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Russia Cigarette Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2025 - Analyzing Product Categories and Segments, Distribution Channel, Competitive Landscape and Consumer Segmentation

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    Report

  • 64 Pages
  • October 2021
  • Region: Russia
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5464315
The Russian tobacco sector is expected to grow from RUB889.9 billion (US$12,371.5 million) in 2020 to RUB1,062 billion (US$14,048.6 million) by 2025, growing at a CAGR of 3.6% from 2020-2025. Cigarettes recorded value sales of RUB889.9 billion (US$12,371.5 million) in 2020. Value sales of cigarette products are expected to see a decline in coming years due to increased taxes and stricter rules.

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the tobacco sector in Russia, as part of the analyst's global coverage of the sector. It includes analysis on the following:
  • Market Context: The report provides comparative analysis of the value shares of Russia in the Eastern Europe and global tobacco sector. Additionally, the per capita expenditure of tobacco in Russia is also compared with the Eastern Europe and global levels.
  • Market Size and Structure: The report offers an overview of the growth at a sector level and provides analysis of cigarettes category. These categories are analyzed by value, volume, and CAGR for the period 2015-2025. The section also includes value analysis of segments, value and volume analysis of sub-segments segments under each category for the period 2015-2025.
  • Production and Trade: Provides analysis on per capita expenditure of tobacco in Russia, by category, compared to the Eastern Europe and global markets. Further, analysis on the leading distribution channels at category level in 2020. The consumer sector reports cover the following eight distribution channels: cash & carries and warehouse clubs, convenience stores, department stores, e-retailers, hypermarkets & supermarkets, tobacco specialists, vending machines, and other general retailers.
  • Taxation: It covers the taxation landscape in the country and effects in the tobacco sector
  • Manufacturers and Brands: The report provides analysis on leading companies by category in 2020 and analyzes the market share
  • The Smoking Population: The report covers consumption of tobacco by gender in Russia.
  • Operating Constraints: The report covers the impact of policies and regulation on tobacco sector in Russia.
  • Prospects and Forecasts: The report covers forecast analysis of categories in the tobacco sector
  • Macroeconomic analysis: The report also provides an outlook on macroeconomic indicators in Russia, with a detailed summary of the economy, labor market, and demographics.
  • Exchange rates: Exchange rates used to convert local currency to US dollars are annual average floating exchange rates.
  • Time period: The report provides sector value and volume data, including category and sector level data for the period 2015-2025. Distribution channel data is of 2020, and company data is included for 2019

Scope


  • The Russian cigarette market accounted for value share of 22.1%, in Eastern Europe, in 2020
  • The Russian cigarette sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.6% by value from 2020-2025
  • The per capita expenditure for tobacco was lower in Russia compared to global and regional averages in 2020
  • Japan Tobacco Inc was the leading company in the cigarette sector with a volume share of 38.6% in 2019
  • Smoking prevalence in Russia was 27.5% in 2020 with 44% of men and 13.8% of women classified as smokers

Reasons to Buy


  • Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.
  • Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning. The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market.
  • This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes - prime intelligence for marketers.
  • Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and to identify where to compete in the future.

Table of Contents

Report Scope
Part 1: Introduction
  • Executive Summary

Part 2: Market Context
  • Value growth analysis by region
  • PCE of Russia compared to global and Eastern Europe markets

Part 3: Market Size and Structure
  • Russia tobacco sector snapshot
  • Market size analysis
  • Market size analysis - category: cigarettes
  • Segment analysis: cigarettes
  • Sub-segment analysis: cigarettes

Part 4: Production and Trade
  • Per capita expenditure analysis by category
  • Channel share analysis-cigarettes

Part 5: Taxation
  • Tax incidence comparison cigarettes
  • Excise Taxes on Cigarettes, 2005-2013 & 2016 2020

Part 6: Manufacturers and Brands
  • Leading companies by volume share-cigarettes
  • Brand share analysis of top five companies by category

Part 7: The Smoking population
  • Smoking population, by gender

Part 8: Operating Constraints
Part 9: Prospects and Forecasts
  • Tobacco product growth analysis-cigarettes

Part 10: Macroeconomic Analysis
  • GDP growth and inflation
  • Population growth
  • Labor market trend
  • Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
  • Russia Risk Index (GCRI) 2020
  • Russia Risk Analysis-Compared to the Global and Eastern Europe Markets
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
  • Appendix

List of Tables
  • Leading categories (value), 2020
  • Fastest-growing segments (value), 2020
  • leading companies by category (volume), 2019*
  • Leading channel by category (volume), 2020*
  • Cigarettes - value analysis by segment, 2015-2025
  • Cigarettes - value analysis by sub segment, 2015-2025
  • Per capita expenditure (by category), Russia compared to Eastern Europe and global levels (in US$), 2020
  • Change in distribution share in cigarettes, 2015-2020
  • Excise Taxes on Cigarettes, 2005-2013 & 2016 2020
  • Brand volume shares of top five companies by category, 2019
  • Performance Overview (Score: 1-100)
  • Sector data, by category
  • Per capita expenditure (US$), 2015-2025
  • Tobacco volume sales distribution in Russia, by category, 2020
  • Brand volume share by category, 2019
  • Real GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Nominal GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Consumer Price Inflation (%), 2017-2025
  • Employed People and Unemployment Rate (%), 2017-2025
  • Nominal Household Final Consumption Expenditure and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Population and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Population by Age Group (%)
  • Population by Gender (%)
  • Population by Rural-Urban Split (%)
  • Exchange Rates, 2015-2025

List of Figures
  • Value share of Russia in the global and Eastern Europe tobacco sector, 2020-2025
  • PCE comparison - Russia, Western Europe, and global, 2015-2025
  • Market size and growth analysis by value, tobacco sector, 2015-2025
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigarettes category, 2015-2025
  • Key distribution channels - cigarettes, in million pieces
  • Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigarettes category, 2019
  • Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2007-2020
  • Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2015-2025
  • Real GDP (RUB billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Nominal GDP (RUB billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Consumer price inflation (%)
  • Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in RUB terms
  • Population (million) and annual growth (%)
  • Population by age group (%)
  • Population by gender (%)
  • Population by rural-urban split (%)
  • Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
  • Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
  • Five Lowest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
  • Five Highest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
  • Russia's performance in country risk analysis in comparison West Europe and world average

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Japan Tobacco Inc
  • Philip Morris International Inc
  • British American Tobacco Inc
  • Imperial Brands Plc