In Stock Trader’s Almanac 2024, veteran trader and market strategist Jeffrey Hirsch delivers the latest edition of the most trusted source used by traders around the world to make sense of the complexities of the US stock market. You’ll master key cycles and trends, including the “January Barometer,” the “Santa Claus Rally,” the “Best Six Months,” and the four-year “Presidential Election Cycle” as you learn to trade and invest with confidence.
You’ll explore strategies for getting a handle on increased market volatility, identifying past periods of exceptional price movement in the market, as well as streaks of positive and negative performance likely to repeat themselves. You’ll also find: - Month-by-month strategies that deliver reliably outsized market returns based on cyclical trends - Key explanations and descriptions of seasonal and annual cycles that consistently repeat themselves, year after year - Strategies and techniques that promise - and deliver - a sizeable impact on your investing bottom-line
For 57 years, the Almanac has offered savvy investors the freshest data and most insightful advice. Stock Trader’s Almanac 2024 is the comprehensive roadmap to investing eagerly anticipated by day traders, long-term investors, and portfolio managers alike.
Table of Contents
The 2024 Stock Trader’s Almanac
7 Introduction to the Fifty-Seventh Edition
10 2024 Outlook
12 2024 Strategy Calendar
14 January Almanac
16 January’s First Five Days: An “Early Warning” System
18 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only 12 Significant Errors in 73 Years
20 Bulls Win When Market Hits The January Trifecta
22 February Almanac
24 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record
26 2024 Presidential Election Year Perspectives
28 Market Charts of Presidential Election Years
30 March Almanac
32 How the Government Manipulates the Economy to Stay in Power
34 Incumbent Party Wins & Losses
36 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool
38 How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies
40 April Almanac
42 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901
44 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930
46 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971
48 May Almanac
50 Summer Market Volume Doldrums Drive Worst Six Months
52 Top Performing Months: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials
54 “Best Six Months”: Still an Eye-Popping Strategy
56 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results
58 June Almanac
60 Top Performing NASDAQ Months
62 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD-Timing
64 Triple Returns, Less Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle
66 July Almanac
68 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish
70 2022 Daily Dow Point Changes (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
72 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday
74 A Rally for All Seasons
76 August Almanac
78 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning
80 Only Two Losses Last 7 Months of Election Years
82 Fourth Quarter Market Magic
84 September Almanac
86 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined
88 A Correction for All Seasons
90 First-Trading-Day-Of-The-Month Phenomenon
92 October Almanac
94 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays
96 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar
100 Market Behavior Three Days Before and Three Days After Holidays
102 November Almanac
104 Traders Feast on Small Stocks Thanksgiving Through Santa Claus Rally
106 Trading the Thanksgiving Market
108 Aura of the Triple Witch - 4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After
110 December Almanac
112 Most of the So-Called January Effect Takes Place in the Last Half of December
114 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December
116 Wall Street’s Only “Free Lunch” Served Before Christmas
118 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall
120 2025 Strategy Calendar
Directory of Trading Patterns & Databank
123 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2024
124 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2024
125 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2024
126 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2024
127 NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2024
128 Recent NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2024
129 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2024
130 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2024
131 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon
132 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 190-Year Saga Continues
133 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900
134 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/ NASDAQ Composite Since 1971
135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February
136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April
137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June
138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August
139 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October
140 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December
141 A Typical Day in the Market
142 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis
143 Tuesday & Wednesday Most Profitable Days of Week
144 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week
145 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952
146 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971
147 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks
148 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks
149 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span
150 November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run
151 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1901
153 Standard & Poor’s 500 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1930
154 NASDAQ Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1971
155 Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1979
156 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950
158 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950
160 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950
162 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950
164 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950
166 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971
168 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971
170 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979
171 Russell 1000 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979
172 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979
173 Russell 2000 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979
174 10 Best Days by Percent and Point
175 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point
176 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point
177 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point
178 10 Best Months by Percent and Point
179 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point
180 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point
181 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point
182 10 Best Years by Percent and Point
183 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point
Strategy Planning and Record Section
185 Portfolio at Start of 2024
186 Additional Purchases
188 Short-Term Transactions
190 Long-Term Transactions
192 Interest/Dividends Received During 2024/Brokerage Account Data 2024
193 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2024
195 Weekly Indicator Data 2024
197 Monthly Indicator Data 2024
198 Portfolio at End of 2024
199 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will/Performance Record of Recommendations
200 Individual Retirement Accounts: Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised
201 G.M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival
202 G.M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist
