269 Million Smart Meters Deployed in Emerging Market Countries 2019-2023
Emerging Markets Smart Grid: Outlook 2019 is the eighth edition of the author's annual study looking at smart grid opportunities in developing countries. Since the first edition, smart grid plans, regulations, and deployments have progressed from nascent pilots to large-scale rollouts. Over the next decade, almost all emerging market countries will see significant smart grid infrastructure investment. But right now, there are extensive near-term opportunities to take note of and quantify over the upcoming five-year period. This study highlights the 50 emerging market countries that will see the most investment in the near term.
The focus on emerging markets is increasingly relevant. After some delays, most major deployments are already awarded and in many cases already underway in developed countries in North America, Western Europe, and East Asia. These markets represent more than three-quarters of the current installed base of smart meters. As these projects wrap up, vendors will shift their focus to opportunities opening up in countries across emerging market regions. Smart grid infrastructure in emerging markets is quickly transitioning from a potential future opportunity to concrete near-term awards.
Smart grid infrastructure projects in emerging markets are not without risk. Several previously forecast rollouts have failed to materialize, and recent tenders have been rescinded. But market conditions have increasingly improved every year – at the start of 2019, there are more tenders and more smart meter regulatory targets than in any previous year. Meanwhile, non-technical loss rates remain high, GDP and electricity consumption rates continue to grow, and per-endpoint AMI prices have begun to steadily decline. As a result, the conditions are now in place for these 50 countries to invest over $60 billion in smart grid infrastructure over the next five years.
Key Questions Answered
- Which 50 emerging market countries will deploy the most AMI meters over the next five years?
- Which countries have hit project obstacles and which have reached key milestones?
- Which were the most active countries in developing smart grid-related policies and which ones took a step back?
- What is the forecast market for AMI, distribution automation, wide area measurement, home energy management, and IT in each emerging market region over the next five years?
Table of Contents
i. Executive Summary
1. Overview
2. Emerging markets smart grid indicators
3. Emerging markets smart grid market forecast
4. Country dashboards
5. Appendix
5.1 Methodology
5.2 Smart grid overview
5.3 Global smart grid activity
5.4 List of companies and acronyms
List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables
Figure 1.1: All-in per-endpoint costs per region
Table 1.1: Recent regulatory developments
Figure 1.2: Electricity tariff reform
Figure 1.3: Notable AMI deployments and announcements in
Table 1.2: Notable smart meter targets in emerging markets
Figure 1.4: Cause given by World Bank for cancellation of Uzbekistan project
Figure 1.5: Countries that have moved on to large-scale deployments
Table 1.3: Notable delays and obstacles in planned deployments
Figure 1.6: Leading emerging market smart grid markets
Table 1.4: Countries with significant existing AMI deployments
Table 1.5: Countries with near-term AMI tenders and/or plans
Table 1.6: Countries with longer-term AMI plans
Figure 1.7: Cumulative AMI deployments (units, 2019 – 2023)
Figure 1.8: 2019 AMI annual forecast (units)
Figure 2.1: Smart grid regulatory country index
Figure 2.2: Smart grid potential benefit country index
Figure 2.3: Emerging markets smart meter potential
Figure 2.4: T&D losses by % and dollars lost
Figure 2.5: Electricity consumption per capita
Figure 2.6: Average residential electricity tariff
Figure 2.7: Average GDP growth (2019 – 2023)
Figure 3.1: Emerging markets smart grid forecast by region
Table 3.1: Emerging markets smart grid forecast data by region
Figure 3.2: Emerging markets smart grid forecast by segment
Table 3.2: Emerging markets smart grid forecast data by segment
Figure 3.3: Emerging markets AMI forecast by region (cumulative)
Table 3.3: Emerging markets cumulative AMI forecast data by region
Figure 3.4: Emerging markets AMI forecast by region (annual)
Table 3.4: Emerging markets annual AMI forecast data by region
Figure 3.5: Regional residential electricity meter market size in 2019
Figure 3.6: Regional residential electricity meter market size in 2023
Figure 3.7: Global AMI forecast comparison
Figure 3.8: Global smart grid forecast comparison
Figure 4.1: Countries with in-depth smart grid dashboards
Figure 5.1: Smart grid value chain
Figure 5.2: Global smart grid activity
Table 5.1: Global smart grid drivers and activity 105
Samples
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Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- ABB
- Aclara
- ADD Grup
- Advanced Electronics
- AK-AY Elektrik
- Al Mostajed
- Al-Wataniyah
- Alstom
- ANDE
- Apator
- Applied Meters
- Areva
- ARM
- Atmel
- Autochim
- BPL Global
- BYD
- CAM
- CAS
- Cason
- CESI
- CEZ
- Chilectra
- Cisco
- Citipower
- CNEL
- Comintel
- Crompton & Greaves
- Current
- Dongfang Electronics
- E.On
- Echelon
- Ecil Informatica
- EDF
- EDMI
- El Sewedy Electrometer
- Electrica
- Electrica de Guayaquil
- Electricity Company of Ghana
- Electro Sur Medio
- Electroshield
- Elektro Gorensjska
- Elektro Ljubljana
- Elektromed
- Eletra
- ELO
- Elster
- EMCALI
- EMH
- Enel
- Energa
- Energo-pro
- EnergoAuditControl
- Eneri
- EnerjiSA Group
- Enexis
- Enica
- EPSA
- ERDF
- Eskom
- ESTA International
- EVN
- Gamma International
- GE
- Genus
- Ghana Electrometer
- Hangzhou PAX
- Haoingda Electronics
- Hexing
- Holley Metering
- Honeywell
- Huawei
- Iberdrola
- Iskraemeco
- Itron
- iUSA
- JiangSu LinYang
- Kamstrup
- Landis+Gyr
- Larsen & Toubro
- Light
- Linyang
- Lockheed Martin
- Matritca
- MEA
- Microsoft
- Microsol Tecnologia
- MPS
- Nansen
- NES
- Nest
- NIK
- NingBo Sanxing
- Osaki
- PEA
- Petrofac
- PGE
- PLN
- Power Meter Technics
- PrimeStone
- RWE
- S&C Electric
- S&T
- Sagemcom
- Samsung
- Schneider Electric
- Secure Meters
- Sempra Energy
- Sensus
- Shenzhen Clou
- Shenzhen KaiFa
- Shenzhen Techrise
- Siemens
- Sigma Telas
- Silver Spring Networks
- Singapore Power
- SK Engineering
- ST Electronics (Singapore)
- Tantalus
- Tauron
- Technology Partners
- Telvent
- Thomas & Betts
- Toshiba
- Trilliant
- Türk Telecom
- UTE
- Wasion
- ZIV
- ZTE
