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Middle East & North Africa Data Center Market

  • Report

  • 200 Pages
  • March 2024
  • Region: Africa, Middle East
  • Xalam Analytics
  • ID: 6008962

From Dubai to Dammam and Cairo - How Economic Visions, AI and the Cloud are Transforming the Arab World’s Data Center Opportunity

This report on the Arab world's commercial data center colocation opportunity. Data centers have become vital pillars of the Middle East’s transition to more diverse, digitally-anchored and oil-independent economies. Despite mounting geopolitical uncertainty, this analysis says the region still offers one of the most extraordinary digital infrastructure investment opportunity in the Global South.

Data centers have become vital pillars of MENA’s transition to more diverse, digitally-anchored and oil-independent economies. Over the 2021-2023 three-year period, nearly 40 new commercial facilities have come live in MENA, nearly doubling the region’s live IT load, on the back of extensive submarine cable buildout, explosive Internet data traffic and increased cloud adoption.

In true Middle Eastern form, the region’s stated ambitions are eye-popping. Taking announcements and other plans at face value, MENA data center projects would unleash upwards of 2500MW of IT load capacity across the region over the next decade.

Key highlights from the report:

  • On demand vs. supply: MENA markets offer some of the world’s best supply and demand fundamentals for expanded commercial colocation services.
  • On the scale of the MENA colo opportunity: a $3trn GDP. 300m broadband connections. 70+ submarine cables. 200 content, CDN and cloud core and edge PoPs. $7bn in projected cumulative commercial colo CapEx. 20% USD revenue growth.
  • On oversupply risk: The analyst doesn't see it. The analysis suggests that most MENA markets are undersupplied relative to their medium to long-term demand potential.
  • On the AI impact: GCC countries are a prime potential destination for the offshoring of AI model training.
  • On the impact of the war in Gaza: this is the biggest risk to the short-term forecasts. The analyst sees a triple fallout - on demand, construction and investment. But they do not expect the increased uncertainty to fundamentally alter the long-term projections for the region’s commercial data center market.

