driving the industry. The report examines all retail channels to provide sector insight. Channels include hypermarkets, supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, mixed retailers, health and beauty retailers, clothing and footwear retailers, furniture and furnishing stores, DIY and hardware stores, durable goods retailers, leisure and personal goods retailers. There are profiles of leading retailers, with analysis of their performance and the challenges they face. There is also analysis of non-store retailing: vending; homeshopping; internet retailing; direct selling, as available.

Product coverage: Retail E-Commerce, Retail Offline.

Data coverage: Market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

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RETAIL IN SOUTH AFRICA

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retail in 2023: The big picture
Further acquisitions and diversification emerge as leading retailers deploy greater resources
Competition intensifies online as the market normalises
What next for retail?

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Informal retail
Opening hours for physical retail
Summary 1 Standard Opening Hours by Channel Type 2023
Seasonality
Christmas
Back to School

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: Value 2018-2023
Table 2 Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 3 Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 4 Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 5 Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: Units 2018-2023
Table 6 Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2018-2023
Table 7 Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2018-2023
Table 8 Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 9 Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 10 Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 13 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2018-2023
Table 14 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2018-2023
Table 15 Non-Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 16 Non-Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 17 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 18 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 19 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2018-2023
Table 20 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2018-2023
Table 21 Retail GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 22 Retail GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 23 Retail Offline GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 24 Retail Offline GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 25 Retail Offline LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 26 Retail E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 27 Retail E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 28 Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 29 Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 30 Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 31 Non-Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 32 Non-Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 33 Non-Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 34 Forecast Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: Value 2023-2028
Table 35 Forecast Sales in Retail by Retail Offline vs Retail E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 36 Forecast Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 37 Forecast Sales in Retail Offline by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 38 Forecast Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: Units 2023-2028
Table 39 Forecast Retail Offline Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2023-2028
Table 40 Forecast Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2023-2028
Table 41 Forecast Sales in Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 42 Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 43 Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 44 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 45 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 46 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2023-2028
Table 47 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2023-2028
Table 48 Non-Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 49 Non-Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 50 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 51 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 52 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2023-2028
Table 53 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

CONVENIENCE RETAILERS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Convenience stores continue to benefit from proximity
Reinventing the business model of forecourt retailers in South Africa
Shoprite retains lead of convenience stores as it expands its franchise network

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Diversification will continue to boost sales of forecourt retailers
Phygital experience will emerge in higher-income areas
Franchise model will prevail in convenience stores

CHANNEL DATA

Table 54 Convenience Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 55 Convenience Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 56 Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 57 Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 58 Convenience Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 59 Convenience Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 60 Convenience Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 61 Convenience Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 62 Convenience Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 63 Forecast Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 64 Forecast Sales in Convenience Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCOUNTERS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Discounters continue to attract cash-strapped consumers in South Africa
Pick 'n' Pay Retailers accelerates rollout of Boxer stores
U-Save expands in rural areas as competition intensifies

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Persisting income divide will continue supporting sales through discounters
Brand share likely to remain consolidated among leading players
Technology will gradually make its way to discounters

CHANNEL DATA

Table 65 Discounters: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 66 Discounters: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 67 Discounters GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 68 Discounters GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 69 Discounters LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 70 Discounters Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 71 Discounters Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

HYPERMARKETS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Expansion of hypermarkets remains muted in 2023
Digital innovation marked by value propositions
Shoprite widens the gap with competitors

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Steady increase in number of outlets as local economy recovers
Digitalisation will offer further convenience to hypermarkets
Strategic positioning to become an important competitive tool

CHANNEL DATA

Table 72 Hypermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 73 Hypermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 74 Hypermarkets GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 75 Hypermarkets GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 76 Hypermarkets LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 77 Hypermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 78 Hypermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

SUPERMARKETS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Supermarket value growth driven by inflationary pressures
Pick 'n' Pay Retailers struggles to find a balance
Shoprite Holdings consolidates leadership as it expands across income groups

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Supermarkets will benefit from further network expansion
Competition set to intensify as restructuring plans settle
Improvement in last mile delivery services to become a key differentiating tool

CHANNEL DATA

Table 79 Supermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 80 Supermarkets: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 81 Supermarkets GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 82 Supermarkets GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 83 Supermarkets LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 84 Supermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 85 Supermarkets Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

SMALL LOCAL GROCERS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Small local grocers remain subject to high inflation
Increasing numbers of brands target small local grocers
Fintech continues to support the modernisation of the channel

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Small local grocers will continue to expand as unemployment persists
The end of exclusive lease agreements will create room for small local grocers
Improving socioeconomic conditions will support channel’s modernisation

CHANNEL DATA

Table 86 Small Local Grocers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 87 Small Local Grocers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 88 Small Local Grocers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 89 Small Local Grocers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 90 Small Local Grocers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 91 Small Local Grocers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 92 Small Local Grocers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

APPAREL AND FOOTWEAR SPECIALISTS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Growth for apparel and footwear specialists despite challenging operating environment
Competition intensifies as the channel becomes increasingly consolidated
Rise of Shein places pressure on local operators

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Apparel and footwear sales will benefit from improvement in economic conditions
Competition set to further intensify in local market
Online consolidation will alleviate pressure from online marketplaces

