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Carbonated Soft Drinks in the U.S. through 2028: Market Essentials

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    Report

  • 274 Pages
  • October 2024
  • Region: United States
  • Beverage Marketing
  • ID: 5415127

Beverage Marketing Corporation's comprehensive market research report on the number-two beverage category goes way beyond the headlines to examine trends and top companies' strategies in a segment that has been under extreme competitive pressure from all sides.

From its fall from its traditional number one spot to its more recent achievements in key select metrics, this report examines all aspects of this huge and varied beverage segment. It offers reliable historical, current and projected data required to take advantage of opportunities for growth for those within, or those competing against, CSDs.

This market study provides up-to-date statistics on leading brands, packaging, quarterly growth and channels of distribution. It also offers data on regional markets, pricing, demographics, advertising, five-year growth projections, the impact of the pandemic and more. Sales data is provided from various vantage points and metrics such as volume, wholesale and retail dollars, allowing users to examine the nuances and gain added perspective.

The report presents the data in Excel spreadsheets, which it supplements with an insightful PowerPoint executive summary highlighting key developments including the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, plus a detailed discussion of the leading carbonated soft drink (CSD) companies.

The Answers You Need

Carbonated Soft Drinks in the U.S. through 2028: Market Essentials is the culmination of an extensive body of industry research conducted each year by Beverage Marketing Corporation. This report provides in-depth market data, shedding light on various aspects of the CSD market, enabling users to gain insight into this huge and multi-faceted industry and its challenges. Questions answered in this report include:

  • What are the growth prospects for regular and diet CSDs in the United States?
  • How many gallons of CSDs did U.S. residents consume in 2023, and how did that differ from previous years? Which U.S. regions were strongest in fountain? Which geographic region held the strongest soft drink share in the packaged market?
  • Which CSD brands, flavors and segments grew in 2023 and which did not?
  • Which flavors and segments of the market will gain share by 2028?
  • How did developments in the premium soda market compare with those of traditional national brands and private label brands?
  • Which are the leading distribution points for CSDs and how have inter-channel market share figures changed in the past five years? What will the next five years likely bring in terms of sales channels?
  • What are the prospects for a turnaround in CSDs by 2028?

Report Features

As CSD marketers shift their strategies and innovate to meet challenges brought on by changing consumer trends, carbonated beverages will continue to be a segment to watch.

The bottom line: this is the most complete report on the carbonated soft drink market in the United States available anywhere. It offers relevant take-aways not only to those in the CSD space, but to anyone with an interest in non-alcohol drinks or the overall industry as it provides necessary insight into the strengths, weaknesses, status and expectations for this key beverage category. CSDs continue to represent a significant part of the puzzle, holding a huge share of stomach in the market. Whether you are a CSD executive striving to improve performance and preserve or improve market share or an emerging category entrepreneur hoping to further erode the category's share of stomach, this report provides invaluable information.

The report provides essential information on category volume, retail dollar and wholesale dollar sales, and per capita consumption figures. BMC's research provides an in-depth look at the leading companies and brands in the category. Multiple facets of the CSD market, including regional data, volume by package type and fountain volume as well as volume by distribution channel and flavor type, are covered in this industry report.

Advertising expenditures are broken down by 18 media types and demographic data are included, along with statistics regarding the premium CSD and private label segments. Backed by Beverage Marketing's reliable, all-sales-channel-inclusive data, users of this data-driven market research report get a thorough understanding of all aspects of the CSD market including:

  • A look at the all-sales-channel-inclusive historical and current statistics of the CSD market.
  • Data comparing packaged versus fountain volume from both a national and regional standpoint.
  • Volume, share and growth of overall and packaged diet versus regular CSD marketplace.
  • Detailed sales statistics for the leading companies and brands. Coverage includes Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Keurig Dr Pepper, Refresco, National Beverage Corporation, Talking Rain, Jarritos, Zevia, Carolina Beverage, Nestle NA, Cascade, etc.
  • Data include volume and growth and market share statistics for key companies and their brands.
  • High end brand coverage includes Sparkling Ice, San Pellegrino CSD, IZZE, Zevia, IBC, Spindrift, Reeds, Boylan's, Stewart's, Hansen's Natural Sodas (w/Blue Sky), Fever Tree, Jones Soda, Stubborn Soda, Dr Enuf, Q Mixers, Ale 8 One, Orangina, Dry Soda, Thomas Kemper.
  • Flavor data, including drill-downs into diet and regular as well as packaged and fountain volume by flavor.
  • CSD volume by packaging type and distribution channel.
  • Advertising expenditures of the leading CSD companies and brands and a look at category spending by media type (including Internet and Hispanic-targeted advertising).
  • An understanding of the share of volume sold through key on-and-off channel outlets.
  • Demographic profiles comparing consumers of key CSD brands and contrasting regular versus diet CSD users.
  • A look at premium-priced sub-segments and break-out of leading brands.
  • Data on branded vs. private label CSD segments.
  • Five-year projections for the carbonated soft drink market and its sub-segments. Includes compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) through 2028 for packaged vs. fountain CSDs, regular vs. diet, flavors including break-out by packaged/fountain and diet/regular, regional fountain and packaged volume, distribution channels, CSD volume by container type, as well as national brand vs. private label CSD volume.


