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Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) - Market and Technology Forecast to 2033- Product Image
Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) - Market and Technology Forecast to 2033- Product Image
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Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) - Market and Technology Forecast to 2033

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    Report

  • 173 Pages
  • December 2024
  • Region: Global
  • Market Forecast
  • ID: 6035992
Description Jump to:

The aviation industry, while essential to global connectivity, has a significant carbon footprint. As the world grapples with climate change, there's an urgent need to decarbonize this sector. Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) offer a promising solution. These fuels, derived from sustainable sources like biomass, waste, and captured carbon, can significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions compared to traditional jet fuel.

By transitioning to SAF, the aviation industry can make substantial strides towards achieving its sustainability goals. SAF not only reduces emissions but also improves air quality and enhances energy security. It's a crucial step in creating a more environmentally friendly future for air travel.

This comprehensive study delves into the current state of the SAF market, analyses emerging technologies, and provides valuable insights into future trends.

Covered in this study

  • Market forecasts: Detailed market size projections for each SAF type from 2025 to 2033, segmented by Region, SAF Pathways and Platforms
  • Technology Roadmaps: In-depth analysis of the technological evolution, challenges, and breakthroughs anticipated for each SAF pathway
  • Procurement Insights: Examination of procurement strategies, trends, and forecasts for both commercial and military aviation sectors
  • Regional Analysis: Uncovering region-specific regulatory environments, infrastructure development, and market opportunities
  • Competitive Landscape: Overview of key players, innovators, and new entrants shaping the future of SAF

Segmentation

We have segmented the report in three major groups. We will research these 3 major segments and provide forecast figures from 2025 - 2033.

  • Region
  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Europe
  • APAC
  • Middle East & Africa

Pathway

  • Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids market by Region overview    
  • Fischer-Fischer-Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene with biomass feedstock market by Region overview
  • Alcohol to Jet with biomass feedstock market by Region overview       
  • Other processes with biomass feedstock market by Region overview  
  • FT with renewable electricity, water, and CO2 market by Region overview

Platform

  • Commercial
  • Military
  • Business

Reasons to buy

  • Determine prospective investment areas based on a detailed trend analysis of the global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market over the next eight years.
  • Gain in-depth understanding about the underlying factors driving demand for different systems segments in the top spending countries across the world and identify the opportunities offered by each of them.
  • Strengthen your understanding of the market in terms of demand drivers, industry trends, and the latest technological developments, among others.
  • Identify the major channels that are driving the global SAF business, providing a clear picture about future opportunities that can be tapped, resulting in revenue expansion.
  • Channelize resources by focusing on the ongoing programs that are being undertaken by the ministries of different countries within the SAF for Aircraft Market.
  • Make correct business decisions based on thorough analysis of the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top systems providers around the world which include information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary
1.1 Trends and Insights
1.2 Main Findings
1.2.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market summary by Region
1.2.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market summary by Pathway
1.2.3 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market summary by Platform
1.3 Key Conclusions

2 Introduction
2.1 Scope
2.2 Methodology
2.3 Who will benefit from this study?

3 Technologies and Developments
3.1 Technology overview
3.1.1 Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)
3.1.2 Fischer-Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
3.1.3 Alcohol-to-Jet Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (ATJ-SPK)
3.1.4 Synthesized Iso-Paraffins (SIP)
3.1.5 Catalytic Hydrothermolysis Jet (CHJ)
3.1.6 Power-to-Liquid (PtL)
3.1.7 Hydrothermal Liquefaction (HTL)
3.2 Comparative Analysis and Future Outlook
3.3 Types of Biomass for Sustainable Aviation Fuels

4 Market Overview
4.1 Introduction
4.1.1 Current status of SAF in the aviation market
4.1.2 SAF production cost
4.1.3 SAF production pathways
4.1.4 Key challenges facing SAF production
4.1.5 Opportunities offered by SAF
4.1.6 Roadmap for SAF suppliers
4.2 Sustainable Aviation fuel market volume distribution over forecast period by Region
4.3 Competitive landscape
4.3.1 Neste Corporation
4.3.2 TotalEnergies SE
4.3.3 World Energy
4.3.4 LanzaJet

5 Market Dynamics and Forecast Factors
5.1 Market Segmentation
5.2 Drivers
5.3 Trends
5.4 Opportunities
5.5 Challenges

6 Country Analysis
6.1 Overview
6.2 North American Countries
6.3 European Countries
6.4 Asia-Pacific Countries
6.5 Middle Eastern and African Countries
6.6 Latin American Countries

