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Canada - The Future of Foodservice to 2028

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    Report

  • 111 Pages
  • April 2024
  • Region: Canada
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5979253
“Canada - The Future of Foodservice to 2028” published by the analyst provides extensive insight and analysis of the Canadian Foodservice market over the next five years (2023-28) and acts as a vital point of reference for operators or suppliers.

Canada’s GDP per capita declined by 1.1% in 20231. This decline is attributable to the Russia-Ukraine conflict that compounded the domestic banking sector’s challenges. High inflation and increasing interest rates significantly hampered the consumer sentiment.
In 2023, the working-age population (aged 15-64 years) made up 63.8% of the total population, which is expected to decline to 61.7% in 2028. Meanwhile, the proportion of older people (aged 65+ years) is expected to increase from 20.5% in 2023 to 23.1% in 2028.

The report includes :

  • Overview of Canada's macro-economic landscape: Detailed analysis of current macro-economic factors and their impact on the Canadian foodservice market including GDP per capita, consumer price index, population growth, and annual household income distribution.
  • Growth dynamics: In-depth data and forecasts of key channels (QSR, FSR, coffee & tea shop, and pub, club & bar) within the Canadian foodservice market, including the value of the market, number of transactions, number of outlets and average transaction price.
  • Customer segmentation: Identify the most important demographic groups, buying habits, and motivations that drive out-of-home meal occasions among segments of the Canadian population.
  • Key players: Overview of market leaders within the four major channels including business descriptions and number of outlets.

Scope

  • The total revenue of the Canadian profit sector was estimated at CAD113.5 billion ($84.1 billion) in 2023, posting a CAGR of 2.3% during 2018-23. The resilient financial system despite global macroeconomic headwinds, along with tourism initiatives by the government, aided foodservice sales. However, high inflation posed a challenge.
  • The QSR channel registered the highest CAGR during 2018-23, at 4.5%, followed by the FSR channel at 3%. During 2023-28, the profit sector will register a relatively strong CAGR of 5.6%. The number of transactions will register a CAGR of 3.1% during this period, while the number of outlets will yield a CAGR of 0.7%.

Reasons to Buy

  • Specific forecasts of the foodservice market over the next five years (2023-28) will give readers the ability to make informed business decisions through identifying emerging/declining markets.
  • Consumer segmentation detailing the desires of known consumers among all major foodservice channels (QSR, FSR, coffee & tea shop, and pub, club & bar) will allow readers understand the wants and needs of their target demographics.