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Table of Contents


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction, Objective & Methodology
  • Introduction
  • Objective and Scope
  • Methodology
  • CSD Category Definitions
The U.S. Carbonated Soft Drink Market
  • Carbonated Soft Drinks Share of Multiple Beverage Market Retail Dollar Sales and Volume 2023
  • Beverage Category Volume Trends 2023
  • Volume Share of Multiple Beverage Market by Category, 2023
  • CSD Wholesale Dollar and Volume Growth 2017 - 2023
  • CSD Growth Trend by Segment 2018 - 2023
  • CSD Per Capita Consumption 1993 - 2023
  • CSD Regional Shares 2023
CSD Categories and Trends
  • Issues and Trends
  • Leading Carbonated Soft Drink Companies
  • Leading Carbonated Soft Drink Companies by Volume 2023
  • Leading CSD Companies' Share of Volume 2018 and 2023
  • Leading Carbonated Soft Drink Brands by Volume 2023
  • Leading Brands' Share of CSD Volume 2018 and 2023
  • Leading Cola Brands by Volume 2023
  • Leading Brands' Share of Cola Volume 2018 and 2023
  • Flavored CSD Categories by Volume 2023
  • CSD Volume: Flavored Segments vs. Cola 2018 and 2023
  • Regular and Diet CSD Volume 2023
  • Share of CSD Volume: Regular vs. Diet 2018 & 2023
  • CSD Distribution Channels by Volume 2023
  • Share of CSD Volume by Distribution Channel 2018 and 2023
  • CSD Volume by Packaging Type vs. Fountain 2023
  • Share of CSD Volume by Packaging Type (vs. Fountain) 2018 and 2023
  • Branded and Private Label CSD Volume 2023
  • Share of CSD Volume: Branded vs. Private Label 2018 and 2023
  • Probiotic CSDs Estimated Wholesale Sales 2021 - 2028
Outlook and Future
  • Projected CSD Wholesale Dollar and Volume Compound Annual Growth 2013 - 2028
  • Projected Packaged and Fountain CSD Volume Shares 2023 and 2028
  • Projected Regular and Diet CSD Volume Shares 2023 and 2028
  • Projected CSD Volume by Flavor 2023 and 2028
  • CSD Distribution Channels by Volume and Share 2023 - 2028
  • Projected CSD Volume Share by Distribution Channel 2023 and 2028
  • CSD Volume by Packaging Type vs. Fountain 2023 - 2028
  • Projected CSD Volume Share by Packaging Type (vs. Fountain) 2023 and 2028
LEADING COMPANY PROFILES
The Leading Soft Drink Companies and Their Strategies
Coca-Cola Company
  • Overview
  • Marketing
  • Bottling System
PepsiCo, Inc.
  • Overview
  • Marketing
  • Bottling System
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
  • Overview
  • Marketing
  • Bottling System
Refresco Group N.V.
  • Overview
  • Marketing
National Beverage Corporation
  • Overview
  • Marketing
LIST OF EXHIBITS
1. THE U.S. CARBONATED SOFT DRINK MARKET
1.1 U.S. Carbonated Soft Drink Market Volume and Change 1960 - 2028
1.2 U.S. Carbonated Soft Drink Market Per Capita Consumption 1970 - 2028
1.3 U.S. Carbonated Soft Drink Market Compound Annual Growth 1970 - 2028
1.4 U.S. Carbonated Soft Drink Market Wholesale, Retail Dollars and Change 2000 - 2028
1.5 U.S. Carbonated Soft Drink Market Quarterly Volume Shares in Measured Channels 2003 - 2023
1.6 U.S. Q1, Q2 and First Half 2024 Estimated Volume, Share and Growth by Diet vs. Regular CSDs
1.7 Regional Soft Drink Markets Gallonage/Case Volume 2018 - 2028
1.8 Regional Soft Drink Markets Gallonage/Case Share 2018 - 2028
1.9 Regional Soft Drink Markets Gallonage/Case Growth 2019 - 2028
1.10 Regional Soft Drink Markets Compound Annual Growth Rate 2008 - 2028
1.11 Regional Soft Drink Markets Per Capita Consumption 2018 - 2028
2. THE U.S. SOFT DRINK PACKAGED AND FOUNTAIN MARKETS
2.12 U.S. Soft Drink Market Packaged and Fountain Gallonage and Growth 1975 - 2028
2.13 U.S. Soft Drink Market Packaged and Fountain Share 1975 - 2028
2.14 Regional Soft Drink Packaged Volume 1985 - 2028
2.15 Regional Soft Drink Packaged Share 1985 - 2028
2.16 Regional Soft Drink Packaged Growth 1986 - 2028
2.17 Regional Soft Drink Fountain Gallonage 1985 - 2028
2.18 Regional Soft Drink Fountain Share 1985 - 2028
2.19 Regional Soft Drink Fountain Growth 1986 - 2028
3. THE U.S. SOFT DRINK REGULAR AND DIET MARKETS
3.20 U.S. Soft Drink Market Regular vs. Diet Volume and Share 1984 - 2028
3.21 U.S. Soft Drink Market Regular vs. Diet Growth 1985 - 2028
3.22 U.S. Soft Drink Packaged Market Regular vs. Diet Volume and Share 1975 - 2028
3.23 U.S. Soft Drink Packaged Market Regular vs. Diet Growth 1980 - 2028
3.24 U.S. Soft Drink Fountain Market Regular vs. Diet Volume and Share 1984 - 2028