7 Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
7.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market by Region overview
7.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market Region by Pathway overview
7.2.1 North America market by Pathway overview
7.2.2 Europe market by Pathway overview
7.2.3 Asia-Pacific market by Pathway overview
7.2.4 Middle-East & Africa market by Pathway overview
7.2.5 Latin America market by Pathway overview
7.3 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market Region by Platform overview
7.3.1 North America market by Platform overview
7.3.2 Europe market by Platform overview
7.3.3 Asia-Pacific market by Platform overview
7.3.4 Middle-East & Africa market by Platform overview
7.3.5 Latin America market by Platform overview

8 Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
8.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market by Pathway overview
8.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market Pathway by Region overview
8.2.1 Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids market by Region overview
8.2.2 Fischer-Fischer-Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene with biomass feedstock market by Region overview
8.2.3 Alcohol to Jet with biomass feedstock market by Region overview
8.2.4 Other processes with biomass feedstock market by Region overview
8.2.5 FT with renewable electricity, water, and CO2 market by Region overview
8.3 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market Pathway by Platform overview
8.3.1 hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids market by Platform overview
8.3.2 Fischer-Fischer-Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene with biomass feedstock market by Platform overview
8.3.3 Alcohol to Jet with biomass feedstock market by Platform overview
8.3.4 Other processes with biomass feedstock market by Platform overview
8.3.5 FT with renewable electricity, water, and CO2 market by Platform overview

9 Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
9.1 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market by Platform overview
9.2 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market Platform by Region overview
9.2.1 Commercial Aviation market by Region overview
9.2.2 Business Aviation market by Region overview
9.2.3 Military Aviation market by Region overview
9.3 Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market Platform by Pathway overview
9.3.1 Commercial Aviation market by Pathway overview
9.3.2 Business Aviation market by Pathway overview
9.3.3 Military Aviation market by Pathway overview

10 Impact Analysis
10.1  Introduction
10.2  Forecast factors and Market Impact
10.2.1 Scenario 1
10.2.2 Scenario 2

11 Leading Companies
11.1  Neste
11.1.1 Introduction
11.1.2 Products and Services
11.1.3 Production processes used
11.1.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.1.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.1.6 SWOT Analysis
11.2  World Energy
11.2.1 Introduction
11.2.2 Products and Services
11.2.3 Production Processes Used
11.2.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.2.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity for Sustainable Fuels
11.2.6 SWOT Analysis
11.3  LanzaJet
11.3.1 Introduction
11.3.2 Products and Services
11.3.3 Production Processes Used
11.3.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.3.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.3.6 SWOT Analysis
11.4  Alder Fuels
11.4.1 Introduction
11.4.2 Products and Services
11.4.3 Production Processes Used
11.4.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.4.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.4.6 SWOT Analysis
11.5  Gevo
11.5.1 Introduction
11.5.2 Products and Services
11.5.3 Production Processes Used
11.5.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.5.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.5.6 SWOT Analysis
11.6  SkyNRG (Netherlands)
11.6.1 Introduction
11.6.2 Products and Services
11.6.3 Production Processes Used
11.6.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.6.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.6.6 SWOT Analysis
11.7  TotalEnergies
11.7.1 Introduction
11.7.2 Products and Services
11.7.3 Production Processes Used
11.7.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.7.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.7.6 SWOT Analysis
11.8  Shell
11.8.1 Introduction
11.8.2 Products and Services
11.8.3 Production Processes Used
11.8.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.8.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.8.6 SWOT Analysis
11.9  Eni
11.9.1 Introduction
11.9.2 Products and Services
11.9.3 Production Processes Used
11.9.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.9.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.9.6 SWOT Analysis
11.1  BP
11.10.1 Introduction
11.10.2 Products and Services
11.10.3 Production Processes Used
11.10.4 Recent Developments and Contracts
11.10.5 Current and Planned Production Capacity
11.10.6 SWOT Analysis

