Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Outlook 2030

1.1 Abbreviations
1.2 Market Definitions
1.3 Methodology
1.3.1 Facility-level data
1.3.2 Pathway-level split
1.3.3 CFS Credit volumes
1.3.4 Incentives
1.3.5 Feedstock requirement

3.1 Global SAF Market Size Expected to exceed US$25 billion in 2030
3.2 North America projected to lead global SAF production in 2030
3.3 UCO and Soy Oil projected to drive a significant chunk of the feedstock requirement for SAF by 2030
3.4 SAF projected to generate US$424 million in 2030 through CFS incentives across North America
3.5 Nine ASTM Pathways currently approved for SAF production
3.6 Oil and gas majors expected to claim a major chunk of the projected global SAF capacity by 2030

4.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, 2018-2030
4.1.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, 2018-2023
4.1.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, 2024-2030
4.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Regional Market Share, 2023 and 2030
4.3 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size, 2018-2030
4.3.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size, 2018-2023
4.3.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size, 2024-2030
4.4 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Offtake Agreements
4.4.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Offtake Agreements Signed by Year, 2013-2023
4.4.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Offtake Agreements by Top-10 Offtaking Entities (by volume), 2013-2023
4.4.3 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Offtake Agreements by Top-10 Fuel Producers (by volume), 2013-2023
4.5 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capacity Addition, 2018-2030
4.5.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capacity Addition, 2018-2023
4.5.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capacity Addition, 2024-2030

5.1 Synopsis of Feedstock Analysis
5.2 Global Estimated Feedstock Requirement for Sustainable Aviation Fuel, 2018-2030
5.3 Global Estimated Feedstock Potential Requirement for Sustainable Aviation Fuel, 2024-2030
5.4 Global Estimated Feedstock Requirement for Renewable Diesel, 2018-2030
5.5 Global Estimated Feedstock Potential Requirement for Renewable Diesel, 2024-2030
5.6 Analysis of Global SAF & RD Demand on the Current Feedstock Availability
5.7 Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Production, By Type, 2018-2023
5.7.1 US Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Production, By Type, 2018-2023
5.7.2 Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Production, By Type, 2018-2023
5.7.3 EU Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Production, By Type, 2018-2023
5.8 Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.8.1 US Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.8.2 Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.8.3 EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.9 Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.9.1 US Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.9.2 Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.9.3 EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports, By Type, 2018-2023
5.1 Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Consumption, By Type, 2018-2023
5.10.1 US Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Consumption, By Type, 2018-2023
5.10.2 Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Consumption, By Type, 2018-2023
5.10.3 EU Agriculture and Forestry Products Total Consumption, By Type, 2018-2023
5.11 United States, Agriculture Products Consumption Analysis, (Biofuels vs Others), 2018-2023
5.11.1 United States, Soy Oil Consumption Analysis, (Biofuels vs Others), 2018-2023
5.11.2 United States, Canola Oil Consumption Analysis, (Biofuels vs Others), 2018-2023
5.11.3 United States, Tallow Consumption Analysis, (Biofuels vs Others), 2018-2023
5.11.4 United States, Corn Oil Consumption Analysis, (Biofuels vs Others), 2018-2023

6.1 Clean Fuel Standards in North America: An Introduction
6.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuel Consumption by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2030
6.2.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel Consumption by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2023
6.2.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuel Consumption by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2024-2030
6.3 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Total Credits Generated by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2030
6.3.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Total Credits Generated by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2023
6.3.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Total Credits Generated by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2023-2030
6.4 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Average Carbon Intensity by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2030
6.4.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Average Carbon Intensity by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2023
6.4.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Average Carbon Intensity by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2024-2030
6.5 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Estimated Incentives Generated by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2030
6.5.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Estimated Incentives Generated by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2018-2023
6.5.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Estimated Incentives Generated by Clean Fuel Standard Market, 2024-2030
6.6 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered in Clean Fuel Standard Markets, 2018-2023
6.6.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered by Clean Fuel Standard Markets, 2018-2023
6.6.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered by Feedstock, 2018-2023
6.6.3 Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered by Facilities, 2018-2023
6.7 Average Credit Prices Across Clean Fuel Markets, 2018-2023
6.7.1 Average RIN Prices, 2018-2023
6.7.2 Average CFS Credit Prices, 2018-2024

7.1 Global Sustainable Aviation: Pathways for Production
7.1.1 Fischer-Tropsch Synthesized Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
7.1.2 Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA-SPK)
7.1.3 Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA-SPK)
7.1.4 Fischer-Tropsch Synthesized Paraffinic Kerosene with Aromatics (FT-SPK/A)
7.1.5 Alcohol-to-Jet Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (ATJ-SPK)
7.1.6 Catalytic Hydrothermolysis Jet (CHJ)
7.1.7 Hydrocarbon-Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HC-HEFA-SPK)
7.1.8 Co-processing
7.1.9 Power to Liquid (PtL)
7.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Specifications and Fuel Properties
7.3 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, by Technology
7.3.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, by Technology, 2023
7.3.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, by Technology, 2030
7.4 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, by Prices
7.4.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, by Prices, 2018-2023
7.4.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, by Prices, 2024-2030

