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Green Ammonia Market Report: Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis to 2030

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    Report

  • 150 Pages
  • September 2024
  • Region: Global
  • Lucintel
  • ID: 6007975
The global green ammonia market is expected to reach an estimated $0.7 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 23.2% billion from 2024 to 2030. The major drivers for this market are the growing need for eco-friendly fertilizers and rising demand for biofuels.

The future of the global green ammonia market looks promising with opportunities in the power generation, transportation, and industrial feedstock applications.

Alkaline water electrolysis is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.

Within this market, power generation is expected to witness the highest growth.

Europe is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.

Emerging Trends in the Green Ammonia Market

The green ammonia market is undergoing a rapid change owing to the change in technology, changes in regulations, and the global sensitivity toward the need for conservation. New feminist sub movements exhibit an increasing reliance on green ammonia for the production of energy and in agriculture, as well as a move of the industry towards greener approaches to production.
  • Integration with Renewable Energy: Green ammonia production is ma-de more often in conjunction with renewable energy installations i.e. wind and solar. This development comes as a natural response to the need to make ammonia production more sustainable by taking advantage of the surplus renewable electricity to electrolyze water and produce hydrogen which is then fixed into ammonia.
  • Hydrogen as a Key Component: Green hydrogen produced from renewable energy is emerging as a key ingredient to producing green ammonia. This trend emphasizes the need for hydrogen as a clean energy carrier and eases the transition from coal-based ammonia to more environmentally friendly options and other more general decarbonization of the economy.
  • Ammonia as Energy Carrier: For quite some time investigations about ammonia together with hydrogen as energy carriers have been made. The fuel ammonia energized is view as a good energy source for storage applications due to the water slipper and less volumetric requirement as Hydrogen and Carbon usages are avoided.
  • Advancements in Electrolysis Technologies: There have been such new technologies in electrolysis that have helped reduce the costs and improved the production of green ammonia. This trend is crucial for the plan of increasing the volume of production - more profitable, efficient electrolyzers lead to less energy used for the manufacturing and green ammonia gets better priced in comparison to conventional variants.
  • Policy Support and Incentives: In recent years carbon emissions reduction policies of governments have also helped the adoption of the green ammonia. This trend has brought forth investments in r&d, political incubators, and commercial plants and fostered global collaboration so as to fast track the commercialization of green ammonia.
These trends are changing the green ammonia market by creating new technologies, lowering costs of production and increasing the scope of green ammonia usage in energy and agriculture. In due time and as these trends mature, they are going to be very important in enhancing a change towards a low emission society.

Recent Developments in the Green Ammonia Market

The green ammonia sector is evolving rapidly thanks to the worldwide trend towards sustainability and decarbonation. Such the development includes new technologies, increased financing, minimizing overdependence on fossil fuels, which strategically position green ammonia in the energy transition.
  • Large Scale Pilot Projects: Countries worldwide have launched a number of large scale pilot projects to test the production of green ammonia. Production at commercial scales would lead to cost reductions thus facilitating the use of green ammonia in quite a number of sectors.
  • Electrolysis: Through the use of electrolysis, the efficiency of creating green ammonia increases greatly. More efficient electrolyzers are being constructed which use less energy, yield greater amounts of product, making the process affordable.
  • Economic Support / Support Policies: Encouragements and policies are designed by the authorities of many countries to boost green ammonia production. Such policies include taxation, subsidies and research funding aimed at tackling carbon emissions aimed at herself developing the green technology central for the market.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: There is more collaboration taking place in the green ammonia market especially among energy firms, research agencies and governments. Such partnerships are necessary in knowledge distribution, cost minimization and expoccusion of the green ammonia technology markets.
  • Expansion of Renewable Energy Integration: There is growing incorporation of wind and solar energy in the production of green ammonia. Getting more energy from there is fundamental to most industrial programs aimed at making ammonia without carbon emission.
These changes are fueling the green ammonia market, positioning it as one of the strategies towards decarbonization of the economy as more of such trends are expected. Given the evolving situation, green ammonia will be predominant in both energy and agriculture sectors in the future.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Green Ammonia Market

The green ammonia market has growth prospects in terms of application in different areas such as energy, agriculture and industrial spheres because they are looking for greener alternatives. It is about strategies that need to be put in place to target and exploit those potential for growth in the market and position companies in this fast changing industry.
  • Agriculture: One of the strong possibilities involves green ammonia application because it is a green alternative and great potential in agriculture. The high demand for low carbon fertilizers can be met with the help of green ammonia, thus extending the possibilities of the agricultural sector without damaging the environment.
  • Energy Storage: Green ammonia is gaining prominence for energy storage, especially for wind and solar power. The capacity to store and transport energy long after it has been captured presents clean energy development in markets with enough renewable sources of energy.
  • Hydrogen Carrier: With its crucial role as an ammonia hydrogen carrier, green ammonia will be a major growth area in the hydrogen economy. Energy should no longer be considered a commodity because of its high volatility and a potential standard medium for the transportation of hydrogen has been offered: ammonia with renewable hydrogen.
  • Industrial Applications: Many of the green ammonia applications can be in the chemical production, marketing its growth potentials in chemicals and textiles. These sectors help in the reducing greenhouse gas emissions in buildings and help meet desired targets of sustainability for businesses.
  • Marine Fuel: Addressing the challenges of carbon footprint in the shipping industry is the use of green ammonia as a marine fuel. This constitutes a considerable growth opportunity as green ammonia can be able to contribute toward achieving the International Maritime Organization (IMO) decarbonization goals.
Such strategic growth opportunities are enabling the green ammonia market to thrive, making it an active player in the world’s shift towards sustainable energy and industrial processes. By seizing these opportunities, stakeholder can help in the emissions reductions in a number of sectors.

