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Italy Bakery & Cereals - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028

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    Report

  • 154 Pages
  • May 2024
  • Region: Italy
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 6025229
The Italian bakery & cereals sector is expected to grow from EUR24.6 billion ($26.6 billion) in 2023 to EUR31.3 billion ($33.4 billion) in 2028, at a CAGR of 4.9%. In volume terms, the sector is expected to grow from 5.1 billion kg in 2023 to 5.5 billion kg in 2028, registering a CAGR of 1.6%. Bread & rolls was the largest category in value and volume terms, while the energy bars category is forecast to register the fastest growth in value and volume terms during 2023-28. Barilla G. e R. Fratelli S.p.A., Bauli S.P.A., and Ferrero, were the top three companies in the Italian bakery & cereals sector.

Scope

  • Per capita consumption of bakery & cereals in Italy was higher than regional and global levels in 2023.
  • The per capita consumption of bread & rolls was higher in Saudi than other bakery & cereals categories in 2023
  • Food & drinks specialists was the leading distribution channel in Italy's bakery & cereals sector, with a value share of 48.6% in 2023
  • Almarai accounted for a value share of 4.1% in 2023

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify high potential categories and explore further market opportunities based on detailed value and volume analysis
  • Existing and new players can analyze key distribution channels to identify and evaluate trends and opportunities
  • Gain an understanding of the total competitive landscape based on detailed company share analysis to plan effective market positioning
  • Our team of analysts have placed a significant emphasis on changes expected in the market that will provide a clear picture of the opportunities that can be tapped over the next five years, resulting in revenue expansion
  • Analysis on key macro-economic indicators such as real GDP, nominal GDP, consumer price index, household consumption expenditure, population (by age group, gender, rural-urban split, and employed people and unemployment rate. It also includes economic summary of the country along with labor market and demographic trends.