CHANNEL DATA

Table 93 Apparel and Footwear Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 94 Apparel and Footwear Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 95 Apparel and Footwear Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 96 Apparel and Footwear Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 97 Apparel and Footwear Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 98 Apparel and Footwear Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 99 Apparel and Footwear Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

APPLIANCES AND ELECTRONICS SPECIALISTS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Steady sales increase for electronics and appliances specialists despite difficult market conditions
Rising number of consumers and businesses embrace Buy Now Pay Later
Appliances and electronics specialists face intensifying competition from all fronts

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Sales of electronics and appliances will benefit from better economic conditions
Sustainability will continue reshaping the channel’s landscape
Diversified offerings will continue to provide a competitive edge

CHANNEL DATA

Table 100 Appliances and Electronics Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 101 Appliances and Electronics Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 102 Appliances and Electronics Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 103 Appliances and Electronics Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 104 Appliances and Electronics Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 105 Appliances and Electronics Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 106 Appliances and Electronics Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028

HEALTH AND BEAUTY SPECIALISTS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Health and beauty specialists benefit from revived routines
Clicks reinforces leadership as it expands its portfolio
Pharmacies welcome ruling on antiretroviral treatment initiatives

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Health and beauty specialists set to post further steady growth
Digitalisation will continue to gain traction
Brand share likely to remain consolidated amid concerns over new health system

CHANNEL DATA

Table 107 Health and Beauty Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 108 Health and Beauty Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 109 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 110 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 111 Health and Beauty Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 112 Health and Beauty Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 113 Health and Beauty Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 114 Health and Beauty Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 115 Health and Beauty Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 116 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 117 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

HOME PRODUCTS SPECIALISTS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Rising interest rate impacts demand for home improvements
The Foschini Group continues to gain momentum in home products specialists
Woolworths taps into pet stores

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Home products specialists set to benefit from improving economy
Competition will continue to intensify in homewares and home furnishing stores
Integrated business model to remain at the forefront of players’ strategies

CHANNEL DATA

Table 118 Home Products Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 119 Home Products Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 120 Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 121 Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 122 Home Products Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 123 Home Products Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 124 Home Products Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 125 Home Products Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 126 Home Products Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 127 Forecast Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 128 Forecast Sales in Home Products Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

GENERAL MERCHANDISE STORES IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Woolworths leads department stores despite intensified competition
Edgars resumes expansion after changing hands during the pandemic
The Crazy Store retains lead in variety stores

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

More department stores will embrace the “shoppertainment” trend
Variety stores will continue expanding in underserved areas
Return of Edgars could reshape competitive landscape

CHANNEL DATA

Table 129 General Merchandise Stores: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2018-2023
Table 130 General Merchandise Stores: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2018-2023
Table 131 Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: Value 2018-2023
Table 132 Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 133 General Merchandise Stores GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 134 General Merchandise Stores GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 135 General Merchandise Stores LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2020-2023
Table 136 General Merchandise Stores Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2023-2028
Table 137 General Merchandise Stores Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2023-2028
Table 138 Forecast Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: Value 2023-2028
Table 139 Forecast Sales in General Merchandise Stores by Channel: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DIRECT SELLING IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Direct selling sales stabilise but environment remains challenging
Avon continues to expand business model in South Africa
Tupperware continues to lose ground as customer base shrinks

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Direct selling will likely benefit from improving market conditions
Omnichannel will continue to transform business models
Innovation will focus on sustainability

CHANNEL DATA

Table 140 Direct Selling by Product: Value 2018-2023
Table 141 Direct Selling by Product: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 142 Direct Selling GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 143 Direct Selling GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 144 Direct Selling Forecasts by Product: Value 2023-2028
Table 145 Direct Selling Forecasts by Product: % Value Growth 2023-2028

VENDING IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Vending continues to recover from turbulent lockdown restrictions
Sales of tobacco products vending continue to decline
Niche vending machines continue to emerge

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Tobacco products likely to continue declining as new regulations are imposed
Contactless vending will continue to gain traction in South Africa
Innovation to focus on wellness and sustainable offerings

CHANNEL DATA

Table 146 Vending by Product: Value 2018-2023
Table 147 Vending by Product: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 148 Vending GBO Company Shares: % Value 2019-2023
Table 149 Vending GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2020-2023
Table 150 Vending Forecasts by Product: Value 2023-2028
Table 151 Vending Forecasts by Product: % Value Growth 2023-2028

RETAIL E-COMMERCE IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

E-commerce continues to grow in 2023 despite return to shopping centres
Takealot Online retains lead despite challenging environment
On-demand grocery delivery gains traction in affluent areas

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Improvements in financial inclusion will continue to drive e-commerce sales
More dark stores to emerge as Q-commerce becomes standard
Decision by Competition Tribunal could reshape marketplace

CHANNEL DATA

Table 152 Retail E-Commerce by Channel: Value 2017-2022
Table 153 Retail E-Commerce by Channel: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 154 Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2017-2022
Table 155 Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 156 Retail E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2018-2022
Table 157 Retail E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2019-2022
Table 158 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Channel: Value 2022-2027
Table 159 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Channel: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 160 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Product: Value 2022-2027
Table 161 Forecast Retail E-Commerce by Product: % Value Growth 2022-2027

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