8.1 Existing Policies:
8.2 Upcoming Regulations:

9.1 Market Drivers
9.2 Market Challenges
9.3 Market Opportunities
9.4 Trends in Global Market

10.1 Political Factors
10.2 Economic Factors
10.3 Social Factors
10.4 Technological Factors
10.5 Legal Factors
10.6 Environmental Factors

11.1 Competitive Rivalry
11.2 Supplier Power
11.3 Buyer Power
11.4 Threat of Substitution
11.5 Threat of New Entry
11.6 Total Sustainable Aviation Fuel Nameplate Capacity (Million Litres) and investment (US$ Million) by 2030

12.1 Shell plc
12.1.1 Overview
12.1.2 Company Details
12.1.3 Operational Details
12.1.4 Key Announcements
12.2 Eni SpA
12.2.1 Overview
12.2.2 Company Details
12.2.3 Operational details
12.2.4 Key announcements
12.3 Neste
12.3.1 Overview
12.3.2 Company Details
12.3.3 Operational Details
12.3.4 Key announcements
12.4 Fidelis New Energy, LLC
12.4.1 Overview
12.4.2 Company Details
12.4.3 Operational Details
12.4.4 Key Announcements
12.5 SGP BioEnergy
12.5.1 Overview
12.5.2 Company Details
12.5.3 Operational Details
12.5.4 Key Announcements
12.6 United Airlines Ventures
12.6.1 Overview
12.6.2 Company Details
12.6.3 Operational Details
12.6.4 Key Announcements
12.7 Phillips 66
12.7.1 Overview
12.7.2 Company Details
12.7.3 Operational Details
12.7.4 Key Announcements
12.8 TotalEnergies
12.8.1 Overview
12.8.2 Company Details
12.8.3 Operational Details
12.8.4 Key Announcements
12.9 Preem
12.9.1 Overview
12.9.2 Company Details
12.9.3 Operational Details
12.9.4 Key Announcements
12.10 Chevron Corporation
12.10.1 Overview
12.10.2 Company Details
12.10.3 Operational Details
12.10.4 Key Announcements

13.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Plant Details
13.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements, 2018-2030
13.3 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Supplies to Airports

Figure 1: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Regional Market Share, 2030
Figure 2: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Feedstock Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2024-2030
Figure 3: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Production (In Million Liters), 2018-2023
Figure 4: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Production (In Million Liters), 2024-2030
Figure 5: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Regional Market Share, 2023, 2030
Figure 6: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ Million), 2018-2023
Figure 7: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ Million), 2024-2030
Figure 8: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements Signed by Year (In Million Litres), 2013-2023
Figure 9: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements by Top-10 Fuel Consumers (In Million Litres), 2013-2023
Figure 10: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements by Top-10 Fuel Producers (In Million Litres), 2013-2023
Figure 11: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capacity Addition (In Million Litres), 2018-2023
Figure 12: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capacity Addition (In Million Litres), 2024-2030
Figure 13: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Feedstock Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 14: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Feedstock Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2024-2030
Figure 15: Global Renewable Diesel Feedstock Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 16: Global Renewable Diesel Feedstock Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2024-2030
Figure 17: Analysis of Global SAF & RD Demand on the Current Feedstock Availability
Figure 18: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Production (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 19: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Production (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 20: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Production (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 21: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 22: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 23: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 24: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 25: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 26: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 27: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Consumption (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 28: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Consumption (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 29: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Consumption (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 30: United States, Soy Oil, Consumption, (Biofuels vs Others) (1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 31: United States, Canola Oil, Consumption, (Biofuels vs Others) (1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 32: United States, Tallow, Consumption, (Biofuels vs Others) (1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 33: United States, Corn Oil, Consumption, (Biofuels vs Others) (1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 34: Clean Fuel Standards across North America
Figure 35: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Consumption by Clean Fuel Standard (In Million Litres), 2018-2023
Figure 36: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Consumption by Clean Fuel Standard (In Million Litres), 2024-2030
Figure 37: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Credits Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Figure 38: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Credits Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In 1000 MT), 2024-2030
Figure 39 Sustainable Aviation Fuel Average Carbon Intensity by Clean Fuel Standard (In gCO2e/MJ), 2018-2023
Figure 40: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Average Carbon Intensity by Clean Fuel Standard (In gCO2e/MJ), 2024-2030
Figure 41: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Estimated Incentives Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In US$ Million), 2018-2023
Figure 42: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Estimated Incentives Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In US$ Million), 2024-2030
Figure 43: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered by Clean Fuel Standard, 2018-2023
Figure 44: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered by Feedstock, 2018-2023
Figure 45: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Number of Pathways Registered by Facilities in CA-LCFS, 2018-2023
Figure 46: Average RIN Prices, 2018-2023
Figure 47: Average CFS Credit Prices, 2018-2022
Figure 48: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, by Technology, 2023
Figure 49: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, by Technology, 2030
Figure 50: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Prices (US$/Litre), 2018-2023
Figure 51: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Prices (US$/Litre), 2024-2030
Figure 52: Market share by Nameplate Capacity, for Top 10 companies by 2030

