'Indonesia Telecom Operators Country Intelligence Report', a new Country Intelligence Report by the publisher, provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Indonesia today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2027. Published annually, the report provides detailed analysis of the near-term opportunities, competitive dynamics and evolution of demand by service type and technology/platform across the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile and pay-TV segments, as well as a review of key regulatory trends.
Total telecom and pay-TV service revenue in Indonesia will grow at a CAGR of 1.5% over the 2022-2027 period, supported by revenue growth across mobile data fixed broadband, and pay-TV service segments. Mobile data will remain the largest revenue contributor, growing at a five-year CAGR of 2.1%, driven by increasing smartphone subscriptions, growing data consumption, continued rise in 5G subscriptions with network expansions and growing ARPU, supported by telcos' premium packages. Fixed broadband service revenue will grow at a CAGR of 8.7%, thanks to growing adoption of higher ARPU FTTH/B lines, on the back of ongoing fiber network coverage expansion.
Total telecom and pay-TV service revenue in Indonesia will grow at a CAGR of 1.5% over the 2022-2027 period, supported by revenue growth across mobile data fixed broadband, and pay-TV service segments. Mobile data will remain the largest revenue contributor, growing at a five-year CAGR of 2.1%, driven by increasing smartphone subscriptions, growing data consumption, continued rise in 5G subscriptions with network expansions and growing ARPU, supported by telcos' premium packages. Fixed broadband service revenue will grow at a CAGR of 8.7%, thanks to growing adoption of higher ARPU FTTH/B lines, on the back of ongoing fiber network coverage expansion.
The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following:
- Demographic and macroeconomic context in Indonesia
- The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, tariff regulation and more
- Telecom and pay-TV services market outlook: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data and pay-TV markets
- The competitive landscape: an examination of the positioning of leading players in the telecom and pay-TV services market as well as subscription market shares across segments
- Company snapshots: analysis of the financial position of leading service providers in the telecommunications and pay-TV markets
- Underlying assumptions behind our published base-case forecasts, as well as potential market developments that would alter, either positively or negatively, our base-case outlook
Scope
- The overall telecom service revenue in Indonesia will grow at a CAGR of 1.5% during 2022-2027
- Mobile revenue will account for 87.5% of total telecom revenue in 2027, driven by increasing data ARPS, spike in mobile internet subscriptions and growing consumption of mobile data services over the forecast period
- 4G subscriptions accounted for 67.3% share of the total mobile subscriptions in 2022
- The top three mobile operators, Telkomsel, Indosat Ooredo and XL Axiata, accounted for 88.9% share of total mobile subscriptions in 2022
Reasons to Buy
- This Country Intelligence Report offers a thorough, forward-looking analysis of Indonesia's telecommunications markets, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format to help executives build proactive and profitable growth strategies
- Accompanying the publisher's Forecast products, the report examines the assumptions and drivers behind ongoing and upcoming trends in Indonesia's mobile communications, fixed telephony, broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares
- With more than 20 charts and tables, the report is designed for an executive-level audience, boasting presentation quality
- The report provides an easily digestible market assessment for decision-makers built around in-depth information gathered from local market players, which enables executives to quickly get up to speed with the current and emerging trends in Indonesia's telecommunications markets
- The broad perspective of the report coupled with comprehensive, actionable detail will help operators, equipment vendors and other telecom industry players succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Indonesia.
Table of Contents
- Market highlights
- Key takeaways, telecom services revenue outlook, revenue CAGR by service type, 2022 service penetration
- Demographic, macroeconomic, and regulatory context
- Population, nominal GDP, PPP-adjusted GDP per capita, real GDP growth, consumer price inflation, exchange rates
- Regulatory context
- Regulatory highlights, Digital Roadmap 2021 2024, 5G Development Spectrum Refarming
- Telecom market outlook
- Total telecom and pay-tv services revenue by category, 2021-2027
- Evolution of total telecom and Pay-TV services revenue, 2021-2027
- Mobile services market
- Mobile service penetration and subscription trends
- Mobile subscription and user penetration, 2021-2027
- Total mobile subscriptions, 2021-2027
- Device adoption trends
- Mobile subscriptions by device type, 2021-2027
- Handset subscriptions by type, 2021-2027
- Payment types and technology trends
- Mobile subscriptions by payment type
- Mobile subscriptions by technology generation, 2021-2027
- Churn and usage trends
- Churn, voice usage, data usage
- Market share trends
- Subscription market shares, 2022
- Service revenue trends
- Total mobile services revenue by service, 2021-2027
- Mobile services ARPU by payment type, 2021-2027
- Fixed services market
- Fixed service penetration and subscription trends
- Voice telephony and fixed broadband penetration, 2021-2027
- Total voice telephony and fixed broadband access lines, 2021-2027
- Fixed service penetration and subscription trends
- Voice telephony lines by technology, 2021-2027
- Broadband lines by technology, 2021-2027
- Market share trends
- Fixed voice telephony access line market shares, 2022
- Fixed broadband access lines market shares, 2022
- Fixed service revenue trends
- Total fixed service revenue by service category, 2021-2027
- Fixed services ARPU by service category, 2021-2027
- Pay-TV services market
- Penetration and subscription trends
- TV and pay-TV household penetration, 2021-2027
- Total pay-TV subscriptions by type, 2021-2027
- Market share trends
- Total pay-TV subscription market shares, 2022
- Service revenue trends
- Total pay-TV service revenue, 2021-2027
- Pay-TV services ARPU by type, 2021-2027
- Competitive landscape and company snapshots
- Product portfolios and positioning, market share overview
- Company snapshot (Telkomsel, Indosat Ooredoo Hutchinson, XL Axiata, Smartfren)
- Additional resources
- Baseline forecast assumptions
- Data tables
- Glossary
- Research methodology
- Country Intelligence Report coverage
- About the Publisher
Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- Telkom Indonesia
- Indosat Ooredoo
- XL Axiata
- 3 Indonesia
- Smartfren
- Bakrie Telecom
- Citra Sari Makmur
- First Media
- Indovision
- Transvision