Future-Oriented Technology Assessment offers a comprehensive view of technology assessment structured into three different practical approaches: Technology Evaluation, Technology Roadmapping, and Technology Intelligence.
The first four chapters include studies which utilize technology gap analysis, multiple criteria decision analysis, expert assessment quantification or neural networks to evaluate or forecast technology alternatives. The next five chapters apply bibliometric analysis, patent analysis, and network analysis to identify technology trends and the leaders in the field. The final four chapters use technology roadmapping, which charts a comprehensive plan for implementing technology.
Additional topics covered in Future-Oriented Technology Assessment include: - Smart grid technology as an alternative to fossil fuel consumption- Heat pump water heaters that reduce the cost of energy and improve energy efficiency, with particular focus on research from the US and China- Nanotechnology in construction in Saudi Arabia to improve heat insulation, energy efficiency, and tensile strength in green building designs
With comprehensive, practical insight into evaluating emerging technologies across different industries, Future-Oriented Technology Assessment is an essential read for researchers in technology and professionals in engineering and technology management, along with professionals and graduate students in related disciplines and programs of study.
Table of Contents
A Note from the Series Editor xvii
About the Editors xxi
List of Contributors xxiii
Preface xxvii
1 Technology Assessment: Smart City Development Initiatives and Issues 1
Nagendra K. Sharma, Vimal Kumar, Pratima Verma, Tugrul U. Daim, Haydar Yalçın, and Kuei-Kuei Lai
1.1 Introduction 1
1.2 Evolution of the Smart City 4
1.3 Need for Smart Cities 5
1.4 Conclusion 10
1.5 Implication and Future Research 11
References 12
2 Technology Assessment: Process Optimization Services in the Cement Industry 15
Felipe C. Gelbecke, Tugrul U. Daim, Hermann Lodding, and Sine B. Skaarup
2.1 Introduction 15
2.2 Research Design 18
2.3 Results of the Survey 30
2.4 Discussion 41
2.5 Conclusions 46
2.A Interview Guide 47
References 48
3 Technology Assessment: Energy Storage Technologies 51
Aynur Yarga, Tugrul U. Daim, Saeed Alzahrani, and Serhat Burmaoglu
3.1 Introduction 51
3.2 Literature Review 52
3.3 Methodology 55
3.4 Model Development 59
3.5 Results Analysis and Discussion 67
3.6 Conclusion 79
Acknowledgments 82
References 82
4 Technology Forecasting: A Secure Solar Power Generation Forecasting Framework for Recurrent Neural Networks 87
Murat Kuzlu, Salih Sarp, Ferhat O. Catak, Umit Cali, and Yanxiao Zhao
4.1 Introduction 87
4.2 Proposed Secure Solar Power Generation Forecasting Framework 89
4.3 Deep Learning Techniques 91
4.4 Adversarial Attack and Mitigation Methods 97
4.5 Dataset Description, Feature Selection, and Performance Metrics 100
4.6 Experiments 103
4.7 Results and Discussion 109
4.8 Summary 110
References 110
5 Technology Intelligence: Transformative Trends and Technological Synergies for the Smart Grid 113
Haydar Yalçın
5.1 Introduction 113
5.2 Cluster Analysis 114
5.3 Authors Productivity 116
5.4 Co-word Analysis 117
5.5 Discussion 124
References 127
6 Technology Intelligence: Cryptocurrencies and Emerging Technologies 129
Ahmet Ergurum, Mursel Dogrul, Haydar Yalçın, and Tugrul U. Daim
6.1 Introduction 129
6.2 Data and Method 132
6.3 Discussion 146
References 146
7 Technology Intelligence: Geothermal Energy 151
Tugrul U. Daim, Mehdi Zamani, Ali B. Naeini, Fayez Alsoubaie, Hao Zhang, and Haydar Yalçın
7.1 Introduction 151
7.2 Impacts of Geothermal Energy 153
7.3 Methodology 156
7.4 Results of Data Analysis 168
7.5 Discussion 206
7.6 Conclusions 207
7.7 Limitations and Future Research 207
7.A Python Code of Mann-Kendall Test 208
7.B Python Code of Life Cycle S Curve 210
References 213
8 Technology Intelligence: Heat Pump Water Heaters 221
Fayez Alsoubaie, Aynur Kirbac, and Tugrul U. Daim
8.1 Introduction 221
8.2 Literature Review 222
8.3 Social Network Analysis 226
8.4 Methodology 226
8.5 Heat Pump Water Heaters Bibliometrics Application 236
8.6 Overall Affiliation Ranking 2010-2021 238
8.7 Co-word Results 240
8.8 Interview Results 248
8.9 Conclusion and Discussion 250
References 250
9 Technology Intelligence: Burst Analysis for RFID in Hospitals 255
Haydar Yalçın
9.1 Introduction 255
9.2 Methodology 256
9.3 Data 257
9.4 Burst Analysis 257
9.5 Cluster Analysis 258
9.6 Conclusion 270
References 270
10 Technology Roadmapping: Data Science Roadmapping of Networked Organizations’ Strategic Planning for Artificial Intelligence 273
Kerem Kayabay, Atilla Kılınç, Mert Onuralp Gökalp, Ebru Gökalp, and Tugrul U. Daim
10.1 Introduction 273
10.2 Literature Review 274
10.3 A Case Study of Networked Organizations’ Strategic Planning for AI 281
10.4 Discussion 290
10.5 Conclusion 291
References 292
11 Technology Roadmapping: Nano Technology in Construction in Saudi Arabia 301
Ashfaq AlKhalil and Tugrul U. Daim
11.1 Introduction 301
11.2 Research Methodology 303
11.3 Background of Nanotechnology 304
11.4 Nanoarchitecture: Definition and Its Applications 307
11.5 Building Sector and Sustainable Development Issues 311
11.6 Using Nanomaterials in the Production of Concrete-based Composites 313
11.7 Nanoarchitecture Application in Saudi Arabia 318
11.8 Technology Road Mapping for Green Architecture 320
11.9 Conclusion and Future Work 336
References 337
12 Technology Roadmapping: Standards of Healthcare Data Cybersecurity 343
Alison Nalven, Courtney Wright, Jennifer L. Zeitouni, Nolan Thompson, Sara Ferdousi, and Saumya Saxena
12.1 Introduction 343
12.2 Methodology 344
12.3 Literature Review 345
12.4 Results 347
12.5 Conclusion and Limitations 366
References 367
13 Technology Roadmapping: Monitoring the Status of a Technology Roadmap with Data-driven Roadmapping Approach 371
Nathasit Gerdsri, Ummaraporn Pora, Sudatip Puengrusme, and Ronald Vatananan
13.1 Introduction 371
13.2 Literature Review 372
13.3 Monitoring the Status of a Roadmap with Data-driven Roadmapping Approach 390
13.4 The Development of Integrative Restaurant Services and Intelligent Management Published in IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management (Pora et al. 2022) 394
13.5 Conclusion 396
References 397
