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Poland Baby Food Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2029

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    Report

  • 130 Pages
  • March 2024
  • Region: Poland
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5949738
The number of live births in Poland declined by 31.3% during 2017-23, reaching 276,000 in 2023. This resulted in a baby population of 912,700 in 2023. The GDP of Poland grew by 0.4% in 2023, while consumer price inflation stood at 11.5%. Overall sales in value terms have increased in recent years at a CAGR of 11.5% during 2017-23. However, in volume terms, sales increased in 2023 at a CAGR of 1.6% during 2017-23. Baby milks remained the largest category in value terms with over 44.8% of the baby food sector. Danone, Nestlé, and HiPP together accounted for 95.5% of value sales in the Polish baby food sector in 2023. Hypermarkets & supermarkets remained the leading distribution channel, accounting for 67.9% of overall value sales in 2023. The publisher estimates that the number of live births will fall over the forecast period in Poland. The market for baby food in the country is forecast to decline in value terms during 2023-29, at a negative CAGR of 2.5%.

Key Highlights

Value sales of baby milks increased from PLN613.2 million ($162.3 million) in 2017 to PLN669 million ($159.2 million) in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 1.5%.
Baby cereals & dry meals volumes decreased from PLN216.1 million ($57.2 million) in 2017 to PLN207.2 million ($49.3 million) in 2023, declining at a CAGR of 0.7%.
Value sales of the baby wet meals & other category increased from PLN360.8 million ($95.5 million) in 2017 to PLN483.4 million ($115.1 million) in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 5%.
During 2017-23, PCC of baby drinks fell by 27.8%, totaling 5.7kg in 2023.

Scope

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the baby food sector in Poland, as part of the publisher's global coverage of the sector. It includes an analysis of the following -
Market environment: The report provides a comparative analysis of the value and volume shares of Poland against the Eastern European and global baby food sectors. Additionally, the per capita consumption (PCC)* of and per capita expenditure (PCE)* on baby food in Poland are compared at regional and global levels.
Background: Provides an overview of births, consumer trends, socio-demographic trends, working women population, and regulations in the Polish baby food sector.
Category coverage and competitive landscape: The report offers an overview of growth at a sector level and provides an analysis of four categories: baby milks, baby cereals & dry meals, baby wet meals & others, and baby drinks. These categories are analyzed by value, volume, and CAGR for the 2017-29 period. The analysis also includes the PCC of and PCE on baby food in Poland, by category. The report provides an analysis of leading manufacturers and brands in the Polish baby food sector in 2023 and their market shares in each category.
Production and trade: The report provides an analysis of imports and exports in the Polish baby food sector.
Distribution channel: Provides analysis on the leading distribution channels at both sector and category level in 2023.
Economic background: The report also provides an outlook on macroeconomic indicators in Poland, with a detailed summary of the economy and labor market.

Reasons to Buy

  • Evaluate important changes in consumer behavior and identify profitable markets and areas for product innovation.
  • Analyse current and forecast behavior trends in each category to identify the best opportunities to exploit.
  • Detailed understanding of consumption by individual product categories in order to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.
  • Investigates which categories are performing the best and how this is changing market dynamics.

