Tobacco in the US - Research and Markets

Tobacco in the US continued its declining trend in current value terms in 2023, as the public health fight against tobacco intensified after the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the failure from the Biden Administration to achieve a comprehensive ban on menthol cigarettes and other flavoured tobacco products, there was a significant dip in smoking prevalence in the last year of the review period.

The Tobacco in USA report offers a comprehensive guide to the size and shape of the market at a national level. It provides the latest retail sales data 2019-2023, allowing you to identify the sectors driving growth. It identifies the leading companies, the leading brands and offers strategic analysis of key factors influencing the market - be the new legislative, distribution or pricing issues. Forecasts to 2028 illustrate how the market is set to change.

Product coverage: Cigarettes, Cigarettes (Illicit+Legal), Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco, Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco.

Data coverage: Market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

Get a detailed picture of the Tobacco market;
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change;
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands;
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco in 2023: The big picture
2023 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
What next for tobacco?

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Tar levels
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Low ignition propensity (LIP) cigarette regulation
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Reduced harm
Vapour products

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

MARKET INDICATORS

Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2018-2023

MARKET DATA

Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN THE USKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Cigars and cigarillos pressured by oversupply
Smoking tobacco sees a boost to growth
Share of premium cigars and cigarillos continues to grow

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Cigars, cigarillos and smoking tobacco set to slowly stabilise in the forecast period
Potential flavour ban is still on the horizon
Craft and premium products could boost sales of smoking tobacco

CATEGORY DATA

Table 10 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 13 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 14 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 15 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2018-2023
Table 16 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 17 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 18 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 19 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 20 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 21 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 22 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 23 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 24 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 25 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 26 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 27 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 28 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 29 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN THE USKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Oral nicotine products come of age in the US market and boost companies’ performances
Illicit products remain the main challenge for e-vapour products

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Nicotine pouches will eclipse traditional smokeless tobacco
Heated tobacco products to return to the US after a short hiatus
Synthetic nicotine could find its way to an increasing variety of products

ILLICIT E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS

Summary 4 Illicit E-vapour products 2021-2024

CATEGORY INDICATORS

Table 57 Number of Adult Vapers 2018-2023

CATEGORY DATA

Table 58 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 59 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 60 Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 61 Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 62 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2018-2023
Table 63 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 64 Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2018-2023
Table 65 Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 66 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: Volume 2018-2023
Table 67 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 68 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 69 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 70 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 71 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 72 Sales of E-Liquids by Nicotine Strength: % Value 2020-2023
Table 73 NBO Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 74 LBN Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 75 NBO Company Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 76 LBN Brand Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 77 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 78 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 79 NBO Company Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 80 LBN Brand Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 81 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 82 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 83 Distribution of Smokeless Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 84 Distribution of E-Vapour Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 85 Distribution of Tobacco Heating Devices by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 86 Distribution of Heated Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 87 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 88 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 89 Forecast Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 90 Forecast Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 91 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2023-2028
Table 92 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 93 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2023-2028
Table 94 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 95 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: Volume 2023-2028
Table 96 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 97 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 98 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 99 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 100 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

CIGARETTES IN THE USKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Price pressures and cost-of-living crisis continue to hurt volume sales
Cigarettes loses ground to alternative tobacco products
Menthol ban still on the horizon

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Volume decline set to continue despite a slower fall in smoking prevalence
Menthol ban could reshape cigarettes
Pressure on premium brands will increase, while the price range will narrow

TAXATION AND PRICING

Taxation rates
Table 34 Taxation and Duty Levies 2018-2023
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 3 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

CATEGORY DATA

Table 35 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2018-2023
Table 36 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 37 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 38 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 39 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 40 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 41 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 42 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 43 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 44 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 45 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 46 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 47 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2018-2023
Table 48 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2023-2028
Table 49 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 50 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 51 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 52 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2023-2028

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