Open Access Journal Publishing Market 2024-2028

How Have Wiley, MDPI and Frontiers Been Impacted by Recent Integrity Scandals?

Open Access sales reached $1.9 billion in 2023 and $2.1 billion in 2024, (up from $1.8 billion in 2022) and are expected to grow to $3.2 billion by 2028. This report details the diverse mix of revenue streams in OA Journal publishing in 2024 and beyond. It also examines the research integrity crisis confronting the sector, the decrease in the number of titles being published, and how publishers and policy makers are responding.

This report provides an overview and financial outlook for the OA journal publishing market, including the performance of leading competitors’ through 2024 and market projections through 2028. To produce this data, the analyst used the information from global OA journal sales, leading publishers, and revenue projections through 2028. To develop a financial outlook for open access journal publishing, the analyst consulted primary and secondary research, competitor interviews, industry expert consultations, and financial data analysis.

Also included is an in-depth review of the performance and strategy of 10 leading OA publishers, including:

• Springer Nature
• Elsevier
• MDPI AG
• John Wiley & Sons
• Frontiers
• IEEE
• Informa PLC
• SAGE Publications

How have Wiley, MDPI and Frontiers been impacted by recent integrity scandals?

A series of research integrity scandals, tied to the use of faster pay to publish models, rocked much of the open access industry in 2023, with major impacts on Wiley, MDPI and Frontiers publishers.

How is fraud in submitted papers for scholarly publishing related to AI being addressed?

Scholarly publishers are increasingly deploying Artificial Intelligence to identify and flag outlier articles that may indicate quality problems of fraud in submitted papers.

How many articles are in the Directory of Open Access Journals?

1.117 million.

Open Access Journal Publishing 2024-2028 contains separate chapters covering the market, key competitors, and trends and forecast that include:

• Exclusive analysis of market size and structure
• Revenue and market share rankings of 10 leading global publishers
• Title and article growth metrics
• A breakdown of players in the open access ecosystem including public and private research funders
• A breakdown of open access publishing in key geographic regions: North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and emerging markets
• Updated data on the latest mergers and acquisitions
• Exclusive market projections to 2028

Other key issues covered in the report, include:

• Internet Economics
• Plan S
• US Policy Changes
• Transformative Agreements
• Global R&D Spending forecast

Open Access Journal Publishing 2024-2028 is an essential tool for scholarly publishing executives, academic libraries, M&A advisors, market analysts, and industry consultants who need to understand the business strategies driving the scholarly and professional publishing industry.

Methodology for Projecting/Estimating Results

Estimates of sales and projections are based on classification of revenue into component categories as well as geographic splits. Guidance from analysts, annual reports, 10-Ks and industry insider observations of growth or weakness are then applied. Currency movements and M&A activity also play an important role.

The forecast methodology is akin to its approach to building actual global market size numbers. The analyst discusses trends and insights with industry executives and research secondary sources, analyst reports and industry studies.

Principal drivers of the 2024-2028 forecasts are: extrapolation of recent trends, M&A activity, global and national Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecasts, industry forecasts, company forecasts, publishing trends, and the impact of announced mandates. Article metrics are particularly important in open access as well. GDP growth forecasts are used for year-to-year variations. These come from a variety of sources, including IMF World Economic Outlook, and the Conference Board Global Economic Outlook. Growth rates in individual countries with strong publishing industries are particularly important.