Table of Contents

  • Report Scope
  • Executive Summary
  • Part 1: Market Environment
  • Value and Volume Share of Italy in the Global and Western Europe Markets
  • Growth Analysis of Italy Compared to Other Leading Countries in the Western Europe Market
  • PCC and PCE of Italy Compared to the Global and Western Europe Markets
  • Part 2: Sector Deep Dive
  • Italy Bakery & Cereals Sector Snapshot
  • Market Size Analysis
  • Cross-Category Comparison - Value Growth Analysis and Category Winners and Losers
  • Cross-Category Comparison - Volume Growth Analysis and Category Winners and Losers
  • Part 3: Category Deep Dive
  • Per Capita Consumption Analysis by Category
  • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baking Ingredients
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Baking Ingredients
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Baking Ingredients
  • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baking Mixes
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Baking Mixes
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Baking Mixes
  • Market Size Analysis - Category: Bread & Rolls
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Bread & Rolls
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Bread & Rolls
  • Market Size Analysis - Breakfast Cereals
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Breakfast Cereals
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Breakfast Cereals
  • Market Size Analysis - Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies
  • Market Size Analysis - Cereal Bars
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Cereal Bars
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Cereal Bars
  • Market Size Analysis - Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)
  • Market Size Analysis - Dough Products
  • Segment Analysis (in Value and Volume Terms): Dough products
  • Market Size Analysis - Energy Bars
  • Segment Analysis (in Value and Volume Terms): Energy Bars
  • Market Size Analysis - Morning Goods
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Morning Goods
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Morning Goods
  • Market Size Analysis - Savory Biscuits
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Savory Biscuits
  • Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Savory Biscuits
  • Part 4: Distribution Analysis
  • Channel Share Analysis
  • Part 5: Competitive Environment
  • Leading Companies - Value and Volume Shares
  • Brand Share Analysis of Top Five Companies
  • Brand Share Analysis of Top Five Companies by Category
  • Private Label Share Analysis by Category
  • Growth of Private Labels Compared to Branded Products
  • Degree of Consolidation/Fragmentation by Category
  • Part 6: Health & Wellness Analysis
  • Health & Wellness Analysis by Category
  • Health & Wellness Analysis by Product Attributes
  • Health & Wellness Analysis by Consumer Benefits
  • Cross Category Comparison - Products with H&W Claims Vs. Non-H&W Claims
  • Part 7: Packaging Analysis
  • Pack Material Growth Analysis
  • Pack Type Growth Analysis
  • Closure Type Growth Analysis
  • Primary Outer Type Growth Analysis
  • Part 8: Consumergraphics
  • Demographic Analysis
  • Part 9: Macroeconomic Analysis
  • GDP Growth and Inflation
  • Population Growth
  • Labor Market Trend
  • Economic Summary, Labor Market Trends, and Demographic Trends
  • Italy Risk Index (GCRI) 2023
  • Italy Risk Analysis - Compared to Global and Western Europe Markets
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
  • Appendix
List of Tables
  • Leading value categories
  • Leading categories (volume), 2023
  • Cross-category comparison - by value (2018-2028)
  • Cross-category comparison - by volume (2018-2028)
  • Per capita consumption (by category), Italy compared to Western Europe and global levels (in kg), 2023
  • Baking ingredients - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Baking ingredients - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028Baking mixes - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Baking mixes - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028Bread & rolls - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Bread & rolls - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
  • Breakfast cereals - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Breakfast cereals - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
  • Cakes, pastries & sweet pies - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cakes, pastries & sweet pies - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cereal bars - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cereal bars - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
  • Cookies (sweet biscuits) - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cookies (sweet biscuits) - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
  • Dough products - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Dough products - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
  • Morning goods - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Morning goods - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
  • Savory biscuits - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Savory biscuits - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
  • Change in distribution share, 2016-2021
  • Top five companies share by brand (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2023
  • Brand shares of top five companies (in value and volume terms) by category, 2023
  • Category comparison - with H&W claims and non-h&w claims, 2018-2028
  • Performance overview (score: 1-100)
  • Category data, by segment
  • Per capita consumption (in kg), 2018-2028
  • Per capita expenditure ($), 2018-2028
  • Bakery & cereals sales distribution in Italy- by category (SAR million), 2023
  • Brand share (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2023
  • Brand share (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, by category, 2023
  • Key health & wellness product attributes driving sales in Italy , 2018-2028
  • Key health & wellness consumer benefits driving sales in Italy , 2018-2028
  • Pack material (in million pack units), 2018-2028
  • Pack materials by category (in million pack units), 2023
  • Pack type (in million pack units), 2018-2028
  • Pack types by category (in million pack units), 2023
  • Closure type (in million pack units), 2018-2028
  • Closure types by category (in million pack units), 2023
  • Primary outer type (in million pack units), 2018-2028
  • Primary outer types by category (in million pack units), 2023
  • Real GDP and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
  • Nominal GDP and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
  • Consumer price inflation (%), 2020-2028
  • Employed people and unemployment rate (%), 2020-2028
  • Nominal household final consumption expenditure and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
  • Population and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
  • Population by age group (%)
  • Population by gender (%)
  • Population by rural-urban split (%)
List of Figures
  • Value and volume shares of Italy in the global and Western Europe bakery & cereals sector, 2023-2026
  • Italy compared to the other top countries in terms of market share, growth, and the competitive landscape
  • PCC comparison - Italy , Western Europe, and global, 2018-2028
  • PCE comparison - Italy , Western Europe, and global, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, bakery & cereals sector, 2018-2028
  • Cross-category comparison - value growth analysis and category winners and losers
  • Cross-category comparison - volume growth analysis and category winners and losers
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baking ingredients category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baking mixes category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, bread & rolls category, 2018-2028Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, breakfast cereals category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cakes, pastries & sweet pies category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cereal bars category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cookies (sweet biscuits) category, 2018-2028Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, dough products category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, energy bars category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, morning goods category, 2018-2028
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, savory biscuits category, 2018-2028Share of key distribution channels (in value terms) - bakery & cereals, 2023
  • Key distribution channel share by category (in value terms), 2023
  • Leading companies (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2023
  • Private label penetration by category (in value terms), 2023
  • Growth analysis, private label and brands, 2018-2023
  • Category-wise consolidation/fragmentation (in value terms) - bakery & cereals , 2023
  • Prominence of health & wellness claims by category, $ million, 2018-2023
  • Contribution of health & wellness by product attributes, $ million, 2018-2023
  • Contribution of health & wellness by consumer benefits, $ million, 2018-2023
  • Key pack materials in the Italyn bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
  • Annual growth rate by key pack material, 2018-2028
  • Use of pack material by category (in pack units), 2023
  • Key pack types in the Italyn bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
  • Annual growth rate by key pack type, 2018-2028
  • Use of pack type by category (in pack units), 2023
  • Key closure types in the Italyn bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
  • Annual growth rate by key closure type, 2018-2028
  • Use of closure type by category (in pack units), 2023
  • Key primary outer types in the Italyn bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
  • Annual growth rate by key primary outer type, 2018-2028
  • Use of primary outer type by category (in pack units), 2023
  • Demographic analysis
  • Real GDP (SAR billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Nominal GDP (SAR billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Consumer price inflation (%)
  • Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in SAR terms
  • Population (million) and annual growth (%)
  • Population by age group (%)
  • Population by gender (%)
  • Population by rural-urban split (%)
  • Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
  • Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
  • Five lowest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2023
  • Five highest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2023
  • Italy’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Western Europe and the world
List of 108 countries analyzed to identify the high-potential countries in different regions

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Barilla G. e R. Fratelli S.p.A
  • Bauli S.P.A.
  • Ferrero
  • Colussi Group
  • Kellogg's Company
  • Fabbri 1905 S.p.A.
  • Dr. August Oetker Nahrungsmittel Kg
  • General Mills Inc.
  • Cereal Partners Worldwide (Cpw S.A.)