12 Results and Conclusions
13 About the Publisher
13.1  General
13.2  Contact us
13.3  Disclaimer
13.4  License

Appendix A: Companies MentionedAppendix B: Abbreviations
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market summary by Region
Figure 2: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Size by Region
Figure 3: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) CAGR by Region in US$ millions
Figure 4: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market summary by Pathway
Figure 5: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Size by Pathway
Figure 6: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) CAGR by Pathway in US$ millions
Figure 7: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market summary by Platform
Figure 8: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Size by Platform
Figure 9: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) CAGR by Platform in US$ millions
Figure 10: How SAF Is Approved
Figure 11: Market volumes over the forecast period per region
Figure 12: Ethanol to Synthetic Paraffinic Conversion Pathway
Figure 13: Market Segmentation Sustainable Aviation Fuels
Figure 14: US Annual Sustainable Aviation Fuel Procurement
Figure 15: SAF - Steps In The Process
Figure 16: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Figure 17: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region %
Figure 18: North America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 19: North America - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 20: Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 21: Europe - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 22: Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 23: Asia-Pacific - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 24: Middle-East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 25: Middle-East & Africa - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 26: Latin America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 27: Latin America - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 28: North America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 29: North America - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 30: Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 31: Europe - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 32: Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 33: Asia-Pacific - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 34: Middle-East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 35: Middle-East & Africa - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 36: Latin America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 37: Latin America - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 38: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Figure 39: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway %
Figure 40: Hydroprocessed Esters & Fatty Acids Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 41: Hydroprocessed Esters & Fatty Acids - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 42: Fischer-Tropsch with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 43: Fischer-Tropsch with Biomass - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 44: Alcohol to Jet with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 45: Alcohol to Jet with Biomass - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 46: Other Biomass Processes Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 47: Other Biomass Processes - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 48: Fischer-Tropsch with Renewable Inputs Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 49: Fischer-Tropsch with Renewable Inputs - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 50: Hydroprocessed Esters & Fatty Acids Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 51: Hydroprocessed Esters & Fatty Acids - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 52: Fischer-Tropsch with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 53: Fischer-Tropsch with Biomass - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 54: Alcohol to Jet with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 55: Alcohol to Jet with Biomass - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 56: Other Biomass Processes Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 57: Other Biomass Processes - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 58: Fischer-Tropsch with Renewable Inputs Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 59: Fischer-Tropsch with Renewable Inputs - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform
Figure 60: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Figure 61: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform %
Figure 62: Commercial Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 63: Commercial Aviation - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 64: Business Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 65: Business Aviation - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 66: Military Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 67: Military Aviation - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region
Figure 68: Commercial Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 69: Commercial Aviation - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 70: Business Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 71: Business Aviation - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 72: Military Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
Figure 73: Military Aviation - Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway
List of Tables
Table 1: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market summary by Region in US$ millions
Table 2: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market summary by Pathway in US$ millions
Table 3: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market summary by Platform in US$ millions
Table 4: Market activity
Table 5: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) market forecast by Country [US$ million]
Table 6: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 7: North America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 8: Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 9: Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 10: Middle-East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 11: Latin America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 12: North America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 13: Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 14: Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 15: Middle-East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 16: Latin America Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 17: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 18: Hydroprocessed Esters & Fatty Acids Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 19: Fischer-Tropsch with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 20: Alcohol to Jet with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 21: Other Biomass Processes Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 22: Fischer-Tropsch with Renewable Inputs Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 23: Hydroprocessed Esters & Fatty Acids Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 24: Fischer-Tropsch with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 25: Alcohol to Jet with Biomass Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 26: Other Biomass Processes Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 27: Fischer-Tropsch with Renewable Inputs Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 28: Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Platform [US$ millions]
Table 29: Commercial Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 30: Business Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 31: Military Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 32: Commercial Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 33: Business Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 34: Military Aviation Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Market Forecast to 2033 by Pathway [US$ millions]
Table 35: Neste SWOT Analysis
Table 36: World Energy  SWOT Analysis
Table 37: LanzaJet  SWOT Analysis
Table 38: Alder Fuels SWOT Analysis
Table 39: Gevo  SWOT Analysis
Table 40: SkyNRG Analysis
Table 41: TotalEnergies SWOT Analysis
Table 42: Shell  SWOT Analysis
Table 43: Eni  SWOT Analysis
Table 44: BP Analysis

Companies Mentioned

  • Airbus Commercial Aircraft
  • Airbus Defence and Space
  • Airbus Helicopters
  • Avfuel Corporation
  • Avina Clean Hydrogen
  • Bell Textron
  • Boeing
  • Bombardier Aerospace
  • Boom Supersonic
  • China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corporation Ltd
  • Embraer
  • Euglena Co.Ltd
  • GE Aerospace
  • Gestair MRO
  • GKN Aerospace
  • Gulfstream Aerospace Corp.
  • Honeywell Aerospace
  • JetBlue
  • KBR
  • LanzaJet
  • Leonardo
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • MTU Aero Engines AG
  • NAC Nordic Aviation Capital
  • Neste
  • Power 2X
  • Pratt & Whitney (RTX)
  • Raytheon (RTX)
  • Repsol
  • Ricardo
  • Rolls-Royce
  • Safran S.A.
  • SkyNRG
  • Southwest Airlines
  • Sustainable Innovations Europe
  • Textron
  • TotalEnergies
  • United Airlines
  • USA BioEnergy
  • VTTI
  • World Energy
  • World Kinect Corporation

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