Green Ammonia Market Drivers and Challenges

The green ammonia market operates under multiple complexities of drivers and challenges such both technological, economic and regulatory. This is important in order to understand the market movement and growing it sustainably.

The factors responsible for driving the green ammonia market include:

  • 1. Decarbonization Goals: There is increasing demand owing to global carbon reduction efforts targeting green ammonia. With industries and governments pledging to net-zero there are green, ammonia which is fast becoming an essential transition fuel especially in agriculture and energy economies.
  • 2. Technological Advancements: Increased investments in electrolysis and the use of energy from renewables are making the processes of producing green ammonia efficient and cheaper. These advancements are therefore important in increasing the production of and satisfying the need for green ammonia in the market.
  • 3. Government Support: Government policies and incentives act as a catalyst in driving the uptake of green ammonia. Such supportive measures as subsidies, grants and legal systems in place are encouraging investment in green ammonia projects thus fast tracking the growth in the market.
  • 4. Energy Security: Green ammonia helps with energy security, especially in countries where renewable energy is abundant. It allows storage and transportation of energy in the form of ammonia without the need for fossil fuels.
  • 5. Global Collaboration: International partnerships and collaborations are helping in the development and deployment of green ammonia technologies. These collaborations are important for knowledge transfer, cost reduction, and the adoption of green ammonia in various parts of the globe.

Challenges in the green ammonia market are:

  • 1. High Production Costs: The main area in which the production of green ammonia is challenged is the high cost of production which is caused by the high energy consumption nature of the process of electrolysis. It is important to lower such costs so that green ammonia can become at par with the normal ammonia in pricing strategies.
  • 2. Infrastructure Development: It is clearly evident that the infrastructure for the production and distribution of green ammonia on a large scale is lacking. It is important to seek the development of this infrastructure (renewable energy sources and transportation networks), since it is fundamental for the widening of the market.
  • 3. Regulatory Uncertainty: As a novel fuel option, green ammonia does not have established regulatory frameworks which pose a problem to the market stakeholders. The regulations with regard to green ammonia need to be comprehensible and consistent in order to foster an environment, which is attractive for investment and development.
  • 4. Technological Maturity: There has been progress however, the technology for green ammonia production is still under developed and several phases are yet to be realized. Further work has to be done in terms of research, development and deployment in order to enhance efficiency and scalability to make green ammonia commercially attractive.
  • 5. Market Competition: Green ammonia market is faced with threat from other low carbon technologies such as green hydrogen and biofuels. The future market of green ammonia will necessitate the need for going beyond the traditional marketing strategies.
The evolution of green ammonia market is the outcome of the tension between these drivers and challenges. There is no doubt in positive aspects concerning market growth, yet addressing such issues is of core importance in order to fulfill the promise of green ammonia in the energy transition process around the globe.

List of Green Ammonia Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies green ammonia companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base.

Some of the green ammonia companies profiled in this report include:

  • Siemens
  • NEL ASA
  • ThyssenKrupp
  • ITM Power
  • YARA

Green Ammonia by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global green ammonia by technology, application, and region.

Technology [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:

  • Alkaline Water Electrolysis
  • Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis
  • Solid Oxide Electrolysis

Application [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:

  • Power Generation
  • Transportation
  • Industrial Feedstocks
  • Others

Region [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:

  • North America
  • Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Green Ammonia Market

