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CBDCs & Stablecoins: Key Opportunities, Regional Analysis & Market Forecasts 2023-2030

  • Report

  • March 2023
  • Region: Global
  • Juniper Research
  • ID: 5890408
The new CBDCs & Stablecoins research provides in-depth analysis and evaluation of how these new payment system risk types are being developed and commercialised within financial markets; delivering critical insights on how they will change business models in payments, key vendors driving the evolution of the market and the future prospects for these payment types of digital assets. It provides an evaluation of the development of CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies) and stablecoins across 19 different key countries of interest. The study also contains the Competitor Leaderboard; positioning 15 key CBDCs platform vendors. The research delivers incisive analysis of a range of factors of how both CBDCs and types of stablecoins will be leveraged across the domestic and cross-border payments markets; highlighting the current market status, key pain points in existing processes and the most critical opportunities for vendors to seize. It also features a comprehensive forecast suite; encompassing stablecoin and CBDC usage for payments across a range of segments:
  • Cross-border B2B Transactions
  • Cross-border Consumer Transactions
  • Domestic B2B Transactions
  • Domestic Consumer Transactions

Key Statistics

  • $100mn - Market size in 2023
  • $213bn - Market size in 2030
  • 260,000% - 2023 to 2030 market growth
  • 2023-2030 - Forecast period

Key Features

Market Dynamics: Insights into key trends and market expansion challenges within the development of CBDCs and stablecoins; addressing challenges and financial stability risks posed by the highly technical nature of developing new payment schemes, the potential benefits of new system roll-outs, and analysing use cases. This research also includes a regional analysis on the development level and future prospects for CBDC and stablecoin development in 19 key countries.

Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations: Key opportunities for vendors highlighted across the CBDC and stablecoin issuers' landscape; making for an important reading for key stakeholders with key stablecoins statistics.

Benchmark Industry Forecasts: 8-year forecasts are provided for transaction volume and value of stablecoin and CBDC payments, including splits by domestic versus cross-border, and by consumer versus B2B. The data is also split by our 8 key forecast regions and 60 countries:

North America:
  • Canada, US
Latin America:
  • Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay
West Europe:
  • Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK
Central & East Europe:
  • Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Turkey, Ukraine
Far East & China:
  • China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea
Indian Subcontinent:
  • Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan
Rest of Asia Pacific:
  • Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam
Africa & Middle East:
  • Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kenya, Kuwait, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Arab Emirates

Competitor Leaderboard: Key player capability and capacity assessment for 15 CBDC platform vendors, via the Competitor Leaderboard, featuring the following financial institutions:

  • Bitt
  • Consensys
  • eCurrency
  • FIS
  • G+D
  • HashCash Consultants
  • IDEMIA
  • INDUSTRIA
  • Mastercard
  • Nahmii
  • nChain
  • R3
  • Ripple
  • SORAMITSU
  • Stellar

Research Deliverables

  • Market Data & Forecasting Report - The numbers tell you what's happening, but our written report details why, alongside the methodologies.
  • Interactive Forecast Excel - Full 5-year forecasts for every available market metric provided in Excel format, with interactive 'What If' and scenario tools.
  • harvest Online Data Platform - Access the very latest data in our exclusive online data platform, harvest. All the data from Excel, with frequent updates and a more user-friendly interface.
  • Market Trends & Strategies Report - A comprehensive analysis of the current market landscape, alongside strategic recommendations.
  • Competitor Leaderboard Report - Provides a visual representation of the competitive positioning of the leaders within the market.

Executive Summary

The value of payments via CBDCs will reach $213 billion annually by 2030, up from just $100 million in 2023. This radical growth of over 260,000%, reflects the early stage of the sector, currently limited to pilot projects.

Adoption will be driven by governments leveraging CBDCs to boost financial inclusion and to increase their control over how digital payments are made. CBDCs will increase access to digital payments in emerging economies in particular, where mobile penetration is significantly higher than banking penetration.

By 2030, 92% of the total value transacted via CBDCs will be paid domestically. This reflects a change from almost 100% during the current pilot stages, as of 2023. As CBDCs are issued by central banks, they will be closely targeted at domestic payment challenges initially, with cross-border payments coming later, as systems become established and links are made between CBDCs used by individual countries.

While cross-border payments are currently have high costs and slow transaction speeds, this area is not the focus of CBDC development. As CBDC adoption will be very country specific, it will be incumbent on cross-border payment networks to link schemes together, allowing the wider payments industry to benefit from CBDCs.

A lack of commercial product development around CBDCs is a key limiting factor for the current market, with few well-defined platforms for central banks to leverage. Prospective CBDC platform providers should develop a full end-to-end solution, including wholesale capabilities, wallet provision and merchant acceptance, in order to enable the potential of CBDCs to be realised.

Companies Mentioned

  • Bitt
  • Consensys
  • eCurrency
  • FIS
  • G+D
  • HashCash Consultants
  • IDEMIA
  • INDUSTRIA
  • Mastercard
  • Nahmii
  • nChain
  • R3
  • Ripple
  • SORAMITSU
  • Stellar