Residential Heat Pump Market Report 2025

This report covers market characteristics, size and growth, segmentation, regional and country breakdowns, competitive landscape, market shares, trends and strategies for this market. It traces the market’s historic and forecast market growth by geography.

The residential heat pump market size has grown rapidly in recent years. It will grow from $41 billion in 2024 to $46.01 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.2%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to development of early pregnancy tests, increased women's health awareness, educational campaigns, global population growth, home testing convenience, rise of e-commerce.

The residential heat pump market size is expected to see rapid growth in the next few years. It will grow to $69.64 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.9%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to rising fertility awareness, market expansion in developing countries, regulatory support for home testing kits, telehealth adoption, customization and personalization. Major trends in the forecast period include digital pregnancy tests, home-based and self-testing options, integration of smartphone technology, integration of artificial intelligence, point-of-care testing.

The expanding interest in renewable energy sources is projected to fuel the growth of the residential heat pump market. Renewable energy, harnessed from naturally replenishing sources such as solar panels or wind turbines, offers sustainable alternatives for heating and cooling in households compared to traditional fossil fuel-based systems. For example, as of April 2023, global photovoltaic (PV) installations have surged, reaching 231 gigawatts of direct current (GWdc) and cumulatively totaling 1.2 terawatts of direct current (TWdc) in 2022, as reported by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). China, contributing 42% of global demand, drove this growth with a 57% increase in annual PV installations, primarily through distributed PV. Projections indicate installations surpassing 300 GW by 2023 and exceeding 400 GW by 2025, emphasizing the upward trajectory of renewable energy adoption and its impact on the residential heat pump market's expansion.

The growing trend toward smart homes is poised to drive the residential heat pump market forward. Smart homes, equipped with interconnected and remotely controlled devices and systems, aim to elevate convenience, efficiency, and security within households. Residential heat pumps, integral components of smart home ecosystems, contribute significantly to energy efficiency, comfort, and convenience. Notably, the United States is anticipated to have around 63.43 million smart houses, marking a 10.2% increase, as reported by Bankless Times in February 2023. Forecasts suggest a continuous rise, reaching 69.91 million smart homes by 2024 and further escalating to 77.05 million by 2025. This surge in smart home adoption indicates an increasing demand for such integrated systems, consequently propelling the residential heat pump market's growth.

Leading companies in the residential heat pump sector are dedicated to innovating their product lines, exemplified by the introduction of propane-based heat pumps, to deliver dependable customer service. Propane heat pumps function as heating and cooling systems using propane as the refrigerant, transferring heat from the outside to inside air during winter and vice versa in summer. An illustration of this innovation is the Aquarea L heat pump series launched by Panasonic Holdings Corporation in June 2023. This line of air-to-water heat pumps utilizes propane (R290) as the refrigerant for residential applications. Featuring inverter compressor technology, these pumps adjust compressor speed based on heating or cooling demand, enhancing efficiency. The incorporation of Aquarea Smart Cloud technology facilitates remote control of the heat pump via smartphones or tablets, marking a significant advancement in consumer convenience and control.

In May 2023, Carrier Global Corporation, a prominent US-based manufacturer of commercial and transport refrigeration solutions, completed the acquisition of Viessmann Climate Solutions SE for a sum of $13.2 billion. This strategic move is set to fortify Carrier's position in the realm of intelligent climate solutions and drive the advancement of energy transition initiatives. Furthermore, it facilitates Carrier's expansion into Europe's commercial sector, leveraging the expertise and market presence of Viessmann Climate Solutions SE, a reputable German company specializing in the manufacture of heat pumps for both residential and commercial buildings.

Major companies operating in the pregnancy test kits market report are Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble Co., Abbott Laboratories, Church & Dwight Co Inc., BioMerieux SA, Alere Inc., Piramal Enterprises Ltd., Quidel Corporation, Mankind Pharma, Cardinal Health Inc., Healthpoint, EKF Diagnostics Holdings PLC, Sugentech Inc., Egens Group, INTEC Group, Medsource Ozone Biomedicals, SPD Swiss Precision Diagnostics, Geratherm Medical AG, Princeton BioMeditech Corporation, Cupid Limited, Easy Healthcare Corporation, Axis Medicare Ltd., Gregory Pharmaceutical Holdings Inc., AccuQuik Test Kits, Sara Health Care Pvt Ltd., Hicks Thermometers India Limited, Fairhaven Health LLC, Atlas Medical Group, Germaine Laboratories Inc.

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the residential heat pump market in 2024. The regions covered in the residential heat pump market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the residential heat pump market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

The residential heat pump market consists of revenues earned by entities by providing services such as heat pump repair, installation, and maintenance. The market value includes the value of related goods sold by the service provider or included within the service offering. The residential heat pump market also includes sales of compressors, condensers, evaporators, refrigerants, accumulators, thermostats, motors, defrost systems, and refrigeration coils. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

Residential heat pumps are energy-efficient systems that provide heating and cooling capabilities by transferring heat between indoor and outdoor environments. These systems effectively control indoor temperatures for comfort in homes and buildings. Additionally, heat pumps can be connected to a tank to produce sanitary hot water, offering a versatile solution for hydronic systems.

The main types of residential heat pumps include water source, geothermal, and air source. A water source heat pump (WSHP) extracts thermal energy from a nearby water source and converts it into heat and hot water for the building. These heat pumps can be powered by electricity, gas, or other sources and are utilized in both single-family and multi-family residences.

The residential heat pump market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides residential heat pump market statistics, including residential heat pump industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with a residential heat pump market share, detailed residential heat pump market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the residential heat pump industry. This residential heat pump market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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