Medium and Heavy-duty Commercial Vehicle Aftermarket Outlook 2024

Moderate Global GDP Growth will Affect Truck Usage Leading to a 4.3% Part Revenue Growth Opportunity

This analysis of the 2024 global medium and heavy-duty (MD and HD) commercial vehicle aftermarket examines and forecasts for the 2023-2027 period, highlighting several types of parts in the aftermarket and its growth opportunities.

This outlook features global coverage with a specific focus and analytics for North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East and Africa. The publisher determines key trends and growth opportunities impacting the 2024 global MD and HD truck aftermarket.

The publisher calculates market forecasts based on several factors, including average miles driven, vehicles in operation (VIO), new truck sales, average vehicle age, replacement rates, and the operating environment of each specific region. Each geographic segment features an analysis of aftermarket parts size, VIO, new truck sales, revenues, and distribution channel breakdown.

The regional analysis examines the operating environment, with parameters such as the average vehicle age and truck brand market share. The main challenges that stakeholders face, inflation and supply chain disruptions, are past their peak and will likely improve into H2 of 2024. However, H1 global GDP will grow modestly by 1.9% while H2 should improve, with 2.8% growth as economic conditions improve. Developed economies in North America and Europe will lag in 2024 with an expected 1% growth. In turn, developing economies in Latin America and APAC will grow by 3.8%, helping drive the global economy and aftermarket spend in 2024.