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Market Environment
  • Value and Volume Growth Analysis by Region
  • Growth Analysis of Poland Compared with Other Leading Countries in Eastern Europe
  • PCC and PCE of Poland Compared with Global and Eastern European Markets
  • Background
  • Births
  • The Consumer
  • Sociodemographic Trends
  • Working Women
  • Breastfeeding Trends
  • Regulations
  • Overview
  • Poland Baby Food Sector Snapshot
  • Market Size Analysis
  • Manufacturer Shares
  • Category Analysis
  • Baby Milks
  • Baby Cereals & Dry Meals
  • Baby Wet Meals & Other
  • Baby Finger Food
  • Baby Drinks
  • Production and Trade
  • Imports
  • Exports
  • Production
  • Distribution
  • Channel Share Analysis
  • Baby Food Retailing
  • Economic Background
  • GDP Growth and Inflation
  • Prospects and Forecasts
  • Future Trends
  • Appendix
List of Tables
  • Birth & population trends, 2009-29
  • Crude birth rates by location, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2015, and 2018-22
  • Live births by region, 2009, 2015, 2018-21
  • Number of women of childbearing age, by age group, 2010, 2016, and 2018-22
  • Live births by age of mother, %, 2013 and 2015-22
  • Women in employment, 2010-21
  • Trends in working women by age group, 2011, 2014, 2016, 2017, and 2019-20
  • Breastfeeding patterns by age, 2019
  • Share of food intake by age, %, 2010
  • Breastfeeding rates in Lublin, Kujawy-Pomerania, & Gdańsk, 2006-11
  • Leading categories (value and volume), 2023
  • Baby food: manufacturer shares, value, %, 2017-23
  • Baby food: manufacturer shares, volume, %, 2017-23
  • Baby food: manufacturer shares by category, %, 2023
  • Baby milks: SKUs by pack type, 2023
  • Baby milks: SKUs by pack size, 2023
  • Baby milks: brand price positioning analysis, 2023
  • Baby milks: manufacturer shares, value & volume, %, 2017-23
  • Baby milks: manufacturer & brand shares, value %, 2017-23
  • Baby milks: manufacturer & brand shares, volume %, 2017-23
  • Baby cereals & dry meals: SKUs by pack type, 2023
  • Baby cereals & dry meals: SKUs by pack size, 2023
  • Baby cereals & dry meals: brand price positioning analysis, 2023
  • Baby cereals & dry meals: manufacturer shares, value & volume, %, 2017-23
  • Baby cereals & dry meals: manufacturer & brand shares, value %, 2017-23
  • Baby cereals & dry meals: manufacturer & brand shares, volume %, 2017-23
  • Baby wet meals & other: SKUs by pack type, 2023
  • Baby wet meals & other: SKUs by pack size, 2023
  • Baby wet meals & other: brand price positioning analysis, 2023
  • Baby wet meals & other: manufacturer shares, value & volume, %, 2017-23
  • Baby wet meals & other: manufacturer & brand shares, value %, 2017-23
  • Baby wet meals & other: manufacturer & brand shares, volume %, 2017-23
  • Baby finger food: SKUs by pack type, 2023
  • Baby finger food: SKUs by pack size, 2023
  • Baby finger food: brand price positioning analysis, 2023
  • Baby drinks: SKUs by pack type, 2023
  • Baby drinks: SKUs by pack size, 2023
  • Baby drinks: brand price positioning analysis, 2023
  • Baby drinks: manufacturer shares, value & volume, %, 2017-23
  • Baby drinks: manufacturer & brand shares, value %, 2017-23
  • Baby drinks: manufacturer & brand shares, volume %, 2017-23
  • Baby milks & cereals: trends in imports (volume), 2015-22
  • Baby milks & cereals: trends in imports (value), 2015-22
  • Imports of baby milks & cereals by country of origin (volume), 2020-22
  • Imports of baby milks & cereals by country of origin (value), 2020-22
  • Other baby food: trends in imports (volume), 2015-22
  • Other baby food: trends in imports (value), 2015-22
  • Imports of other baby food by country of origin (volume), 2020-22
  • Imports of other baby food by country of origin (value), 2020-22
  • Baby milks & cereals: trends in exports (volume), 2015-22
  • Baby milks & cereals: trends in exports (value), 2015-22
  • Exports of baby milks & cereals by country of destination (volume), 2020-22
  • Exports of baby milks & cereals by country of destination (value), 2020-22
  • Other baby food: trends in exports (volume), 2015-22
  • Other baby food: trends in exports (value), 2015-22
  • Exports of other baby food by country of destination (volume), 2020-22
  • Exports of other baby food by country of destination (value), 2020-22
  • Baby food: sales by outlet type, % value, 2017-23
  • Baby food: sales by type of food & outlet type, % value, 2023
  • Baby food: sales by channel, 2012, 2014, and 2016-17
  • Baby population, number of babies ('000), 2008-29
  • Baby food: market value, current prices ($ million), 2017-23
  • Baby food: market value, constant prices, 2017-23
  • Baby food: market volume, million kg, 2017-23
  • Baby food: PCE, current prices ($), 2017-23
  • Baby food: PCE, constant prices, 2017-23
  • Baby food: PCC, kg, 2017-23
  • Baby milks: category segmentation, value & volume, 2017-23
  • Baby food: market value forecasts, current prices ($ million), 2023-29
  • Baby food: market value forecasts, constant prices, 2023-29
  • Baby food: market volume forecasts, million kg, 2023-29
  • Baby food: PCE forecasts, current prices ($), 2023-29
  • Baby food: PCE forecasts, constant prices, 2023-29
  • Baby food: PCC forecasts, kg, 2023-29
  • Exchange rates: LCU per $, 2017-23
  • Exchange rates: LCU per $, 2024-29
  • SKUs allocation by product type
  • Category definitions
  • Terminology definitions
List of Figures
  • Poland's value and volume shares in the global and the Eastern European baby food sectors, 2023-28
  • Poland compared with the other leading countries in terms of market share, growth, and competitive landscape
  • PCC comparison - Poland, Eastern Europe, and global, 2018-28
  • PCE comparison - Poland, Eastern Europe, and global, 2018-28
  • Purchasing criteria for baby food, 2016
  • Poland: In light of the rising cost of living, how have your shopping habits changed for baby care and child care products?
  • Poland: What is your choice of pack size in the baby care and child care products category?
  • Poland: How likely are you to trust recommendations from a virtual assistant (e.g. using artificial intelligence) to buy baby care and child care products?
  • Poland: How important are each of the following features when deciding to make a purchase?
  • Baby food: sector size (value), 2017-23
  • Baby food: sector size (volume), 2017-23
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baby food sector, 2017-29
  • Baby food: manufacturer shares, value %, 2023
  • Baby food: manufacturer shares, volume %, 2023
  • Baby food: manufacturer shares by category, % value, 2023
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baby milks category, 2017-29
  • Baby milks: PCE & PCC, 2017-23
  • Baby milks: PCE & PCC by age group, 2017-23
  • Baby milks: segmentation, value, and volume, 2017-23
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baby cereals & dry meals category, 2017-29
  • Baby cereals & dry meals: PCE & PCC, 2017-23
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baby wet meals & other category, 2017-29
  • Baby wet meals & other: PCE & PCC, 2017-23
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baby finger food category, 2017-29
  • Baby wet meals & other: PCE & PCC, 2017-23
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baby drinks category, 2017-29
  • Baby drinks: PCE & PCC, 2017-23
  • Share of key distribution channels (in value terms) - baby food, 2023
  • Key distribution channel share by category (in value terms), 2023
  • GDP at current prices (PLN trillion)
  • Real GDP growth rate (%)
  • Consumer price inflation (%)
  • Unemployment rate (%)

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Danone
  • Nestlé
  • Humana
  • HiPP