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South Africa Tobacco Products Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2025 - Analyzing Product Categories and Segments, Distribution Channel, Competitive Landscape and Consumer Segmentation

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    Report

  • 71 Pages
  • October 2021
  • Region: South Africa
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5464316
The South African tobacco sector is expected to grow from R23,068 million (US$1,431.1 million) in 2020 to R31,098.8 million (US$1,977.7 million) by 2025, growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2020-2025. Smoking is more prevalent amongst men than women in the country. Value sales of cigarette products are expected to see a decline in coming years due to increased taxes and stricter rules.

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the tobacco sector in South Africa, as part of the analyst's global coverage of the sector. It includes analysis on the following:
  • Market Context: The report provides comparative analysis of the value shares of South Africa in the Middle East & Africa and global tobacco sector. Additionally, the per capita expenditure of tobacco in South Africa is also compared with the Middle East & Africa and global levels.
  • Market Size and Structure: The report offers an overview of the growth at a sector level and provides analysis of four categories: cigarettes and smokeless tobacco. These categories are analyzed by value, volume, and CAGR for the period 2015-2025. The section also includes value analysis of segments, value and volume analysis of sub-segments segments under each category for the period 2015-2025.
  • Production and Trade: Provides analysis on per capita expenditure of tobacco in the South Africa, by category, compared to the Middle East & Africa and global markets. Further, analysis on the leading distribution channels at category level in 2020. The consumer sector reports cover the following eight distribution channels: cash & carries and warehouse clubs, convenience stores, department stores, e-retailers, hypermarkets & supermarkets, tobacco specialists, vending machines, and other general retailers.
  • Taxation: It covers the taxation landscape in the country and effects in the tobacco sector
  • Manufacturers and Brands: The report provides analysis on leading companies by category in 2019 and analyzes the market share and growth of private label in each category.
  • The Smoking Population: The report covers consumption of tobacco by gender in the South Africa.
  • Operating Constraints: The report covers the impact of policies and regulation on tobacco sector in South Africa.
  • Prospects and Forecasts: The report covers forecast analysis of categories in the tobacco sector
  • Macroeconomic analysis: The report also provides an outlook on macroeconomic indicators in the South Africa, with a detailed summary of the economy, labor market, and demographics.
  • Exchange rates: Exchange rates used to convert local currency to US dollars are annual average floating exchange rates.
  • Time period: The report provides sector value and volume data, including category and sector level data for the period 2015-2025. Distribution channel data is of 2020, and company data is included for 2019.

Scope


  • The South African tobacco sector accounted for value share of 4.5%, in Middle East & Africa, in 2020
  • The South African tobacco sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.7% by value from 2020-2025
  • The per capita expenditure for tobacco was lower in South Africa compared to global and regional averages in 2020
  • British American Tobacco Plc was the leading company in the cigarette sector with a volume share of 74% in 2019
  • Smoking prevalence in South Africa was 15.7% in 2020 with 30.4% of men and 5.2% of women classified as smokers

Reasons to Buy


  • Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.
  • Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning. The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market.
  • This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes - prime intelligence for marketers.
  • Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and to identify where to compete in the future.

Table of Contents

Report Scope
Part 1: Introduction
  • Executive Summary

Part 2: Market Context
  • Value growth analysis by region
  • PCE of South Africa compared to global and Middle East & Africa markets

Part 3: Market Size and Structure
  • South Africa Tobacco sector snapshot
  • Market size analysis
  • Cross-category comparison Category winners and losers
  • Market size analysis
  • category: cigarettes
  • Segment analysis: cigarettes
  • Sub-segment analysis: cigarettes
  • Market size analysis - category: smokeless tobacco
  • Segment analysis: smokeless tobacco
  • Sub-segment analysis: smokeless tobacco

Part 4: Production and Trade
  • Per capita expenditure analysis by category
  • Channel share analysis - cigarettes
  • Channel share analysis - smokeless tobacco

Part 5: Taxation
Part 6: Manufacturers and Brands
  • Leading companies by volume share - cigarettes
  • Leading companies by volume share - smokeless tobacco
  • Brand share analysis of top five companies by category

Part 7: The Smoking population
  • Smoking population, by gender

Part 8: Operating Constraints
  • EU Regulations in South Africa
  • Advertising Restrictions
  • Health Warning and Other Restrictions

Part 9: Prospects and Forecasts
  • Tobacco product growth analysis - cigarettes
  • Tobacco product growth analysis - smokeless tobacco

Part 10: Macroeconomic Analysis
  • GDP growth and inflation
  • Population growth
  • Labor market trend
  • Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
  • South Africa Risk Index (GCRI) 2020
  • South Africa Risk Analysis
  • Compared to the Global and Middle East & Africa Markets
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
  • Appendix

List of Tables
  • Leading categories (value), 2020
  • Fastest-growing segments (value), 2020
  • leading companies by category (volume), 2019*
  • Leading channel by category (volume), 2020*
  • Leading value and volume categories
  • Cigarettes - value analysis by segment, 2015-2025
  • Cigarettes - value analysis by sub segment, 2015-2025
  • Cigarettes - volume analysis by sub segment, 2015-2025
  • Smokeless tobacco - value analysis by segment, 2015-2025
  • Smokeless tobacco - value analysis by sub segment, 2015-2025
  • Smokeless tobacco - volume analysis by sub segment, 2015-2025
  • Per capita expenditure (by category), South Africa compared to Middle East & Africa and global levels (in US$), 2020
  • Change in distribution share in cigarettes, 2015-2020
  • Change in distribution share in smokeless tobacco, 2015-2020
  • Brand volume shares of top five companies by category, 2019
  • Performance Overview (Score: 1-100)
  • Sector data, by category
  • Per capita expenditure (US$), 2015-2025
  • Tobacco volume sales distribution in the South Africa, by category, 2020
  • Brand volume share by category, 2019
  • Real GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Nominal GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Consumer Price Inflation (%), 2017-2025
  • Employed People and Unemployment Rate (%), 2017-2025
  • Nominal Household Final Consumption Expenditure and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Population and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Population by Age Group (%)
  • Population by Gender (%)
  • Population by Rural-Urban Split (%)
  • Exchange Rates, 2015-2025

List of Figures
  • Value share of South Africa in the global and Middle East & Africa tobacco sector, 2020-2025
  • PCE comparison - South Africa, Middle East & Africa, and global, 2015-2025
  • Market size and growth analysis by value, tobacco sector, 2015-2025
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigarettes category, 2015-2025
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, smokeless tobacco category, 2015-2025
  • Key distribution channels - cigarettes, in million pieces
  • Key distribution channels - smokeless tobacco, in million kg
  • Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigarettes category, 2019
  • Leading companies (in volume million kg) in the smokeless tobacco category, 2019
  • Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2007-2020
  • Operating Constraints
  • Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2015-2025
  • Smokeless tobacco consumption, million kg, 2015-2025
  • Real GDP (R billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Nominal GDP (R billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Consumer price inflation (%)
  • Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in R terms
  • Population (million) and annual growth (%)
  • Population by age group (%)
  • Population by gender (%)
  • Population by rural-urban split (%)
  • Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
  • Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
  • Five Lowest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
  • Five Highest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
  • South Africa's performance in country risk analysis in comparison West Europe and world average

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Philip Morris International Inc
  • Japan Tobacco Inc
  • British American Tobacco Plc
  • Van Erkoms TabakkePty Ltd
  • Philip Morris International Inc
  • MLP