Major players in the market are expanding their operations and forming strategic partnerships to strengthen their positions. Below image highlights recent developments by major Green Ammonia producers in key regions: the USA, China, India, Japan, and Germany
  • United States: There has been greater investment in the United states on green ammonia projects which incorporates wind and solar energy. Major energy corporations are partnering on demonstration projects and seeking to increase production in order to lower greenhouse gas emissions and provide sustainable fertilizers for the agriculture sector.
  • China: Currently China is the leading country towards green ammonia production owing to the need to cut down carbon emissions that they have for themselves. They are working on big projects using hydrogen produced from renewable energy resources. These transformations coincide with China's containing progressive objectives of energy transition and increasing its standing in the world’s green technology.
  • Germany: In terms of production of green ammonia, Germany is leading in its technology with full concentration in research and development. They are building demo facilities that will integrate renewable electricity with electrolyzer systems. These activities form part of the agenda for Germany to lead in the production of green ammonia and hydrogen in Europe by 2030.
  • India: India is increasingly making headways in green ammonia projects with the help of the regulatory regime supporting the renewable energy sector. The nation is attempting to grow green ammonia through solar and wind energy and is working on demonstrative projects. India targets producing more domestically manufactured ammonia and minimizing the agricultural carbon emissions.
  • Japan: The advancement of green ammonia technology in Japan is being done in the cooperation of the energy industries and research institutes. The country is active on ammonia as a hydrogen carrier and fuel, with R&D activity in ammonia fueled turbines and fuel cells. The initiatives of Japan are in coherence with the Japan’s ultimate goals of decarbonist at ion and energy security.

Features of the Global Green Ammonia Market

  • Market Size Estimates: Green ammonia market size estimation in terms of value ($B).
  • Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2018 to 2023) and forecast (2024 to 2030) by various segments and regions.
  • Segmentation Analysis: Green ammonia market size by technology, application, and region in terms of value ($B).
  • Regional Analysis: Green ammonia market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.
  • Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different technologies, applications, and regions for the green ammonia market.
  • Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the green ammonia market.
  • Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter’s Five Forces model.

This report answers the following 11 key questions:

Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the green ammonia market by technology (alkaline water electrolysis, proton exchange membrane electrolysis, and solid oxide electrolysis), application (power generation, transportation, industrial feedstocks, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?


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Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
2. Global Green Ammonia Market: Market Dynamics
2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
2.2: Supply Chain
2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges
3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2018 to 2030
3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2030)
3.2. Global Green Ammonia Market Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2030)
3.3: Global Green Ammonia Market by Technology
3.3.1: Alkaline Water Electrolysis
3.3.2: Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis
3.3.3: Solid Oxide Electrolysis
3.4: Global Green Ammonia Market by Application
3.4.1: Power Generation
3.4.2: Transportation
3.4.3: Industrial Feedstocks
3.4.4: Others
4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2018 to 2030
4.1: Global Green Ammonia Market by Region
4.2: North American Green Ammonia Market
4.2.1: North American Green Ammonia Market by Technology: Alkaline Water Electrolysis, Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis, and Solid Oxide Electrolysis
4.2.2: North American Green Ammonia Market by Application: Power Generation, Transportation, Industrial Feedstocks, and Others
4.3: European Green Ammonia Market
4.3.1: European Green Ammonia Market by Technology: Alkaline Water Electrolysis, Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis, and Solid Oxide Electrolysis
4.3.2: European Green Ammonia Market by Application: Power Generation, Transportation, Industrial Feedstocks, and Others
4.4: APAC Green Ammonia Market
4.4.1: APAC Green Ammonia Market by Technology: Alkaline Water Electrolysis, Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis, and Solid Oxide Electrolysis
4.4.2: APAC Green Ammonia Market by Application: Power Generation, Transportation, Industrial Feedstocks, and Others
4.5: RoW Green Ammonia Market
4.5.1: RoW Green Ammonia Market by Technology: Alkaline Water Electrolysis, Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis, and Solid Oxide Electrolysis
4.5.2: RoW Green Ammonia Market by Application: Power Generation, Transportation, Industrial Feedstocks, and Others
5. Competitor Analysis
5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
5.2: Operational Integration
5.3: Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis
6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Green Ammonia Market by Technology
6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Green Ammonia Market by Application
6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Green Ammonia Market by Region
6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Green Ammonia Market
6.3: Strategic Analysis
6.3.1: New Product Developments
6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Green Ammonia Market
6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Green Ammonia Market
6.3.4: Certification and Licensing
7. Company Profiles of Leading Players
7.1: Siemens
7.2: NEL ASA
7.3: ThyssenKrupp
7.4: ITM Power
7.5: YARA

Companies Mentioned

  • Siemens
  • NEL ASA
  • ThyssenKrupp
  • ITM Power
  • YARA

Methodology

The analyst has been in the business of market research and management consulting since 2000 and has published over 600 market intelligence reports in various markets/applications and served over 1,000 clients worldwide. Each study is a culmination of four months of full-time effort performed by the analyst team. The analysts used the following sources for the creation and completion of this valuable report:

  • In-depth interviews of the major players in the market
  • Detailed secondary research from competitors’ financial statements and published data
  • Extensive searches of published works, market, and database information pertaining to industry news, company press releases, and customer intentions
  • A compilation of the experiences, judgments, and insights of professionals, who have analyzed and tracked the market over the years.

Extensive research and interviews are conducted in the supply chain of the market to estimate market share, market size, trends, drivers, challenges and forecasts.

Thus, the analyst compiles vast amounts of data from numerous sources, validates the integrity of that data, and performs a comprehensive analysis. The analyst then organizes the data, its findings, and insights into a concise report designed to support the strategic decision-making process.

 

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