3.25 U.S. Soft Drink Fountain Market Regular vs. Diet Growth 1985 - 2028
3.26 Regional Packaged Soft Drink Market Regular Volume 1985 - 2028
3.27 Regional Packaged Soft Drink Market Regular Share 1985 - 2028
3.28 Regional Packaged Soft Drink Market Regular Volume Growth 1986 - 2028
3.29 Regional Packaged Soft Drink Market Diet Volume 1985 - 2028
3.30 Regional Packaged Soft Drink Market Diet Share 1985 - 2028
3.31 Regional Packaged Soft Drink Market Diet Volume Growth 1986 - 2028
4. THE U.S. SOFT DRINK FLAVORS
4.32 U.S. Soft Drink Market Volume by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.33 U.S. Soft Drink Market Share by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.34 U.S. Soft Drink Market Growth by Flavor 2019 - 2028
4.35 U.S. Soft Drink Regular Packaged Volume by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.36 U.S. Soft Drink Regular Packaged Share by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.37 U.S. Soft Drink Regular Packaged Growth by Flavor 2019 - 2028
4.38 U.S. Soft Drink Diet Packaged Volume by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.39 U.S. Soft Drink Diet Packaged Share by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.40 U.S. Soft Drink Diet Packaged Growth by Flavor 2019 - 2028
4.41 U.S. Soft Drink Regular Fountain Volume by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.42 U.S. Soft Drink Regular Fountain Share by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.43 U.S. Soft Drink Regular Fountain Growth by Flavor 2019 - 2028
4.44 U.S. Soft Drink Diet Fountain Volume by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.45 U.S. Soft Drink Diet Fountain Share by Flavor 2018 - 2028
4.46 U.S. Soft Drink Diet Fountain Growth by Flavor 2019 - 2028
5. THE LEADING SOFT DRINK COMPANIES AND THEIR STRATEGIES
5.47 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Volume 2018 - 2023
5.48 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Share of Volume 2018 - 2023
5.49 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Change in Volume 2019 - 2023
5.50 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Wholesale Dollars 2018 - 2023
5.51 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Share of Wholesale Dollars 2018 - 2023
5.52 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Change in Wholesale Dollars 2019 - 2023
5.53 Coca-Cola Company Volume by Brand 2018 - 2023
5.54 Coca-Cola Company Share of Volume by Brand 2018 - 2023
5.55 Coca-Cola Company Change in Volume by Brand 2019 - 2023
5.56 PepsiCo, Inc. Volume by Brand 2018 - 2023
5.57 PepsiCo, Inc. Share of Volume by Brand 2018 - 2023
5.58 PepsiCo, Inc. Change in Volume by Brand 2019 - 2023
5.59 Keurig Dr Pepper Volume by Brand 2018 - 2023
5.60 Keurig Dr Pepper Share of Volume by Brand 2018 - 2023
5.61 Keurig Dr Pepper Change in Volume by Brand 2019 - 2023
6. THE LEADING SOFT DRINK BRANDS
6.62 The Leading Soft Drink Brands Volume 2018 - 2023
6.63 The Leading Soft Drink Brands Share of Volume 2018 - 2023
6.64 The Leading Soft Drink Brands Change in Volume 2019 - 2023
6.65 The Top 15 Diet Soft Drink Brands Volume 2018 - 2023
6.66 The Top 15 Diet Soft Drink Brands Share of Volume 2018 - 2023
6.67 The Top 15 Diet Soft Drink Brands Change in Volume 2019 - 2023
6.68 The Leading Soft Drink Flavor Brands Volume 2018 - 2023
6.69 The Leading Soft Drink Flavor Brands Share of Volume 2018 - 2023
6.70 The Leading Soft Drink Flavor Brands Change in Volume 2019 - 2023
6.71 Leading Carbonated Soft Drink Trademarks by Volume in Grocery Stores 2023
6.72 Leading Carbonated Soft Drink Trademarks by Retail Dollars in Grocery Stores 2023
7. THE PREMIUM SOFT DRINK MARKET
7.73 Leading High-End Soda Brands Estimated Wholesale Dollar Sales 2018 - 2023
7.74 Leading High-End Soda Brands Share of Wholesale Dollar Sales 2018 - 2023
7.75 Leading High-End Soda Brands Change in Wholesale Dollar Sales 2019 - 2023
7.76 Leading High-End Soda Brands Estimated Volume 2018 - 2023
7.77 Leading High-End Soda Brands Share of Volume 2018 - 2023
7.78 Leading High-End Soda Brands Change in Volume 2019 - 2023
8. U.S. SOFT DRINK DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS
8.79 Carbonated Soft Drinks Volume by Distribution Channel 2018 - 2028
8.80 Carbonated Soft Drinks Share by Distribution Channel 2018 - 2028
8.81 Carbonated Soft Drinks Growth by Distribution Channel 2019 - 2028
8.82 The Vended Soft Drink Segment Volume of Cans, Bottles and Cups 2018 - 2028
8.83 The Vended Soft Drink Segment Share of Cans, Bottles and Cups 2018 - 2028
8.84 The Vended Soft Drink Segment Growth of Cans, Bottles and Cups 2019 - 2028
9. U.S. SOFT DRINK INDUSTRY PRICING
9.85 Growth in Consumer Price Index All Items vs. Carbonated Soft Drinks 1979 - 2023
9.86 Growth in Producer Price Index All Commodities vs. Soft Drinks 1979 - 2023
9.87 Average Wholesale Non-Discounted Price Per Packaged Case 1993 - 2023
9.88 Average Wholesale Non-Discounted Bulk Price Per Five-Gallon Transfer Tank 1993 - 2023
10. PRIVATE LABEL SOFT DRINKS
10.89 U.S. Soft Drink Market National Brands vs. Private Label Gallonage and Share 1993 - 2028
10.90 U.S. Soft Drink Market National Brands vs. Private Label Growth 1994 - 2028
10.91 U.S. Private Label Soft Drink Market Regular vs. Diet Gallonage and Share 2000 - 2028
10.92 U.S. Private Label Soft Drink Market Regular vs. Diet Growth 2001 - 2028
11. U.S. SOFT DRINK PACKAGING
11.93 U.S. Soft Drink Packaging Volume by Type 1975 - 2028
11.94 U.S. Soft Drink Packaging Share by Type 1975 - 2028
11.95 U.S. Soft Drink Packaging Annual Growth by Type 1985 - 2028
11.96 Carbonated Soft Drink Packaging Volume by Size and Type 2018 - 2028
11.97 Carbonated Soft Drink Packaging Share of Volume by Size and Type 2018 - 2028
11.98 Carbonated Soft Drink Packaging Change in Volume by Size and Type 2019 - 2028
12. THE PROBIOTIC CSD SEGMENT
12.99 The Probiotic CSD Segment Estimated Wholesale Dollars and Growth 2015 - 2028
13. SOFT DRINK ADVERTISING EXPENDITURES
13.100 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Estimated Advertising Expenditures 2018 - 2023
13.101 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Estimated Share of Advertising Expenditures 2018 - 2023
13.102 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Advertising Expenditures Annual Growth 2019 - 2023
13.103 The Leading Soft Drink Companies Advertising Cents Per Gallon 2018 - 2023
13.104 Coca-Cola Company Estimated Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2018 - 2023
13.105 Coca-Cola Company Share of Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2018 - 2023
13.106 Coca-Cola Company Change in Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2019 - 2023
13.107 PepsiCo, Inc. Estimated Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2018 - 2023
13.108 PepsiCo, Inc. Share of Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2018 - 2023
13.109 PepsiCo, Inc. Change in Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2019 - 2023
13.110 Keurig Dr Pepper Estimated Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2018 - 2023
13.111 Keurig Dr Pepper Share of Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2018 - 2023
13.112 Keurig Dr Pepper Change in Advertising Expenditures by Brand 2019 - 2023
13.113 The Top Twenty Soft Drink Brands by Advertising Expenditures 2018 - 2023
13.114 U.S. Soft Drink Market Expenditures by Media 2018 - 2023
13.115 U.S. Soft Drink Market Share of Expenditures by Media 2018 - 2023
13.116 U.S. Soft Drink Market Change in Expenditures by Media 2019 - 2023
14. DEMOGRAPHICS OF THE SOFT DRINK CONSUMER
14.117 Demographics of the Regular CSD Consumer 2023
14.118 Demographics of the Diet CSD Consumer 2023
14.119 Demographics of the Coca-Cola Consumer 2023
14.120 Demographics of the Pepsi-Cola Consumer 2023
14.121 Demographics of the Dr Pepper Consumer 2023
14.122 Demographics of the Mountain Dew Consumer 2023
14.123 Demographics of the Store Brand Regular CSD Consumer 2023
14.124 Demographics of the Coca-Cola Zero Consumer 2023
14.125 Demographics of the Diet Pepsi Consumer 2023
14.126 Demographics of the Diet Dr Pepper Consumer 2023
14.127 Demographics of the Diet Mountain Dew Consumer 2023

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Companies Mentioned

  • Ale 8 One
  • Boylan's
  • Carolina Beverage
  • Cascade
  • Coca-Cola Company
  • Dr Enuf
  • Dry Soda
  • Fever Tree
  • Hansen's Natural Sodas (w/ Blue Sky)
  • IBC
  • IZZE
  • Jarritos
  • Jones Soda
  • Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
  • National Beverage Corporation
  • Nestle NA
  • Orangina
  • PepsiCo
  • PepsiCo, Inc.
  • Q Mixers
  • Reeds
  • Refresco Group N.V.
  • San Pellegrino CSD
  • Sparkling Ice
  • Spindrift
  • Stewart's
  • Stubborn Soda
  • Talking Rain
  • Thomas Kemper
  • Zevia