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • MENA’s unprecedented spike in data center build
  • On oversupply risk, the impact of the war in Gaza and renewables
  • On the outlook for the MENA DC market, the impact of AI, and our projections
PART I REGIONAL ANALYSIS: THE RISE OF THE MIDDLE EAST COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER
  • From economic transformation to regional fiber hubs and AI, the case for MENA data centers
  • The Middle East’s unprecedented surge of commercial data center construction
  • MENA commercial data center supply: well past the 500MW mark, and racing towards the gigawatt
  • The demand side: from digital hubs to AI, MENA drivers of demand are plenty
  • Market outlook: the Arab world’s data center boom
  • MENA colo economics: of occupancy, power costs, renewables, AI and the war in Gaza
  • MENA data center competitive analysis: carrier-neutral plays, infracos, telcos and the emergence of global providers
PART II SAUDI ARABIA: HOW A DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE BOOM IS POWERING KSA’S DIGITAL ECONOMY DECADE
KSA MARKET CONTEXT
  • Saudi Arabia has the largest economy in the Middle East and North Africa
  • Saudi Arabia has entered a “digital economy decade”, underpinned by the Vision 2030 plan
  • A mature, highly-penetrated ultra-highspeed connectivity market
  • A dynamic international capacity hub at the nexus of MENA, Asia, Africa and Europe traffic
  • Submarine cable deployments in KSA: the making of a global digital hub
  • KSA has MENA’s most diverse terrestrial fiber market - but price points are still high
  • KSA power, land and regulation context for commercial data centers
KSA COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER DEMAND ANALYSIS
  • KSA demand summary: upwards of 700MW of potential demand
  • Breaking down KSA demand: considerable upside from enterprise, connectivity and content
  • Public cloud deployments are accelerating in KSA
  • KSA colocation demand - summary charts
KSA COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER SUPPLY
  • KSA has the second largest commercial data center market in MENA
  • KSA commercial data center capacity is expanding fast
  • The KSA market is built around three core data center hub locations - oil and gas, IX and enterprise
  • Competition: KSA has an increasingly fragmented commercial data center market
  • Overview of KSA’s key DC providers
KSA COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER MARKET OUTLOOK
  • The KSA pipeline: a strong upswing trajectory, on the back of cloud, AI and more cables
  • KSA has a commercial DC project pipeline of nearly 1GW of IT load
  • The economics: high prices and a billion-dollar outlook for the KSA commercial colocation market
  • KSA commercial colocation - summary market forecast
PART III UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: AI, REGIONAL INTERCONNECTIVITY AND THE MAKINGS OF A GLOBAL DIGITAL HUB
UAE MARKET CONTEXT
  • The UAE’s economy - highly diversified and holding up well in the face of regional uncertainty
  • The UAE is one of the world’s most digitized markets
  • A foremost Global South international capacity hub in the Persian Gulf
  • Submarine cable deployments in UAE: a prominent Fujairah market, with Kalba coming up
  • UAE power, land and regulation context - a sharp rise in renewable energy availability
  • UAE demand summary: upwards of 450MW of potential demand
  • Breaking down UAE demand: considerable upside from enterprise, connectivity and content
  • The UAE is a top destination for public cloud deployments
  • UAE colocation demand - summary charts
UAE COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER SUPPLY
  • UAE has the largest commercial data center market in MENA
  • UAE commercial data center capacity: hyperscaler-focused and growing fast
  • The UAE market is built around three core data center hub locations
  • The UAE has a highly concentrated commercial data center market
  • The dominance of Khazna, GDH and Equinix
UAE COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER MARKET OUTLOOK
  • The UAE pipeline: More cloud, AI to power the market to nearly 500MW of IT load
  • The Emirates market has a commercial DC project pipeline of nearly 200MW of IT load
  • The economics: A billion-dollar outlook for the UAE commercial colocation market
  • UAE commercial colocation - summary market forecast
PART IV EGYPT: A VITAL DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE CORRIDOR RACES TO CATCH UP TO THE CLOUD ERA
  • The Egyptian economy - growth amidst significant doldrums in MENA’s third largest economy
  • The Egyptian market is still building a foundation for expanded digital services adoption
  • A critical digital corridor with extensive diversity - but constrained by a longstanding monopoly
  • Egypt’s fiber diversity - more cables coming
  • Egypt power, land and regulation context for commercial data centers
EGYPT COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER DEMAND ANALYSIS
  • Egypt demand summary: 100MW+ of potential demand, most of which has yet to emerge
  • Breaking down Egyptian demand: improving connectivity ecosystem, considerable enterprise upside as cloud takes root
  • Breaking down Egyptian demand: the hyperscalers are coming
  • Egypt colocation demand - summary charts
EGYPT COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER SUPPLY
  • Egypt has MENA’s third largest economy - but is far behind peers on available colocation supply
  • Egypt commercial data center capacity: hyperscaler-focused and growing fast
  • From smart village to New Capital: three major facility hubs within Cairo
  • Egypt has a fragmented - if top-heavy - commercial data center market
  • Egypt commercial colo strategic mapping: from TE to GPX and Raya
EGYPT COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER MARKET OUTLOOK
  • The Egyptian pipeline: a race to fill out a considerable supply shortfall
  • The Egyptian market has a commercial DC project pipeline of nearly 150MW of IT load
  • The outlook: accelerated adoption counterbalanced by strong pricing pressure and non-negligible overbuild risk
