Large-Scale Natural Refrigerant Heat Pump Market Report 2026

The large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market size has grown strongly in recent years. It will grow from $6.72 billion in 2025 to $7.35 billion in 2026 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.3%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to stricter environmental regulations, rising energy costs, demand for efficient heating solutions, industrial decarbonization efforts, expansion of commercial buildings.

The large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market size is expected to see strong growth in the next few years. It will grow to $10.5 billion in 2030 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.3%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to transition to low-carbon heating, investments in district energy systems, adoption of ammonia and co2 refrigerants, government incentives for heat pumps, growth of industrial heat recovery. Major trends in the forecast period include adoption of natural refrigerants, growth of district heating systems, expansion of large-scale heat pump installations, focus on carbon emission reduction, integration with smart energy networks.

The increase in government initiatives to enhance energy efficiency in the industrial sector is driving the large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market. Energy efficiency refers to utilizing less energy to perform the same task, lowering energy costs and reducing pollution. Governments worldwide are implementing initiatives to promote energy efficiency. Large-scale natural refrigerant heat pumps provide a sustainable alternative to traditional systems by using natural refrigerants like hydrocarbons, reducing harmful environmental impacts. For instance, in November 2025, the International Energy Agency reported that global primary energy intensity, a key metric for efficiency progress, is expected to improve by 1.8% in 2025, up from 1% in 2024. Therefore, increasing government initiatives to enhance energy efficiency are driving the large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market.

Leading companies in the large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump sector are prioritizing product innovation to fortify their market positions. An exemplary innovation in this realm is the ZIRAN Pro KWR series, a line of reversible air-to-water heat pumps designed for commercial and industrial applications, offering a heating capacity spanning from 40 kW to 270 kW. For instance, in July 2023, Keyter, a Spanish conglomerate specializing in system design and manufacturing, introduced the ZIRAN Pro KWR. This heat pump utilizes natural gas R290 (propane) as a refrigerant, ensuring environmental friendliness and energy efficiency. Its features include Full-Inverter technology, reduced refrigerant charge, leak detection, and superior performance, contributing to exceptional energy savings. Designed for high-temperature water production, this pump operates quietly and incorporates intelligent regulation for optimal defrost processes.

In April 2023, Carrier, a prominent US company specializing in heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and fire and security equipment, completed the acquisition of Viessmann Groups for €12 billion ($13 billion). This strategic move involves acquiring Viessmann Climate Solutions while planning to divest from its Fire and Security as well as Commercial Refrigeration segments. Carrier aims to refine its portfolio, focusing on smart climate and energy solutions, accelerating its pursuit to emerge as the foremost global leader in this sector. Viessmann Group, based in Germany, is renowned for its expertise in manufacturing heat pumps and associated technologies.

Major companies operating in the large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market are Siemens Energy AG, Johnson Controls, Guangdong PHNIX Eco-Energy Solution Ltd., GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, MAN Energy Solutions SE, Star Refrigeration, Clade Engineering Systems Ltd., AGO GmbH Energie + Anlagen, Skadec GmbH, Bundgaard Refrigeration, Mayekawa Manufacturing Co. Ltd., Fenagy A/S, Pure Thermal, TEKO Gesellschaft für Kältetechnik mbH, Enerblue Srl, Emerson Electric Co., Danfoss A/S, BITZER SE, Alfa Laval AB, Carrier Corporation, Trane Technologies PLC, Thermowave GmbH, LU-VE Group, Swegon Group AB, Güntner GmbH And Co. KG.

North America was the largest region in the large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market in 2025. North America is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in the large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market report are Asia-Pacific, South East Asia, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Taiwan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

The large-scale natural refrigerant heat pump market consists of sales of refrigerants and heat pumps. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is, the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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