Table of Contents

  • Introduction
  • Report Guide
  • Executive Summary
  • Macroeconomic Context
  • Macroeconomic Overview
  • Trends Landscape
  • Profit Sector - Consumer Behavior
  • Profit Sector Metrics
  • Key Metric Highlights
  • Value Share and Growth by Channel
  • Outlets and Transactions Growth by Channel
  • Operator Buying Volumes and Growth by Channel
  • Channel Historic and Future Growth Dynamics
  • Outlet-Type and Owner-Type Growth Dynamics
  • Quick-Service Restaurant (QSR)
  • Summary & Key Points
  • Metrics
  • Key Players
  • Who?
  • Why?
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Full-Service Restaurant (FSR)
  • Summary & Key Points
  • Metrics
  • Key Players
  • Who?
  • Why?
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Coffee & Tea Shop
  • Summary & Key Points
  • Metrics
  • Key Players
  • Who?
  • Why?
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Pub, Club & Bar
  • Summary & Key Points
  • Metrics
  • Who?
  • Why?
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Cost Sector Metrics
  • Cost Operator Trends - Historic and Future Growth
  • Data and Channel Share Breakdown
  • Appendix
List of Tables
  • Profit Sector Metrics
  • Restaurant outlet types: value growth (CAGR 2023-28)
  • Restaurant owner types: value growth (CAGR 2023-28)
  • QSR: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • QSR: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • FSR: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • FSR: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • Coffee & Tea Shop: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • Coffee & Tea Shop: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • Pub, Club & Bar: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • Pub, Club & Bar: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • Cost Operators: Data and Channel Share Breakdown
List of Figures
  • GDP per capita
  • Consumer price inflation (%)
  • Population (millions)
  • Population by age group (%)
  • Households’ share of income distribution, 2023
  • Unemployment rate
  • Which of the following features has the greatest influence on your choices of products/services in the current situation? “Always or often influences my choices
  • In light of the rising cost of living, how have your shopping habits changed for each of the following types of products?
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at the following locations?
  • How do consumers describe their spend at the following outlets?
2023 value sales and channel shares
  • Historic and future performances (value performance)
  • Historic and future outlet number dynamics
  • Historic and future performances (transactions)
  • Profit channels’ historic and future buying volume performances (liter m)
  • Profit channels’ historic and future buying volume performances (kg m)
  • Channel dynamics in the profit sector, 2018-23
  • Channel dynamics in the profit sector, 2023-28
  • Restaurant outlet types: 2023 value
  • Restaurant owner types 2023: value
  • QSR: Operator share of sales, 2023
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at QSRs? By age group
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at QSRs? By gender
  • QSR: Annual household income distribution of frequent consumers
  • Influential factors for frequent consumers on choice of food/drinks at QSR- always/often
  • Important factors for frequent consumers when deciding to make a purchase at QSR - essential/nice-to-have
  • QSR: Case study: Which of the following features has the greatest influence on your choice of food and drinks in the current situation?: Enjoyable or unique
  • QSR: Case study: How important are each of the following features when deciding to make a purchase?: Essential/nice to have
  • QSR: Total profit sector OSP by channel 2023
  • QSR cuisine by number of outlets
  • QSR: Top cuisine by maturity - by number of outlets (listed on online platforms), 2024
  • QSR: Top five food dishes’ penetration in QSR, 2024
  • QSR: Top 10 ingredients’ penetration in QSR, 2024
  • QSR by cuisine type, 2023 OSP
  • QSR by location type, 2023 OSP
  • FSR: Operator share of sales, 2023
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at FSRs? By age group
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at FSRs? By gender
  • FSR: Annual household income distribution of frequent consumers
  • Influential factors for frequent consumers on choice of food/drinks at FSR- always/often
  • Important factors for frequent consumers when deciding to make a purchase at FSR - essential/nice-to-have
  • FSR: Total profit sector OSP by channel 2023
  • FSR cuisine by number of outlets
  • FSR: Top cuisine by maturity - by number of outlets (listed on online platforms), 2024
  • FSR: Top five food dishes’ penetration in QSR, 2024
  • FSR: Top 10 ingredients’ penetration in QSR, 2024
  • FSR by cuisine type, 2023 OSP
  • FSR by location type, 2023 OSP
  • Coffee & tea shop: Operator share of sales, 2023
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at coffee & tea shops? By age group
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at coffee & tea shops? By gender
  • Coffee & tea shop: Annual household income distribution of frequent consumers
  • Influential factors for frequent consumers on choice of food/drinks at coffee & tea shops - always/often
  • Important factors for frequent consumers when deciding to make a purchase at coffee & tea shops - essential/nice-to-have
  • Coffee & tea shop: case study: How important is the following feature when deciding to make a purchase: sustainable/environmentally friendly
  • Coffee & tea shop: case study: How important is the following feature when deciding to make a purchase - ”essential/nice to have” responses
  • Coffee & tea shop by location type, 2023 OSP
  • Pub, club & bar: Operator share of sales, 2023
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at pub, club & bar? By age group
  • How often do you consume food and drinks at pub, club & bar? By gender
  • Pub, club & bar: Annual household income distribution of frequent consumers
  • Influential factors for frequent consumers on choice of food/drinks at pub, club & bar - always/often
  • Important factors for frequent consumers when deciding to make a purchase at pub, club & bar - essential/nice-to-have
  • Pub, club & bar by location type, 2023 OSP
  • Channel dynamics in the cost sector, 2023-28
  • Channel dynamics in the cost sector, 2023-28
  • Cost Operators: Data and Channel Share Breakdown

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • McDonald’s
Subway
A Great American Brand
Yum! Brands
Pizza Pizza
Recipe Unlimited
Boston Pizza
MTY Food
Wild Wing
Restaurant Brands International
Starbucks
Second Cup
Chairman's Brand
Fox & Fiddle
Shark Club
Mark James. The Old Triangle Irish Alehouse
Mckibbin's Irish Pub