  • Egypt commercial colocation - summary market forecast
PART V: QATAR -BUILDING UP TO SUPPORT QATAR NATIONAL VISION 2030
  • Qatar economic and broadband market context - population, GDP growth and broadband adoption
  • The Qatar value proposition: strategic location, good fiber diversity, cheap power
  • Qatar operating context summary KPIs: from cable landings to renewables
  • Qatar demand summary: upwards of 90MW of potential demand
QATAR COMMERCIAL DATA CENTER SUPPLY & COMPETITIVE CONTEXT
  • Qatar commercial supply growth has been relatively flat - and facilities have a retail slant
  • Qatar commercial capacity summary charts
  • Qatar has a duopoly-slanted commercial data center market
  • Mapping of Qatar commercial facilities - Doha
  • The Qatar pipeline: a solid, if speculative upside potential
  • Qatar commercial colocation - summary market forecast
PART VI REST OF MENA: BAHRAIN, JORDAN, KUWAIT, MOROCCO, OMAN
BAHRAIN DATA CENTER MARKET: STILL SMALL, BUT SHOWING MODERATE PROMISE
  • Bahrain commercial data center market overview
  • The Bahrain value proposition: strategic location, diverse telecom market, aggressive tech policies
  • Bahrain commercial supply: flat growth, with moderate upside
  • The Bahrain pipeline: supply capacity set to nearly double
  • Bahrain competitive context: Batelco, then everyone else
JORDAN: THE RISE OF AQABA
  • Jordan commercial data center market overview
  • Jordan has a moderately competitive commercial data center market
  • The Jordan pipeline: Aqaba emerging to complement Amman
KUWAIT: GOOGLE IS COMING
  • Kuwait commercial data center market overview
  • Kuwait has a moderately competitive commercial data center market
  • The Kuwait pipeline: moderate growth outside of hyperscaler self-build
MOROCCO DATA CENTER MARKET SLOWLY LIVING UP TO A LONG-HERALDED PROMISE
  • Morocco commercial data center market overview
  • Morocco: A promising but constrained market at the intersection of four continents
  • Morocco commercial supply: flat growth, with moderate upside
  • The Morocco pipeline: supply capacity set to more than double
  • Morocco competitive context: increasingly competitive
OMAN: MENA’s RISING ALTERNATIVE CONNECTIVITY (AND CLOUD?) HUB
  • Oman commercial data center market overview
  • The Oman value proposition: a strategically-located, business-friendly and highly fiber-diverse regional hub
  • Oman commercial supply: moderate historical growth balanced by robust pipeline
  • The Oman pipeline: supply capacity set to nearly double
  • Oman has an increasingly competitive commercial data center market
LIST OF CHARTS
  • Middle East & North Africa - Commercial DC facility mapping - 2023E
  • MENA - Number of live data center facilities
  • MENA - Number of public cloud availability zones
  • MENA - Evolution of commercial data center live IT load
  • MENA - Evolution of commercial data center annual services revenue
  • MENA - 4G/5G penetration of the population - 2023E
  • MENA - key submarine cable landing stations - 2023E
  • Cable systems and landing stations build In MENA - 2018-26F
  • Cloud regions in the Middle East & North Africa
  • MENA countries with cloud-first policies
  • MENA - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • MENA - Commercial data center facilities new builds
  • MENA - Commercial data center facilities by country - 2023E
  • MENA commercial data center facilities by size - 2023
  • MENA - Commercial data center supply overview - 2023E
  • MENA - Commercial data center capacity at full-build potential - 2018-23E
  • MENA - Cumulative commercial data center supply capacity - based on live IT load - 2018-23E
  • MENA - commercial data center capacity going live - 2018-23E
  • MENA commercial data center facilities by type - 2023E
  • MENA - Country share of commercial data center live supply - 2023E
  • MENA available supply - a view by bracket - 2023E
  • MENA - Commercial data center supply capacity - based on live IT load - 2023E
  • MENA - Top 10 commercial data center metros - based on IT load - 2023E
  • Public cloud availability zones by region - 2023F
  • Public cloud availability zones in MENA - 2020-26F
  • MENA - Estimated commercial DC demand potential - Power
  • MENA - Commercial data center demand by country - 2030F
  • MENA - Commercial DC demand potential - by customer type
  • MENA - New commercial DC facilities coming to market - 2023-28F
  • MENA - New facility deployments by pipeline category - 2024-28F
  • MENA - Commercial data center market outlook - 2024-28F
  • MENA - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
  • MENA commercial DC CapEx - 2019-28F - US$bn
  • Country share of MENA commercial DC CapEx - 2023-28F
  • MENA commercial DC revenue - 2023-28F - US$bn
  • MENA - How long does it take to sell 1MW of colocation capacity? - months
  • MENA - Renewable share of power generation - 2023E
  • MENA - Commercial DC monthly price per rack by country
  • MENA - Commercial DC occupancy by country
  • MENA - Industrial electricity rates in key markets - 2023E
  • MENA - Average power density in key markets - kW/rack
  • Top 15 commercial colocation providers - Live IT load - 2023E
SAUDI ARABIA
  • Saudi Arabia - Macro-economic snapshot - 2023E
  • Saudi Arabia’s three decades of transformation
  • Saudi Vision 2030 key tenets
  • KSA broadband connections - 2018-28F
  • KSA vs. peer markets - broadband penetration of the population - 2023E
  • KSA - Meaningful broadband of the population - 2018-28F
  • Evolution of average download speeds in Saudi Arabia
  • Saudi Arabia - International capacity market snapshot
  • Submarine cables landing in Saudi Arabia - 2023
  • Evolution of number of submarine cables landing in Saudi Arabia
  • KSA - Cable landing station by location (2010-26F)
  • KSA - Terrestrial capacity market snapshot
  • KSA - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • Public cloud availability zones in KSA - 2020-24F
  • KSA - Estimated commercial DC demand potential - Power
  • KSA - Commercial DC demand potential - by customer type
  • KSA public cloud availability zones by metro - 2020-24F