Table 1: List of Abbreviations
Table 2: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ million), 2018-2030
Table 3: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, CFS Incentives (In US$ million), 2022-2030
Table 4: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, by Pathways and Feedstock
Table 5: Sustainable Aviation Fuel Nameplate Capacity (Million Litres) and investment (US$ million) by 2030
Table 6: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Production (In Million Liters), 2018-2023
Table 7: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Production (In Million Liters), 2024-2030
Table 8: Region-wise Production of Sustainable Aviation Fuel, 2023 and 2030 (in Million Litres)
Table 9: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ Million), 2018-2023
Table 10: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ Million), 2024-2030
Table 11: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements Signed by Year (In Million Litres), 2013-2023
Table 12: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements by Top-10 Offtaking Entities (In Million Litres), 2013-2023
Table 13: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements by Top-10 Fuel Producers (In Million Litres), 2013-2023
Table 14: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capacity Addition (In Million Litres), 2018-2023
Table 15: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capacity Addition (In Million Litres), 2024-2030
Table 16: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Feedstock Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 17: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Feedstock Potential Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2024-2030
Table 18: Global Renewable Diesel Feedstock Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 19: Global Renewable Diesel Feedstock Potential Requirement (In 1000 MT), 2024-2030
Table 20: Analysis of Global SAF & RD Demand on the Current Feedstock Availability
Table 21: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Production (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 22: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Production (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 23: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Production (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 24: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 25: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 26: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Imports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 27: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 28: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 29: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Exports (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 30: United States Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Consumption (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 31: Canada Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Consumption (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 32: EU Agriculture and Forestry Products, Total Consumption (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 33: United States, Agriculture Products Consumption Analysis (Biofuels vs Others, In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 34: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Consumption by Clean Fuel Standard (In Million Litres), 2018-2023
Table 35: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Consumption by Clean Fuel Standard (In Million Litres), 2024-2030
Table 36: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Credits Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In 1000 MT), 2018-2023
Table 37: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Credits Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In 1000 MT), 2024-2030
Table 38: Sustainable Aviation Fuel Average Carbon Intensity by Clean Fuel Standard (In gCO2e/MJ), 2018-2023
Table 39: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Average Carbon Intensity by Clean Fuel Standard (In gCO2e/MJ), 2024-2030
Table 40: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Estimated Incentives Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In US$ million), 2018-2023
Table 41: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Estimated Incentives Generated by Clean Fuel Standard (In US$ Million), 2024-2030
Table 42: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered by Clean Fuel Standard, 2018-2023
Table 43: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Pathways Registered by Feedstock, 2018-2023
Table 44: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Number of Pathways Registered by Facilities in CA-LCFS, 2018-2023
Table 45: Average RIN Prices, 2018-2023
Table 46: Average CFS Credit Prices (USD/MT), 2018-2022
Table 47: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, by Pathways and Feedstock
Table 48: SAF Technical Specifications for ASTM Annex A2 HEFA-SPK
Table 49: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Prices (US$/Litre), 2018-2023
Table 50: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Prices (US$/Litre), 2024-2030
Table 51: Total Sustainable Aviation Fuel Nameplate Capacity (Million Litres) and investment (US$ million) by 2030
Table 52: Shell plc, Company Details
Table 53: Shell plc, Operational Details
Table 54: Eni SpA, Company Details
Table 55: Eni SpA, Operational Details
Table 56: Neste, Company Details
Table 57: Neste, Operational details
Table 58: Fidelis New Energy LLC, Company details
Table 59: Fidelis New Energy, LLC, Operational details
Table 60: SGP BioEnergy, Company details
Table 61: SGP BioEnergy, Operational details
Table 62: United Airlines Ventures, Company details
Table 63: United Airlines Ventures, Operational details
Table 64: Phillips 66, Company details
Table 65: Phillips 66, Operational details
Table 66: TotalEnergies, Company details
Table 67: TotalEnergies, Operational details
Table 68: Preem, Company details
Table 69: Preem, Operational details
Table 70: Chevron Corporation, Company details
Table 71: Chevron Corporation, Operational details
Table 72: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Plant Details
Table 73: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Offtake Agreements 2024-2030
Table 74: Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Supplies to Airports