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Quantitative Analysis of Individual Borrower Credit Risk

  • Training

  • 90 Minutes
  • Compliance Online
  • ID: 5974903
This training program will detail the development and use of credit ratings for credit risk assessment; development of financial statement regression techniques as embodied in the Altman Z score for credit risk assessment; differences in quantitative tools for differing loan type; importance of data quality for quantitative tools, and more.

Why Should You Attend:

In financial markets, the credit risk of a borrower is simply the risk that the borrower - whether an individual, corporation, or government entity - will not pay the full interest and principal of the loan when contractually obligated to do so. Credit risk, therefore, is as old as lending itself. Lenders, therefore, must study a potential loan carefully to decide whether, and on what terms, to lend to a prospective borrower.

This pre-transaction study is known as credit underwriting. After the lender has made the loan, it is also critically important to stay abreast of the likelihood of borrower repayment. This post-transaction review is surveillance.

This webinar will focus on the quantitative, rather than fundamental, analysis of the loan transaction for both underwriting and surveillance.

Learning Objectives:

  • Learn the meaning, development, and use of credit ratings for credit risk assessment
  • Learn the meaning and development of financial statement regression techniques as embodied in the Altman Z score for credit risk assessment
  • Learn the necessary differences in quantitative tools for differing loan type (consumer, corporate, government, structured)
  • Learn the critical importance of data quality for quantitative tools
  • Learn the proper judgment and skepticism for the review of quantitative credit assessment
  • Learn the limitations of credit ratings, regression analyses, Monte Carlo simulation, and other methods

Areas Covered in the Webinar:

  • History and types of lending
  • Consumer loans (credit card, auto loans, student loans, mortgages)
  • Corporate loans (bonds, high-yield loans, senior debt, subordinated debt)
  • Government entity loans (sovereign, sub-sovereign, general obligation, revenue bonds)
  • Structured finance debt (mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations)
  • Credit ratings
  • Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, Fitch, and other credit rating agencies
  • Regression analysis (ordinary least squares, logistic, probit)
  • Financial statements (balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement)
  • Cash flow model
  • Portfolio default model
  • Monte Carlo technique
  • Default probability
  • Asset correlation

Who Will Benefit:

  • All analysts, traders, and managers in front, middle, and back office of all banks and financial institutions
  • Auditors to financial firms
  • Financial consultants
  • Investment professionals
  • Treasury department professionals of all firms with activity involving issuance of debt
  • Financial group professionals of all firms with activity involving financial assets of the firm such as accounts receivable, trade receivables, hedges and derivatives
  • Professionals employed with government and supra-national entities with activity related to financial aspects of their organizations

Course Provider

  • Joseph M. Pimbley
  • Joseph M. Pimbley,