  • KSA - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • KSA - Commercial data center supply capacity - based on live IT load - 2018-23E
  • KSA - Commercial data center capacity vs. peer markets
  • KSA - Commercial data center supply: end-state/potential campus capacity - 2018-23E
  • KSA - Commercial DC facilities by key metro
  • KSA - New commercial facilities going live
  • KSA - Commercial data center colocation facilities by type (2023E)
  • Mapping of commercial data center facilities - Riyadh metro
  • Mapping of commercial data center facilities - Jeddah metro
  • Mapping of commercial data center facilities - Dammam metro
  • KSA - share of commercial colocation supply - 2023-25F
  • KSA - Competitive mapping of commercial colocation supply - 2023
  • KSA - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • KSA - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
  • KSA - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • KSA commercial colocation market - revenue growth outlook
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
  • UAE - Macro-economic snapshot - 2023E - UAE broadband connections - 2018-28F
  • UAE vs. peer markets - broadband penetration of the population - 2023E
  • UAE - Key technology coverage of the population
  • UAE - International capacity market snapshot - 2023 - Submarine cables landing in the UAE - 2023
  • Evolution of number of submarine cables landing in the UAE
  • UAE - Cable landing station by location (2010-26F); UAE - Terrestrial capacity market snapshot
  • UAE - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • Public cloud availability zones in the UAE - 2020-24F
  • UAE - Estimated commercial DC demand potential - Power; UAE - Commercial DC demand potential - by customer type
  • UAE public cloud availability zones by metro - 2020-24F
  • UAE - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • UAE - Commercial data center supply capacity - based on live IT load - 2018-23E
  • UAE - Commercial data center capacity vs. peer markets
  • UAE - Commercial data center supply: end-state/potential campus capacity - 2018-23E
  • UAE - Commercial DC facilities by key metro ; UAE - New commercial facilities going live
  • UAE - Commercial data center colocation facilities by type (2023E)
  • Mapping of commercial data center facilities - Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Fujairah
  • UAE - share of commercial colocation supply - 2023-25F
  • UAE - Competitive mapping of commercial colocation supply - 2023
  • UAE - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F; UAE - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
  • UAE - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • UAE commercial colocation market - revenue growth outlook
EGYPT
  • Egypt - Macro-economic snapshot - 2023E
  • Egypt broadband connections - 2018-28F
  • Egypt vs. peer markets - broadband penetration of the population - 2023E
  • Egypt - Key technology coverage of the population
  • Submarine cables landing in Egypt - 2023; Evolution of number of submarine cables landing in Egypt
  • Egypt - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • Egypt - Estimated commercial DC demand potential - Power
  • Egyptian companies’ IT priorities - 2023
  • Egypt - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • Egypt - Commercial data center supply: end-state/potential campus capacity - 2018-23E
  • Egypt - Commercial data center colocation facilities by type (2023E)
  • Egypt - New commercial facilities going live
  • Mapping of commercial data center facilities - Cairo metro
  • Egypt - Share of commercial colocation supply - by provider - 2023E (1) (2)
  • Egypt - Share of commercial colocation supply - by provider type - 2023E
  • Egypt - key provider data - 2023E
  • Egypt - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
  • Egypt commercial colocation market - revenue growth outlook
QATAR
  • Qatar - Macro-economic snapshot - 2023E
  • Qatar - Wholesale fiber market snapshot - 2023E
  • Qatar - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • Qatar - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • Qatar - Commercial data center supply capacity - based on live IT load - 2018-23E
  • Qatar vs. peer markets - MW commercial supply capacity per 1m population
  • Qatar - Commercial data center supply: full build campus capacity - 2018-23
  • Qatar - Commercial data center supply by facility type - 2023E
  • Qatar - Competitive mapping of commercial colocation supply - 2023
  • Qatar - share of commercial colocation supply - 2023-25F
  • Mapping of commercial data center facilities - Qatar
  • Qatar - share of commercial colocation supply - 2023 (1)
  • Qatar - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • Qatar - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
BAHRAIN
  • Bahrain - Strategic market position
  • Bahrain - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023
  • Bahrain - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • Bahrain - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
  • Bahrain - Competitive mapping of commercial colocation supply - 2023
  • Bahrain - key commercial facility providers - 2023E
JORDAN
  • Jordan - Competitive mapping of commercial colocation supply - 2023
  • Jordan - key commercial facility providers - 2023E
  • Jordan - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • Jordan - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
KUWAIT
  • Kuwait - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • Kuwait - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
MOROCCO
  • Morocco - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • Morocco - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
  • Morocco - Competitive mapping of commercial colocation supply - 2023
  • Morocco - key commercial facility providers - 2023E
OMAN
  • Oman - Commercial data center market snapshot - 2023E
  • Oman - Commercial data center market outlook - 2023-28F
  • Oman - Commercial data center supply projection - 2023-28F
  • Oman - Competitive mapping of commercial colocation supply - 2023
  • Oman - key commercial facility providers - 2023